Today is Saturday, March 6th, 2021. There are nine days until Selection Sunday. From this point forward, this bracketology will be updated daily so you can see the most up-to-date forecasts from the most accurate bracketology website of the past two tournaments. Some days, this will consist of just a seed list, whereas sometimes a full projected bracket and a feature column about a specific team will be added.

Seed List

KEY

Italicized – Play-in game
GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket

Changes from: Yesterday, March 5th
Last full bracket: Wednesday, March 3rd 

Note: The furthest left team is considered to be the highest-ranked on the seed line and the furthest right is considered to be the lowest-ranked

1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois
2 Seeds: Alabama, Iowa, Ohio State, West Virginia
3 Seeds: Houston, Villanova, Arkansas, Kansas
4 Seeds: Florida State, Texas, Purdue, Oklahoma State
5 Seeds: Creighton, USC, Texas Tech, Virginia
6 Seeds: Colorado, Missouri, Tennessee, Oklahoma
7 Seeds: BYU, Clemson, Wisconsin, Florida
8 Seeds: San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Loyola-Chicago
9 Seeds: LSU, Maryland, UCLA, Connecticut
10 Seeds: Louisville, Rutgers, North Carolina, St. Bonaventure
11 Seeds: VCU, Georgia Tech, Colorado State, Xavier
12 Seeds: Drake, Wichita State, Michigan State, Boise State, Western Kentucky, Toledo
13 Seeds: Winthrop, Colgate, UC Santa Barbara, Belmont
14 Seeds: Liberty, UNC-Greensboro, Abilene Christian, South Dakota State
15 Seeds: Southern Utah, UMBC, Cleveland State, Grand Canyon
16 Seeds: Siena, James Madison, Texas State, Bryant, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina A&T

Dropped Out: Eastern Washington

Bubble Watch

Bids By Conference

Big Ten – 9 of 15 (+0 in First Eight Out)
Big 12 – 7 of 10 (0)
ACC – 7 of 15 (1)
SEC – 6 of 14 (1)
Big East – 4 of 10 (1)
Pac-12 – 4 of 12 (0)
Mountain West – 3 of 11 (1)
WCC – 2 of 10 (0)
Missouri Valley – 2 of 10 (0)
American – 2 of 11 (2)
Atlantic 10 – 2 of 14 (1)
Conference USA – 1 of 14 (1)

Saturday marks one of the biggest days of the college basketball season to date, with a pair of ranked vs ranked matchups, some big conference tournaments, and a number of bubble battles. Check out the official Crazy Sports Dude college basketball Saturday viewing guide for March 6th, 2020.

TIME (ET)	MUST-WATCH	SECOND SCREEN	KEEP AN EYE
12	rutgers @ minnesota – fox	pittsburgh @ clemson – ACC rsn	#11 florida State @ notre Dame – espn2
2	#17 oklahoma state @ #6 west virginia – espn2	indiana @ #23 purdue – espn	#10 villanova @ Providence – fox (2:30)
4	#4 illinois @ #7 ohio state – espn	usc @ ucla – cbs	#21 virginia @ louisville – espn2
6	saint louis vs st. bonaventure – cbssn (A10 semifinal)	duke @ north carolina – espn	uab @ north texas – espn+ (5)
8	morehead state vs belmont – espn2 (OVC Championship)	seton hall @ St. John’s – fs1 (7)	vanderbilt @ ole miss – SEC network (7)
10	davidson vs VCU – CBSSN (A10 SEMIFINAL, 9)	XAVIER @ Marquette – FS1 (9)	loyola marymount vs saint mary’s – espnU (WCC quarterfinal, 9)

Today is Friday, March 5th, 2021. There are 10 days until Selection Sunday. From this point forward, this bracketology will be updated daily so you can see the most up-to-date forecasts from the most accurate bracketology website of the past two tournaments. Some days, such as today, this will consist of just a seed list, wheras sometimes a full projected bracket and a feature column about a specific team will be added.

Seed List

KEY

Italicized – Play-in game
GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket

Changes from: Yesterday, March 4th
Last full bracket: Wednesday, March 3rd 

Note: The furthest left team is considered to be the highest-ranked on the seed line and the furthest right is considered to be the lowest-ranked

1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois
2 Seeds: Alabama, Iowa, Ohio State, West Virginia
3 Seeds: Houston, Villanova, Arkansas, Kansas
4 Seeds: Florida State, Texas, Purdue, Oklahoma State
5 Seeds: Creighton, USC, Texas Tech, Virginia
6 Seeds: Colorado, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Missouri
7 Seeds: BYU, Clemson, Wisconsin, Florida
8 Seeds: San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Loyola-Chicago
9 Seeds: LSU, UCLA, Maryland, Rutgers
10 Seeds: Connecticut, Louisville, North Carolina, St. Bonaventure
11 Seeds: VCU, Georgia Tech, Colorado State, Xavier
12 Seeds: Drake, Wichita State, Boise State, Michigan State, Western Kentucky, Toledo
13 Seeds: Winthrop, Colgate, UC Santa Barbara, Belmont
14 Seeds: Liberty, UNC-Greensboro, Abilene Christian, South Dakota State
15 Seeds: Eastern Washington, UMBC, Cleveland State, Siena
16 Seeds: Grand Canyon, James Madison, Texas State, Bryant, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina A&T

Dropped Out: None

First Four Out: Saint Louis, Seton Hall, Utah State, SMU
Next Four Out: Syracuse, Louisiana Tech, Duke, Memphis

Today is Thursday, March 4th, 2021. There are 11 days until Selection Sunday. From this point forward, this bracketology will be updated daily so you can see the most up-to-date forecasts from the most accurate bracketology website of the past two tournaments. Some days, such as today, this will consist of just a seed list, wheras sometimes a full projected bracket and a feature column about a specific team will be added.

Seed List

KEY

Italicized – Play-in game
GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket

Changes from: Yesterday, March 3rd <- Click to see my most recent projected bracket

Note: The furthest left team is considered to be the highest-ranked on the seed line and the furthest right is considered to be the lowest-ranked

1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois
2 Seeds: Alabama, Ohio State, Iowa, West Virginia
3 Seeds: Villanova, Houston, Kansas, Arkansas
4 Seeds: Florida State, Purdue, Texas, Oklahoma State
5 Seeds: Creighton, USC, Virginia, Texas Tech
6 Seeds: Missouri, Colorado, Oklahoma, Tennessee
7 Seeds: BYU, Clemson, Wisconsin, San Diego State
8 Seeds: Oregon, Florida, Connecticut, Virginia Tech
9 Seeds: Loyola-Chicago, UCLA, Maryland, LSU
10 Seeds: Louisville, Rutgers, North Carolina, St. Bonaventure
11 Seeds: VCU, Georgia Tech, Xavier, Colorado State
12 Seeds: Drake, Wichita State, Michigan State, Boise State, Western Kentucky, Toledo
13 Seeds: Colgate, Winthrop, UC Santa Barbara, Belmont
14 Seeds: Abilene Christian, Liberty, UNC-Greensboro, South Dakota State
15 Seeds: Eastern Washington, UMBC, Cleveland State, Siena
16 Seeds: Grand Canyon, James Madison, Texas State, Bryant, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina A&T

Dropped Out: Seton Hall

First Four Out: Saint Louis, SMU, Utah State, Seton Hall
Next Four Out: Syracuse, Stanford, Indiana, Memphis

Bubble Watch

Locks: Gonzaga, BYU

In as of now: None

Wrong side of bubble: None

Needs auto-bid: Pepperdine, Saint Mary’s, Loyola Marymount, Pacific, Santa Clara, San Francisco, San Diego, Portland

Picks/Computer Win Probability

Bubble Watch

Locks: Loyola-Chicago (8)

In as of now: Drake (12)

Drake feels destined to be the talk of the town Selection Sunday. The Bulldogs have the perennial bubble resume of a mid-major program with a gaudy record but a low strength of schedule. In my view, a loss to Loyola-Chicago in the MVC title game would leave the Bulldogs *just* on the right side of the bubble. A loss to anyone else, except for maybe Missouri State if a lot of things go sideways elsewhere, would be season-ending.

Needs auto-bid: Missouri State, Indiana State, Evansville, Valparaiso, Northern Iowa, Bradley, Southern Illinois, Illinois State

Picks/Computer Win Probability

Bubble Watch

Locks: None

In as of now: St. Bonaventure (10), VCU (11)

Both of these teams are on the right side of the bubble as of today despite losses to end the year, but there is still some work to be done. Neither team has a surefire NCAA Tournament resume, but a trip to the A10 title game would certainly be enough for either to make the field. Lose before that and things might get dicey depending on who the loss comes to, but my inclination would be that as long as a truly terrible loss is avoided, both teams should make the field.

Wrong side of bubble: Saint Louis (First Four Out), Richmond (Next Four Out)

For both of these teams, a trip to the A10 title game and the win over St. Bonaventure that would come with it is a must to make the NCAA Tournament field, and even that might not be enough for Richmond, a team reeling as of late.

Needs Auto-bid: Davidson, Massachusetts, George Mason, Dayton, Duquesne, Rhode Island, George Washington, La Salle, Saint Joseph’s, Fordham

Picks/Computer Win Probability

Today is Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021. There are 11 days until Selection Sunday. From this point forward, this bracketology will be updated daily so you can see the most up-to-date forecasts from the most accurate bracketology website of the past two tournaments.

Following a Q4 loss at home to Fresno State (NET: 181) last night, Boise State has fallen out of the projected NCAA Tournament field. The loss was the Broncos’ third in a row, following a pair of defeats to San Diego State last week. One team’s loss is another’s gain, though, and as a result, Issac Brown’s Wichita State Shockers have entered the field for the first time this season. In fact, this is the first time in the calendar year that the AAC, generally thought of as the #7 league in the sport, has had two teams projected in the field.

It has been an up and down year for Wichita State, a program that was thrown into dissaray before the season even began, as allegations of physical abuse were levied against head coach Gregg Marshall, leading to his dismissal from the program. Well-liked assistant Issac Brown took over for Marshall, and following a couple of home losses to open the year, things looked grim.

Following those season-opening losses to Missouri and Oklahoma State, though, the team regrouped, and the Shockers went on a tear. Since they have won 12 games and lost only two, the defeats coming on the road to Houston and Memphis, a pair of Q1 games. Wins @ Ole Miss and in the return game against Houston more than made up for the losses.

On February 26th, following the win over Houston, Wichita State stripped the interim tag from Brown’s title and promoted him to full-time head coach, making him the first African-American to lead a Division 1 men’s basketball program in the state of Kansas.

As of today, Wichita State projects to win the AAC regular-season title, and even if they don’t follow that up with an AAC Tournament victory, the Shockers have done more than enough to deserve to be in the field; a storybook ending to what has been an unforgettable year for Brown and his team.

Seed List

KEY

Italicized – Play-in game
GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket

Changes from: Monday, March 1st

Note: The furthest left team is considered to be the highest-ranked on the seed line and the furthest right is considered to be the lowest-ranked

1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois
2 Seeds: Ohio State, Alabama, Iowa, Houston
3 Seeds: Villanova, West Virginia, Kansas, Arkansas
4 Seeds: Florida State, Texas, Creighton, Purdue
5 Seeds: Oklahoma State, Virginia, Texas Tech, Oklahoma
6 Seeds: USC, Clemson, Tennessee, Colorado
7 Seeds: BYU, Missouri, Florida, Wisconsin
8 Seeds: San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Loyola-Chicago
9 Seeds: Maryland, UCLA, LSU, Rutgers
10 Seeds: Louisville, Connecticut, North Carolina, St. Bonaventure
11 Seeds: VCU, Georgia Tech, Colorado State, Michigan State
12 Seeds: Xavier, Drake, Wichita State, Seton Hall, Western Kentucky, Toledo
13 Seeds: Colgate, Winthrop, UC Santa Barbara, Belmont
14 Seeds: Liberty, UNC-Greensboro, Abilene Christian, South Dakota State
15 Seeds: Eastern Washington, UMBC, Cleveland State, Siena
16 Seeds: Grand Canyon, James Madison, Texas State, Bryant, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina A&T

Dropped Out: Boise State, Furman, Wright State

Bubble Watch

Bids By Conference

Big Ten – 9 of 15 (+0 in First Eight Out)
Big 12 – 7 of 10 (0)
ACC – 7 of 15 (1)
SEC – 6 of 14 (1)
Big East – 5 of 10 (0)
Pac-12 – 4 of 12 (1)
WCC – 2 of 10 (0)
Missouri Valley – 2 of 10 (0)
Mountain West – 2 of 11 (2)
American – 2 of 11 (1)
Atlantic 10 – 2 of 14 (2)

Seed List

KEY

Italicized – Play-in game
GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket

Changes from: Wednesday, February 24th

Note: The furthest left team is considered to be the highest-ranked on the seed line and the furthest right is considered to be the lowest-ranked

1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Michigan, Baylor, Illinois
2 Seeds: Alabama, Ohio State, Iowa, West Virginia
3 Seeds: Villanova, Houston, Kansas, Arkansas
4 Seeds: Florida State, Texas, Oklahoma, Creighton
5 Seeds: USC, Virginia, Tennessee, Purdue
6 Seeds: Oklahoma State, Clemson, Wisconsin, Texas Tech
7 Seeds: Colorado, Missouri, Florida, BYU
8 Seeds: San Diego State, Virginia Tech, Rutgers, Loyola-Chicago
9 Seeds: Oregon, Maryland, UCLA, LSU
10 Seeds: Louisville, North Carolina, St. Bonaventure, VCU
11 Seeds: Connecticut, Xavier, Boise State, Drake
12 Seeds: Colorado State, Georgia Tech, Seton Hall, Michigan State, Western Kentucky, Toledo
13 Seeds: Winthrop, Colgate, UC Santa Barbara, Belmont
14 Seeds: Wright State, Liberty, Abilene Christian, Furman
15 Seeds: Eastern Washington, Grand Canyon, UMBC, South Dakota State
16 Seeds: James Madison, Siena, Texas State, Bryant, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina A&T

Dropped Out: Indiana, Minnesota, UNC Greensboro, Vermont

Bubble Watch

Bids By Conference

Big Ten – 9 of 15 (+0 in First Eight Out)
Big 12 – 7 of 10 (0)
ACC – 7 of 15 (1)
SEC – 6 of 14 (0)
Big East – 5 of 10 (0)
Pac-12 – 4 of 12 (1)
Mountain West – 3 of 11 (1)
WCC – 2 of 10 (0)
Missouri Valley – 2 of 10 (0)
Atlantic 10 – 2 of 14 (2)
American – 1 of 11 (2)
Conference USA – 1 of 14 (1)