Category: FOOTBALL

  • College Football Weekly Picks – Now Updated for Week 14 – Conference Championship Week

    College Football Weekly Picks – Now Updated for Week 14 – Conference Championship Week

    Helpful tip: bookmark this page.

    Welcome to the hub for your 2018 College Football Weekly Picks! This page will be updated as each new week comes with my predictions for every game that week. Any against the spread best bets (which hit almost 60% last year!) will also be listed here. Another fun feature that I like to incorporate is my tiered games. Many times I’ve heard somebody ask me what the “big games” are this week, and consider this your one-stop shop for that. I divide every FBS game each week into four tiers: the must-watch games, the maybe watch games, all other FBS vs FBS games, and the FBS vs FCS games.

    Note: This is the average result of thousands of simulations for each game, so the scores will look a little wonky.

    Year To Date Straight Up Record: 556-148 (79%)
    Last Week’s Straight Up Record: 44-20 (69%)
    Year To Date ATS Best Bets Record: 65-49-2 (16 games in the black!)
    Last Week’s ATS Best Bets Record: 6-2

    Week Fourteen Predictions

    ATS Best Bets

    Akron (+30) @ South Carolina – 12 PM ET
    Marshall (+4.5) @ Virginia Tech – 12 PM ET
    Ohio State (-14) vs* Northwestern – 8 PM ET

    *Neutral site

    Tier One Games (Must Watch)

    Utah (9-3, 6-3 Pac-12) vs Washington (9-3, 7-2 Pac-12) in Santa Clara, CA – 8 PM ET on Friday, 11/30, FOX – Pac-12 Championship Game

    The two best defenses in the Pac-12 will square off Friday night with the winner heading to the Rose Bowl Game to represent the conference against either Ohio State, Michigan, or Northwestern depending on how things play out elsewhere. Utah was my Pac-12 Champion pick for weeks, before they were even ranked in the AP, my model thought the Utes were top-15 level good. In fact, after week nine and four straight blowout wins against Pac-12 foes, Utah climbed as high as the #7 best team in the country in the future predictive model, but thanks to an injury to QB Tyler Huntley, they have faltered down the stretch, losing to Arizona State and most recently needing to come from behind to beat rival BYU. Washington, on the other hand, has surged down the stretch led by RB Myles Gaskin’s fourth straight 1,000+ yard season on the ground. This game might not be entertaining for those that like offense as their game earlier this year finished 21-7. I do think it will be closer than when the two teams played all the way back in mid-September, but I don’t think the victor will change. Give me Washington in a nail-biter.

    Prediction: Washington 24, Utah 19

    Texas (9-3, 7-2 Big 12) vs Oklahoma (11-1, 8-1 Big 12) in Arlington, TX – 12 PM ET, ABC – Big 12 Championship Game

    These two teams had a game of the year contender earlier this season in the Cotton Bowl, and us lucky college football fans get a rematch in the second ever Big 12 Championship Game (since the conference moved back to ten teams). Hopefully, this one will be closer than the last, a 41-17 drubbing of TCU by Lincoln Riley’s Sooners. Style points will certainly matter for the Sooners, and while I *think* they’ll get in with a win and a Georgia loss, it’s not like Ohio State has never jumped the Big 12 Champion the final week of the rankings release despite that Big 12 team winning. Obviously the “Tom Herman as an underdog” storyline will be hot in this one after his famous run at Houston, but I just don’t know if Herman can make lightning strike twice against an Oklahoma team that is just flat out better than Texas. Neither of these teams have impressed me down the stretch, Oklahoma is 4-0 in November, but they’ve only won one game by more than five points… a 15 point home win over Kansas. Texas is just 3-2 in their past five, with two of the three wins coming by one possession as well. I’m not too confident in doing it, but I’m going to pick Oklahoma to win this one and eventually get blown out by Alabama in the semifinal, but if I’m honest, I think Georgia, Ohio State, and maybe even Michigan would beat this Oklahoma team more than 50% of the team were they to play on a neutral field.

    Prediction: Oklahoma 37, Texas 33

    Alabama (12-0, 8-0 SEC) vs Georgia (11-1, 7-1 SEC) in Atlanta, GA – 4 PM ET, CBS – SEC Championship Game

    All eyes will be on Atlanta Saturday afternoon for the biggest game of the year so far, a rematch of last year’s National Championship, this year for the SEC crown. ‘Bama is obviously the #1 team in the country right now, but Georgia comes in at third in my current ratings of who the best teams in the country are right now, and as long as the Dawgs don’t get absolutely blown out here, I’d still feel pretty confident in saying that they are one of the four best teams in the country. Both teams smacked their rivals last week, treating them like a tune-up game. Alabama demolished Auburn 52-21 thanks to an incredible second half performance from Tua Tagovailoa, and Georgia controlled Georgia Tech practically from start to finish, coming away with a 45-21 victory. Even though this game will be played in Atlanta, I don’t expect Georgia to have a sizable home-crowd edge, Tide fans travel, but despite that, I’ve got Jake Fromm and Georgia getting out to an early lead before the Tide roll over them in the second half. I’d expect Georgia to keep this one tight for the first three quarters, but in the end I’d be surprised if Bama wins this one by less than double digits. It will be tough, but this Crimson Tide offense is just too good. Give me Saban.

    Prediction: Alabama 41, Georgia 26

    Clemson (12-0, 8-0 ACC) vs Pittsburgh (7-5, 6-2 ACC) in Charlotte, NC – 8 PM ET, ABC – ACC Championship Game

    The best game of the nightime slate from a watchability perspective is probably Fresno State-Boise State, but if you are looking at this from a College Football Playoff lens, I see this game ahead of the Ohio State-Northwestern game. I think both Clemson and Ohio State will win by three or four touchdowns, its just Clemson might come into this one sleepwalking a bit as the #2 undefeated team while Ohio State will be playing desperate down at #6, needing to make an impression on the committee if they want to jump into that top four. Also, Clemson is playing Pitt, a team that has pulled some of the biggest upsets in college football over the past few years, beating #2 Miami in 2017 and #3 Clemson in 2016. I don’t see that happening again here, but the possibility is always there. I hate to rain on the Panther parade, but if I’m being honest, I see Trevor Lawrence and the Tigers to run all over a struggling Pitt defense, and I’d be shocked if Pitt keeps this within 20.

    Prediction: Clemson 46, Pittsburgh 19

    Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

    Northern Illinois (7-5, 6-2 MAC) vs Buffalo (10-2, 7-1 MAC) in Detroit, MI – 7 PM ET on Friday, 11/30, ESPN2 – MAC Championship Game

    Prediction: Buffalo 24, Northern Illinois 17

    Marshall (8-3) @ Virginia Tech (5-6) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Marshall 23, Virginia Tech 21 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT (Marshall +4.5)

    UAB (9-3, 7-1 C-USA) @ Middle Tennessee (8-4, 7-1 C-USA) – 1:30 PM ET, CBSSN – Conference USA Championship Game

    Prediction: Middle Tennessee 25, UAB 23

    Stanford (7-4, 5-3 Pac-12) @ California (7-4, 4-4 Pac-12) – 3 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Stanford 26, California 23

    Memphis (8-4, 5-3 American) @ UCF (11-0, 8-0 American) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC – American Championship Game

    Prediction: UCF 40, Memphis 35

    Fresno State (10-2, 7-1 MW) @ Boise State (10-2, 7-1 MW) – 7:45 PM ET, ESPN – Mountain West Championship Game

    Prediction: Fresno State 30, Boise State 27 <- UPSET ALERT

    Northwestern (8-4, 8-1 Big Ten) @ Ohio State (11-1, 8-1 Big Ten) – 8 PM ET, FOX – Big Ten Championship Game

    Prediction: Ohio State 43, Northwestern 24 <- BEST BET ALERT (Ohio State -14)

    Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

    Louisiana (7-5, 5-3 Sun Belt) @ Appalachian State (9-2, 7-1 Sun Belt) – 12 PM ET, ESPN – Sun Belt Championship Game

    Prediction: Appalachian State 35, Louisiana 16

    East Carolina (3-8) @ NC State (8-3) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: NC State 37, East Carolina 20

    Akron (4-7) @ South Carolina (6-5) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

    Prediction: South Carolina 32, Akron 9 <- BEST BET ALERT (Akron +30)

    Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

    Drake @ Iowa State (7-4) – 12 PM ET, Cyclones.TV

    Prediction: Iowa State

    Norfolk State @ Liberty (5-6) – 2 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Liberty

    Week Thirteen Predictions

    ATS Best Bets

    Western Michigan (+6.5) @ Northern Illinois – 7 PM ET on Tuesday
    Wake Forest (+13) @ Duke – 12:30 PM ET
    UAB (-2.5) @ Middle Tennessee – 3 PM ET
    Alabama (-24) vs Auburn – 3:30 PM ET
    SMU (-2) @ Tulsa – 3:30 PM ET
    Illinois (+18) @ Northwestern – 3:30 PM ET
    Rutgers (+27) @ Michigan State – 4 PM ET
    Kansas State (+14) @ Iowa State – 7 PM ET

    Tier One Games (Must Watch)

    Mississippi State (7-4, 3-4 SEC) @ Ole Miss (5-6, 1-6 SEC) – 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, 11/22, ESPN

    The Egg Bowl will kick off rivalry week 2018 as Mississippi State squares off with Ole Miss in an always chippy SEC showdown. If you’re wondering why the game is called the Egg Bowl, its pretty simple, students wanted a trophy for the game (thinking a trophy presentation would somehow stop the two fanbases from brawling) and decided on a Golden Football. The trophy, however, ended up looking a lot more like an egg. Both of these teams are better than their records indicate, and there is no doubt in my mind that if Mississippi State had a serviceable quarterback, the Bulldogs would be top five in the country right now. Even then, my computer still values them as the #10 team in the country thanks to a defense that is in contention for tops in the land. This game will be heated, and I wouldn’t be surprised if hands are thrown at some point. Even though I’m not a fan of the MSU offense, the Ole Miss defense is really bad. Ole Miss’ talented receiving core will put up some points on the stout Bulldog defense, but in the end, they’ll lose by double digits.

    Prediction: Mississippi State 37, Ole Miss 27

    Oklahoma (10-1, 7-1 Big 12) @ West Virginia (8-2, 6-2 Big 12) – 8 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ESPN

    The Friday before Rivalry Saturday has grown in recent years, and this year we’ve got a big game out of the Big 12 as the winner of this Oklahoma vs West Virginia clash will head to the conference title game. This game is the definition of a tossup, my model has the two win percentages at 50 and 50, but while the model technically favors Oklahoma by a fraction of a point, I’m using my discretion and taking West Virginia. Both of these teams have looked shaky in recent weeks, and while West Virginia was the one of the two that lost, were one extra point to go differently, Oklahoma also would’ve fallen to Oklahoma State. Don’t get it twisted, I agree with my model that Oklahoma is the better team by about a field goal, its just I feel it may be underestimating the home field edge with the home crowd rocking in Morgantown in primetime on a chilly Friday night. I think that Will Grier throws for like 500 yards and the Mountaineers win in a shootout that ends up being the most exciting game of the weekend but ends the Big 12’s playoff hopes.

    Prediction: West Virginia 46, Oklahoma 45

    Washington (8-3, 6-2 Pac-12) @ Washington State (10-1, 7-1 Pac-12) – 8:30 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, FOX

    This year the Apple Cup will be for the Pac-12 North Championship, with the winner facing Utah next Friday for the conference crown. Washington State has exceeded all expectations this year and currently sit it 10-1, but a weak Pac-12 has dragged won the Cougs’ SOS numbers. Washington has had a disappointing year by all metrics, but they still sit in my top 20 best teams in the nation this year. Washington’s secondary has been lights out all year, but so has Gardner Minshew and the Coug offense. This is a tossup game but WSU has more to play for and is at home, so I’ll take the Cougs.

    Prediction: Washington State 30, Washington 29

    Michigan (10-1, 8-0 Big Ten) @ Ohio State (10-1, 7-1 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, FOX

    The winner of this one will likely be one win against Northwestern away from a College Football Playoff bid, making it the biggest game of the weekend, so of course, Fox makes it a nooner. I realize its tradition and all, but you couldn’t at least slide it to like 3:30 so we could get that beautiful primetime feel for the second half? I’ve been saying it all year, this Michigan defense is something special, and while I may have been a little low on them in the preseason, when Michigan took Ohio State’s spot in my top four best teams in the country after week four they haven’t looked back, and I have no second thoughts when I say that Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, and Georgia are the best four teams in the country, even though the latter two have losses to my #5 and #6 teams respectively. I feel that Michigan’s loss to Notre Dame is just one data point in Notre Dame’s direction while there are five or six others in Michigan’s, a win over Ohio State on the road would cement my belief that were the two to play again, the Wolverines should be modest favorites (and Vegas oddsmakers agree with me on that). Ohio State has not looked like a playoff contender all year, in fact, there have been just two weeks this entire season where the Buckeyes have risen in my predictive ratings (after the Rutgers win and the Michigan State win). Even in high profile wins against TCU and Penn State (which both looked better at the time than they do now), the Buckeyes were trailing for large portions of the game despite coming in as favorites. This team does not look well coached, and while I love Dwayne Haskins, I really don’t see this Ohio State team putting up 30 on a Michigan defense that in their worst game gave up 24. This will be hard fought, but I think the Wolverines take the win and cover.

    Prediction: Michigan 35, Ohio State 28

    Auburn (7-4, 3-4 SEC) @ Alabama (11-0, 7-0 SEC) – 3:30 PM ET, SEC

    When I saw the line on this game… mama mia. Alabama just a 24 point favorite at home, that’s easy money. This is a rivalry game, I know that, and for all I know, Auburn will play the game of their lives and hang 30 on the ‘Bama defense, but Jarrett Stidham hasn’t done a single thing this year to tell me he can do what no other team could. I don’t see Auburn getting shut out like Mississippi State and LSU did, but they won’t score much more than ten and the Auburn secondary will get exposed by Tua Tagovailoa and the ‘Bama receiving core. The Iron Bowl has been my favorite rivalry in my college football fandom, but I just don’t see it being competitive this year, ‘Bama may hang 50 on the Tigers. The Tide will roll to a giant wave victory, and Nick Saban and company will avenge last year’s loss.

    Prediction: Alabama 45, Auburn 15 <- BEST BET ALERT (Alabama -24)

    Pittsburgh (7-4, 6-1 ACC) @ Miami (6-5, 3-4 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

    We’ve got to have at least one ACC game on this list, so we’ll head out to the Coastal Division where I’m picking the already-clinched division champions who are 6-1 in conference to lose to a 3-4 in conference opponent. If I said that before the season, you’d think I was picking Pitt to beat Miami, but you’d be wrong. The ‘Canes have been massively disappointing this season, and through a series of somewhat lucky breaks and just flat out good coaching, Pitt cracked my model’s top 25 this week. Despite all that, this game is in Coral Gables, the ‘Canes have been on a bit of an upswing recently, and they are looking for revenge after the Panthers spoiled their playoff hopes back in 2017. This will be a defensive battle and will come down to the quarterback play from the ‘Canes. N’Kosi Perry threw for 5.0 YPA last week, two touchdowns, and no picks, by no means a Kyler Murray game, but solid enough to get the job done. I think he does the same against the Panthers and the ‘Canes get their revenge.

    Prediction: Miami 29, Pittsburgh 23

    LSU (9-2, 5-2 SEC) @ Texas A&M (7-4, 4-3 SEC) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

    The whole “SEC West is the greatest division of all time” thing has kind of worn off, but it is still very true. Six of the seven teams in the division rank in the top 35 of my model, and three of the nine tier one games for this week come right out of that division. Given that they play in this crowded division, these two teams are both better than their records indicate. Of the six combined losses between the two teams, four come to opponents currently ranked in the top ten of my model. Given the national profile of the Texas A&M team, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Aggies run into a tough opponent in the bowl game, and the difference between losing out and finishing 7-6 and winning out, finishing 9-4, is big for Jimbo Fisher’s first year. LSU has had a really solid season and they deserve to be in the top ten, but with the 12th man rocking at Kyle Field, I’m taking the Aggies to win a back and forth slugfest.

    Prediction: Texas A&M 27, LSU 26

    Notre Dame (11-0) @ USC (5-6) – 8 PM ET, ABC

    Notre Dame dominated Syracuse last week, and while I thought Syracuse was the most overrated team in the country anyways coming in, the way that Ian Book and the Fighting Irish controlled that one from start to finish was the first time I’ve actually respect Notre Dame. The Irish are 11-0, but they have four wins by just one possession, and not exactly against juggernauts. Those four nail biters for the Irish include games against Vandy and Ball State, so I was excited to see ND control a game from start to finish. I think USC is a better team than Syracuse is despite what the records say, and this one is at home, but I just can’t see Notre Dame blowing their path to the playoff. Give me ND BIG.

    Prediction: Notre Dame 36, USC 21

    Oklahoma State (6-5, 3-5 Big 12) @ TCU (5-6, 3-5 Big 12) – 8 PM ET, FOX

    Maybe the most underrated game of the weekend comes out of the Big 12 where two very good teams with just average records square off in what will be a near pick’em in Vegas. I’ve said it a lot this week, but both these teams are better than the records indicate. Oklahoma State has knocked off three Top 25 teams this year: Boise State, Texas, and West Virginia (and was an extra point away from beating Oklahoma). TCU hasn’t had quite the string of high quality wins (their only Top 25 victory is Iowa State) but they are just four points away from a 7-4 record but instead are fighting for a bowl right here. Oklahoma State’s offense is deadly, but Gary Patterson’s defense is stout as ever this year, the only teams to hang 30 on the Horned Frogs so far this year have been Ohio State, Texas, Oklahoma, and West Virginia, all very highly ranked teams. This is a coin flip game and I’m picking the team that has proved that they can win close games, Oklahoma State, but I would not be shocked if Patterson finds a way to make it to a bowl for the 13th time in 14 years.

    Prediction: Oklahoma State 26, TCU 25

    Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

    Texas (8-3, 6-2 Big 12) @ Kansas (3-8, 1-7 Big 12) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, FS1

    Prediction: Texas 38, Kansas 22

    Houston (8-3, 5-2 American) @ Memphis (7-4, 4-3 American) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ABC

    Prediction: Memphis 41, Houston 35

    Nebraska (4-7, 3-5 Big Ten) @ Iowa (7-4, 4-4 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, FOX

    Prediction: Iowa 36, Nebraska 26

    Virginia (7-4, 4-3 ACC) @ Virginia Tech (4-6, 3-4 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ABC

    Prediction: Virginia 29, Virginia Tech 26

    UCF (10-0, 7-0 American) @ South Florida (7-4, 3-4 American) – 4:15 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ESPN

    Prediction: UCF 41, South Florida 28

    Georgia Tech (7-4) @ Georgia (10-1) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Georgia 41, Georgia Tech 22

    Florida (8-3) @ Florida State (5-6) – 12 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: Florida 32, Florida State 26

    Syracuse (8-3, 5-2 ACC) @ Boston College (7-4, 4-3 ACC) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Boston College 31, Syracuse 27

    Baylor (5-6, 3-5 Big 12) vs Texas Tech (5-6, 3-5 Big 12) in Arlington, TX – 12 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Texas Tech 33, Baylor 23

    Purdue (5-6, 4-4 Big Ten) @ Indiana (5-6, 2-6 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Purdue 34, Indiana 30

    Marshall (7-3, 5-2 C-USA) @ Florida Intl (8-3, 6-1 C-USA) – 12 PM ET, Stadium

    Prediction: Marshall 28, Florida Intl 27

    NC State (7-3, 4-3 ACC) @ North Carolina (2-8, 1-6 ACC) – 12:20 PM ET, ACC Network

    Prediction: NC State 34, North Carolina 29

    Wake Forest (5-6, 2-5 ACC) @ Duke (7-4, 3-4 ACC) – 12:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

    Prediction: Duke 36, Wake Forest 32 <- BEST BET ALERT (Wake Forest +13)

    Stanford (6-4, 4-3 Pac-12) @ UCLA (3-8, 3-5 Pac-12) – 3 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Stanford 35, UCLA 25

    UAB (9-2, 7-0 C-USA) @ Middle Tennessee (7-4, 6-1 C-USA) – 3 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: UAB 28, Middle Tennessee 22 <- BEST BET ALERT (UAB -2.5)

    Maryland (5-6, 3-5 Big Ten) @ Penn State (8-3, 5-3 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: Penn State 34, Maryland 21

    Arizona State (6-5, 4-4 Pac-12) @ Arizona (5-6, 4-4 Pac-12) – 3:30 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Arizona 34, Arizona State 32 <- UPSET ALERT

    Minnesota (5-6, 2-6 Big Ten) @ Wisconsin (7-4, 5-3 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Wisconsin 35, Minnesota 21

    Tennessee (5-6, 2-5 SEC) @ Vanderbilt (5-6, 2-5 SEC) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Tennessee 24, Vanderbilt 23 <- UPSET ALERT

    South Carolina (6-4) @ Clemson (11-0) – 7 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Clemson 46, South Carolina 18

    Kansas State (5-6, 3-5 Big 12) @ Iowa State (6-4, 5-3 Big 12) – 7 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Iowa State 28, Kansas State 19 <- BEST BET ALERT (Kansas State +14)

    Colorado (5-6, 2-6 Pac-12) @ California (6-4, 3-4 Pac-12) – 7 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: California 28, Colorado 19

    BYU (6-5) @ Utah (8-3) – 10 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Utah 30, BYU 18

    Utah State (10-1, 7-0 MW) @ Boise State (9-2, 6-1 MW) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Utah State 32, Boise State 31

    Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

    Ball State (4-7, 3-4 MAC) @ Miami-OH (5-6, 5-2 MAC) – 7 PM ET on Tuesday, 11/20, ESPN+

    Prediction: Miami-OH 35, Ball State 18

    Northern Illinois (7-4, 6-1 MAC) @ Western Michigan (6-5, 4-3 MAC) – 7 PM ET on Tuesday, 11/20, ESPNU

    Prediction: Northern Illinois 27, Western Michigan 26 <- BEST BET ALERT (Western Michigan +6.5)

    Colorado State (3-8, 2-5 MW) @ Air Force (4-7, 2-5 MW) – 3:30 PM ET on Thursday, 11/22, CBSSN

    Prediction: Air Force 37, Colorado State 22

    Akron (4-6, 2-5 MAC) @ Ohio (7-4, 5-2 MAC) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, CBSSN

    Prediction: Ohio 39, Akron 14

    Buffalo (9-2, 6-1 MAC) @ Bowling Green (3-8, 2-5 MAC) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ESPNU

    Prediction: Buffalo 38, Bowling Green 20

    Central Michigan (1-10, 0-7 MAC) @ Toledo (6-5, 4-3 MAC) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ESPN3

    Toledo 36, Central Michigan 15

    Eastern Michigan (6-5, 4-3 MAC) @ Kent State (2-9, 1-6 MAC) – 12 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ESPN3

    Prediction: Eastern Michigan 30, Kent State 16

    Arkansas (2-9, 0-7 SEC) @Missouri (7-4, 3-4 SEC) – 2:30 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, CBS

    Prediction: Missouri 43, Arkansas 23

    Coastal Carolina (5-6, 2-5 Sun Belt) @ South Alabama (2-9, 1-6 Sun Belt) – 3 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, ESPN+

    Prediction: Coastal Carolina 23, South Alabama 21

    East Carolina (3-7, 1-6 American) @ Cincinnati (9-2, 5-2 American) – 3:30 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, CBSSN

    Prrediction: Cincinnati 39, East Carolina 21

    Oregon (7-4, 4-4 Pac-12) @ Oregon State (2-9, 1-7 Pac-12) – 4 PM ET on Friday, 11/23, FS1

    Prediction: Oregon 41, Oregon State 23

    Western Kentucky (2-9, 1-6 C-USA) @ Louisiana Tech (7-4, 5-2 C-USA) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Louisiana Tech 30, Western Kentucky 19

    Navy (3-8, 2-5 American) @ Tulane (5-6, 4-3 American) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Tulane 32, Navy 21

    Old Dominion (4-7, 2-5 C-USA) @ Rice (1-11, 0-7 C-USA) – 1 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Old Dominion 32, Rice 17

    New Mexico State (3-8) @ Liberty (4-6) – 2 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Liberty 40, New Mexico State 32

    Georgia Southern (8-3, 5-2 Sun Belt) @ Georgia State (2-9, 1-6 Sun Belt) – 2 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Georgia Southern 35, Georgia State 19

    Wyoming (5-6, 3-4 MW) @ New Mexico (3-8, 1-6 MW) – 2:30 PM ET, AT&T Sports Network

    Prediction: Wyoming 27, New Mexico 17

    Troy (9-2, 7-0 Sun Belt) @ Appalachian State (8-2, 6-1 Sun Belt) – 2:30 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Appalachian State 32, Troy 23

    Southern Mississippi (5-5, 4-3 C-USA) @ UTEP (1-10, 1-6 C-USA) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Southern Mississippi 28, UTEP 17

    Louisiana (6-5, 4-3 Sun Belt) @ UL Monroe (6-5, 4-3 Sun Belt) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Louisiana 31, UL Monroe 30 <- UPSET ALERT

    Illinois (4-7, 2-6 Big Ten) @ Northwestern (7-4, 7-1 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Northwestern 34, Illinois 22 <- BEST BET ALERT (Illinois +18)

    SMU (5-6, 4-3 American) @ Tulsa (2-9, 1-6 American) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: SMU 36, Tulsa 28 <- BEST BET ALERT (SMU -2)

    Temple (7-4, 6-1 American) @ UConn (1-10, 0-7 American) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Temple 44, UConn 15

    Arkansas State (7-4, 4-3 Sun Belt) @ Texas State (3-8, 1-6 Sun Belt) – 4 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Arkansas State 33, Texas State 21

    Rutgers (1-10, 0-8 Big Ten) @ Michigan State (6-5, 4-4 Big Ten) – 4 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Michigan State 28, Rutgers 6 <- BEST BET ALERT (Rutgers +27)

    Charlotte (4-7, 3-4 C-USA) @ Florida Atlantic (5-6, 3-4 C-USA) – 6 PM ET, Stadium TV

    Prediction: Florida Atlantic 34, Charlotte 19

    Kentucky (8-3) @ Louisville (2-9) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Kentucky 35, Louisville 14

    San Jose State (1-10, 1-6 MW) @ Fresno State (9-2, 6-1 MW) – 7 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Fresno State 40, San Jose State 11

    North Texas (8-3, 4-3 C-USA) @ UTSA (3-8, 2-5 C-USA) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: North Texas 38, UTSA 11

    Nevada (7-4, 5-2 MW) @ UNLV (3-8, 1-6 MW) – 9:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Nevada 36, UNLV 23

    Hawai’i (7-5, 4-3 MW) @ San Diego State (7-4, 4-3 MW) – 10:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: San Diego State 33, Hawai’i 20

    Week Twelve Predictions

    ATS Best Bets

    Middle Tennessee (+16) @ Kentucky – 12 PM ET
    Minnesota (+3) vs Northwestern – 12 PM ET
    Wisconsin (+6) @ Purdue – 3:30 PM ET
    Liberty (+28.5) @ Auburn – 4 PM ET
    UMass (+44) @ Georgia – 4 PM ET
    UAB (+17) @ Texas A&M – 7 PM ET
    UConn (+18) @ East Carolina – 7 PM ET
    Rice (+44) @ LSU – 7:30 PM ET
    Kansas (+36) @ Oklahoma – 7:30 PM ET

    Tier One Games (Must Watch)

    There are really no crazy high-level games this week, so I selected three games I expect to be tight over matchups like Syracuse-Notre Dame that will have bigger national implications but have double-digit point spreads.

    West Virginia (8-1, 6-1 Big 12) @ Oklahoma State (5-5, 2-5 Big 12) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

    Oklahoma State always seems to play up to their opponent, see the Boise State game, the Texas game, and the Oklahoma game this past week. The Cowboys, however, haven’t been able to continue playing at that high level when it comes to games outside of the national spotlight like when they lost to Kansas State a few weeks back. OSU won’t run into that problem this week with the CFP #9 West Virginia Mountaineers coming to town. WVU still has an outside shot at a playoff bid, their only loss, Iowa State, continues to climb up the rankings like my computer predicted. As for the Cowboys, Oklahoma State hung 47 on in-state rival Oklahoma last week, a mark I in no way see them hitting this week against a WVU defense that is top three in the conference behind Iowa State and maybe Gary Patterson’s TCU Horned Frogs. Oklahoma State will keep this one tight from start to finish, and the offense will be able to hang with the WVU defense, I’m just a little worried about Oklahoma State’s D stopping Will Grier. Give me West Virginia to keep their playoff hopes alive, but it will be close, and a lot lower scoring than last week despite Taylor Cornelius’ wishes.

    Prediction: West Virginia 30, Oklahoma State 26

    Stanford (6-4, 4-3 Pac-12) @ California (6-4, 3-4 Pac-12) – 7:30 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    The “Big Game” has been far from competitive in recent years, as Stanford has won eight straight games, a record in the series. The Cardinal’s average margin of victory in those eight games? 20 points. Cal is hoping to end the streak of Stanford dominance, and this year is their best chance to do so in a while. Cal’s in an up year, Stanford’s in a down year, the game is at Cal… Everything seems to line up for a Golden Bear win, but I just can’t pick this streak to end. Stanford QB KJ Costello has been one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country this year, and JJ Arcega-Whiteside has a chance to be the first receiver taken in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Cal pass defense is good enough that they will limit JJAW’s touches, but even if he has a slow game, I don’t have any faith in the Cal defense to move on this Stanford front. Give me Stanford in a tight one.

    Prediction: Stanford 26, California 22

    Iowa State (6-3, 5-2 Big 12) @ Texas (7-3, 5-2 Big 12) – 8 PM ET, LHN

    This is the only game this week pitting two teams in my CSD Computer Rankings Top 25 against each other, and the sad thing is, a lot of folks won’t get to see it because it’s on the Longhorn Network. If you do get to see it, you’ll be in for a treat. Iowa State has been one team my computer has been saying is underrated since they beat West Virginia a month ago, and the College Football Playoff Committee is just starting to notice it. ISU was in my computer’s top 15 at times when they were unranked by the AP, but now as more and more people start to notice them, and they climb closer to that number my computer had them at weeks ago, they are starting to slip. Last week against Baylor, the Cyclones put in a poor performance, and while the final score was 28-14, it should have been a lot closer according to my computer. Even so, I’d still pick Brock Purdy and the ‘Clones on a neutral field. There’s just one problem with that. This game won’t be played on a neutral field. David Montgomery will be out for the first half, and with the home crowd behind him, I think Sam Ehlinger and the Longhorns get it done and keep their Big 12 Championship Game hopes alive.

    Prediction: Texas 34, Iowa State 32

    Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

    Buffalo (9-1, 6-0 MAC) @ Ohio (6-4, 4-2 MAC) – 7 PM ET on Wednesday, 11/13, ESPN2

    Prediction: Buffalo 36, Ohio 35

    Miami-OH (4-6, 4-2 MAC) @ Northern Illinois (7-3, 6-0 MAC) – 8 PM ET on Wednesday, 11/13, ESPNU

    Prediction: Northern Illinois 30, Miami-OH 26

    Tulane (5-5, 4-2 American) @ Houston (7-3, 4-2 American) – 8 PM ET on Thursday, 11/15, ESPN

    Prediction: Houston 39, Tulane 29

    Florida Atlantic (5-5, 3-3 C-USA) @ North Texas (7-3, 3-3 C-USA) – 9:30 PM ET on Thursday, 11/15, CBSSN

    Prediction: North Texas 37, Florida Atlantic 32

    Memphis (6-4, 3-3 American) @ SMU (5-5, 4-2 American) – 9 PM ET on Friday, 11/16, ESPN2

    Prediction: Memphis 48, SMU 34

    Ohio State (9-1, 6-1 Big Ten) @ Maryland (5-5, 3-4 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: Ohio State 35, Maryland 20

    Michigan State (6-4, 4-3 Big Ten) @ Nebraska (3-7, 2-5 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Nebraska 28, Michigan State 27 <- UPSET ALERT

    Northwestern (6-4, 6-1 Big Ten) @ Minnesota (5-5, 2-5 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Minnesota 28, Northwestern 24 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT (Minnesota +3)

    South Florida (7-3, 3-3 American) @ Temple (6-4, 5-1 American) – 12 PM ET, ESPNews

    Prediction: Temple 41, South Florida 30

    TCU (4-6, 2-5 Big 12) @ Baylor (5-5, 3-4 Big 12) – 12 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Baylor 26, TCU 25

    Pittsburgh (6-4, 5-1 ACC) @ Wake Forest (5-5, 2-4 ACC) – 12 PM ET, ACC RSN

    Prediction: Pittsburgh 39, Wake Forest 33

    Utah (7-3, 5-3 Pac-12) @ Colorado (5-5, 2-5 Pac-12) – 1:30 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Utah 34, Colorado 29

    Syracuse (8-2) vs Notre Dame (10-0) in New York, NY – 2:30 PM ET, NBC

    Prediction: Nortre Dame 42, Syracuse 35

    Boston College (7-3, 4-2 ACC) @ Florida State (4-6, 2-5 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Boston College 28, Florida State 23

    Iowa (6-4, 3-4 Big Ten) @ Illinois (4-6, 2-5 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Iowa 38, Illinois 22

    Wisconsin (6-4, 4-3 Big Ten) @ Purdue (5-5, 4-3 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Wisconsin 33, Purdue 26 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT (Wisconsin +6)

    Virginia (7-3, 4-2 ACC) @ Georgia Tech (6-4, 4-3 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ACC RSN

    Prediction: Virginia 31, Georgia Tech 27

    Miami (5-5, 2-4 ACC) @ Virginia Tech (4-5, 3-3 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Miami 32, Virginia Tech 24

    Texas Tech (5-5, 3-4 Big 12) @ Kansas State (4-5, 2-5 Big 12) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Texas Tech 35, Kansas State 28

    Missouri (6-4, 2-4 SEC) @ Tennessee (5-5, 2-4 SEC) – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

    Prediction: Missouri 28, Tennessee 25

    USC (5-5, 4-4 Pac-12) @ UCLA (2-8, 2-5 Pac-12) – 3:30 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: USC 28, UCLA 24

    Indiana (5-5, 2-5 Big Ten) @ Michigan (9-1, 7-0 Big Ten) – 4 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Michigan 43, Indiana 17

    Air Force (4-6, 2-4 MW) @ Wyoming (4-6, 2-4 MW) – 4 PM ET, ESPNews

    Prediction: Air Force 21, Wyoming 20 <- UPSET ALERT

    Duke (7-3, 3-3 ACC) @ Clemson (10-0, 7-0 ACC) – 7 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Clemson 45, Duke 19

    UAB (9-1) @ Texas A&M (6-4) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Texas A&M 31, UAB 24 <- BEST BET ALERT (UAB +17)

    Kansas (3-7, 1-6 Big 12) @ Oklahoma (9-1, 6-1 Big 12) – 7:30 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Oklahoma 49, Kansas 20 <- BEST BET ALERT (Kansas +36)

    Ole Miss (5-5, 1-5 SEC) @ Vanderbilt (4-6, 1-5 SEC) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Vanderbilt 37, Ole Miss 36

    Cincinnati (9-1, 5-1 American) @ UCF (9-0, 6-0 American) – 8 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: UCF 35, Cincinnati 32

    Arizona (5-5, 4-3 Pac-12) @ Washington State (9-1, 6-1 Pac-12) – 10:30 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Washington State 38, Arizona 30

    San Diego State (7-3, 4-2 MW) @ Fresno State (8-2, 5-1 MW) – 10:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Fresno State 32, San Diego State 21

    Arizona State (6-4, 4-3 Pac-12) @ Oregon (6-4, 3-4 Pac-12) – 10:30 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Oregon 34, Arizona State 32

    Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

    Western Michigan (6-4, 4-2 MAC) @ Ball State (3-7, 2-4 MAC) – 6 PM ET on Tuesday, 11/13, ESPN2

    Prediction: Western Michigan 33, Ball State 26

    Toledo (5-5, 3-3 MAC) @ Kent State (2-8, 1-5 MAC) – 6 PM ET on Thursday, 11/15, CBSSN

    Prediction: Toledo 39, Kent State 22

    Boise State (8-2, 5-1 MW) @ New Mexico (3-7, 1-5 MW) – 9 PM ET on Friday, 11/16, CBSSN

    Prediction: Boise State 41, New Mexico 23

    Middle Tennessee (7-3) @ Kentucky (7-3) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

    Prediction: Kentucky 27, Middle Tennessee 19 <- BEST BET ALERT (Middle Tennessee +16)

    Arkansas (2-8, 0-6 SEC) @ Mississippi State (6-4, 2-4 SEC) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Mississippi State 36, Arkansas 14

    Penn State (7-3, 4-3 Big Ten) @ Rutgers (1-9, 0-7 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Penn State 39, Rutgers 10

    NC State (6-3, 3-3 ACC) @ Louisville (2-8, 0-7 ACC) – 12:20 PM ET, ACC Network

    Prediction: NC State 44, Louisville 24

    Utah State (9-1, 6-0 MW) @ Colorado State (3-7, 2-4 MW) – 2 PM ET, AT&T Sports Network

    Prediction: Utah State 50, Colorado State 21

    Florida Intl (7-3, 5-1 C-USA) @ Charlotte (4-6, 3-3 C-USA) – 2 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Florida Intl 25, Charlotte 17

    UTSA (3-7, 2-4 C-USA) @ Marshall (6-3, 4-2 C-USA) – 2:30 PM ET, Facebook Live

    Prediction: Marshall 33, UTSA 9

    Georgia State (2-8, 1-5 Sun Belt) @ Appalachian State (7-2, 5-1 Sun Belt) – 2:30 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Appalachian State 44, Georgia State 14

    UL Monroe (6-4, 4-2 Sun Belt) @ Arkansas State (6-4, 3-3 Sun Belt) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Arkansas State 39, UL Monroe 31

    Tulsa (2-8, 1-5 American) @ Navy (2-8, 1-5 American) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Navy 26, Tulsa 24

    Texas State (3-7, 1-5 Sun Belt) @ Troy (8-2, 6-0 Sun Belt) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Troy 37, Texas State 18

    Louisiana Tech (7-3, 5-1 C-USA) @ Southern Mississippi (4-5, 3-3 C-USA) – 3:30 PM ET, Stadium TV

    Prediction: Southern Mississippi 28, Louisiana Tech 27 <- UPSET ALERT

    Bowling Green (2-8, 1-5 MAC) @ Akron (4-5, 2-4 MAC) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Akron 25, Bowling Green 16

    UMass (4-7) @ Georgia (9-1) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Georgia 51, UMass 14 <- BEST BET ALERT (UMass +44)

    Liberty (4-5) @ Auburn (6-4) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

    Prediction: Auburn 40, Liberty 19 <- BEST BET ALERT (Liberty +28.5)

    Oregon State (2-8, 1-6 Pac-12) @ Washington (7-3, 5-2 Pac-12) – 4:30 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Washington 44, Oregon State 15

    Georgia Southern (7-3, 4-2 Sun Belt) @ Coastal Carolina (5-5, 2-4 Sun Belt) – 5 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Georgia Southern 33, Coastal Carolina 22

    South Alabama (2-8, 1-5 Sun Belt) @ Louisiana (5-5, 3-3 Sun Belt) – 5 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Louisiana 35, South Alabama 19

    Nevada (6-4, 4-2 MW) @ San Jose State (1-9, 1-5 MW) – 5 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Nevada 42, San Jose State 22

    UConn (1-9, 0-6 American) @ East Carolina (2-7, 0-6 American) – 7 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: East Carolina 36, UConn 24 <- BEST BET ALERT (UConn +18)

    Rice (1-10) @ LSU (8-2) – 7:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: LSU 41, Rice 4 <- BEST BET ALERT (Rice +44)

    UTEP (1-9, 1-5 C-USA) @ Western Kentucky (1-9, 0-6 C-USA) – 7:30 PM ET, beIN

    Prediction: Western Kentucky 24, UTEP 20

    New Mexico State (3-7) @ BYU (5-5) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: BYU 37, New Mexico State 15

    UNLV (3-7, 1-5 MW) @ Hawai’i (6-5, 3-3 MW) – 11 PM ET, Stadium App

    Prediction: Hawai’i 31, UNLV 27

    Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

    The Citadel @ Alabama (10-0) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Alabama

    Idaho @ Florida (7-3) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Florida

    Colgate @ Army (8-2) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Army

    VMI @ Old Dominion (3-7) – 2 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Old Dominion

    Western Carolina @ North Carolina (1-8) – 3 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: North Carolina

    Chattanooga @ South Carolina (5-4) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

    Prediction: South Carolina

    Week Eleven Predictions

    ATS Best Bets

    Kent State (+22.5) @ Buffalo – 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday
    Toledo (+3) @ Northern Illinois – 8 PM ET on Wednesday
    Fresno State (-2) @ Boise State – 10:15 PM ET on Friday
    Vanderbilt (+17) @ Missouri – 12 PM ET
    TCU (+14.5) @ West Virginia – 12 PM ET
    Wisconsin (+9) @ Penn State – 12 PM ET
    Illinois (+18) @ Nebraska – 12 PM ET
    North Carolina (+10.5) @ Duke – 12:20 PM ET
    Mississippi State (+26) @ Alabama – 3:30 PM ET
    East Carolina (+14) @ Tulane – 4 PM ET
    Georgia State (+14) @ Louisiana – 5 PM ET
    Western Kentucky (+20) @ Florida Atlantic – 5 PM ET
    Florida State (+18) @ Notre Dame – 7:30 PM ET

    Tier One Games (Must Watch)

    Ohio State (8-1, 5-1 Big Ten) @ Michigan State (6-3, 4-2 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, FOX

    Despite being a top 20 team in both my computer model and the College Football Playoff rankings, Michigan State’s season so far has just felt “meh.” Last week’s 24-3 win over Maryland was the first game all year the Spartans won by more than 14 points, and even that wasn’t an incredibly convincing performance. You could say the same thing about Ohio State too. The Buckeyes are a top-ten level team that just doesn’t play like it, they’ve struggled with Minnesota, Indiana, and Nebraska over the past month and the Buckeyes were blown out by Purdue. I really don’t have faith in either of these teams, but Brian Lewerke has been flat out bad recently for the Spartans, so despite the home field advantage, I’m picking Ohio State, not very confidently though.

    Prediction: Ohio State 33, Michigan State 27

    Wisconsin (6-3, 4-2 Big Ten) @ Penn State (6-3, 3-3 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, ABC

    Two teams with somewhat disappointing years so far square off in College Park as Wisconsin takes on a reeling Penn State team. Despite the blowout loss to Michigan last week, most computer models, including my own, still have the Nittany Lions in the top 15. With a loss here, however, my faith in PSU would go right down the drain. Because of the home field advantage, I think Penn State will win this one, but Wisconsin will keep it a lot closer than the experts think. Penn State QB Trace McSorley is banged up, and this Wisconsin defense is still excellent, so I think its easy money to say the Badgers will keep this one within nine points.

    Prediction: Penn State 33, Wisconsin 29 <- BEST BET ALERT (Wisconsin +9)

    Mississippi State (6-3, 2-3 SEC) @ Alabama (9-0, 6-0 SEC) – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

    Mississippi State is good. If this team had a quarterback, I think they’d be 9-0 right now and we’d be looking at them as a potential playoff team even with a loss here. The defense is maybe the best in the country, allowing 20+ points once this year, and never allowing more than 28. Despite that, they’ve still somehow lost three games, so my point stands, if the Aggies had a serviceable quarterback that could reasonably put up 30 points a game, they’d be fine, but in their three losses, they’ve scored three, six, and seven. The defense is good enough that the model (and I) still sees this team at a borderline top ten level. That might seem like a stretch, but the Bulldogs are 8th in the TeamRankings predictive ratings, 11th in S&P+, and 11th in Sagarin. Now, Alabama went on the road and beat another top ten team by 29, but I am holding out hope that Mississippi State will change quarterbacks for this game and provide a spark to the offense, we all know how terrific of an offensive mind Joe Moorhead is. MSU will still lose, but it will be a lot closer than Vegas and the public think, in fact, I think it will be the first game all year that ‘Bama wins by less than 20.

    Prediction: Alabama 41, Mississippi State 22 <- BEST BET ALERT (Mississippi State +26)

    Auburn (6-3, 3-3 SEC) @ Georgia (8-1, 6-1 SEC) – 7 PM ET, ESPN

    Jarrett Stidham and Auburn came through against Texas A&M, but they run into a much tougher test this week as they must travel on the road to face Jake Fromm and the Georgia Bulldogs. This game will have no effect on the SEC Title race, Georgia will play Alabama there even if they lose out, but it could have an impact on the College Football Playoff hunt. If Georgia loses to Auburn but then wins out and beats ‘Bama in the SEC Championship Game, we could be looking at a very complicated situation on Selection Sunday. Luckily for the committee, I don’t think that will happen. Georgia QB Jake Fromm has been lights out so far this year in the short and intermediate range, and I expect him to lead the Bulldogs to a double-digit point victory here.

    Prediction: Georgia 36, Auburn 23

    Clemson (9-0, 6-0 ACC) @ Boston College (7-2, 4-1 ACC) – 8 PM ET, ABC

    Boston College is looking really good lately, and the home crowd was electric a couple weeks ago in the Red Bandana Game victory over Miami, but if I’m being honest, I don’t see this team beating Clemson, or really even keeping it close. There isn’t a single team in the nation bar Alabama that I would pick to defeat the Tigers right now. Unfortunately for BC, the Clemson run defense is the best in the country, allowing an extraordinary 2.2 yards per carry this year, a number only topped by Nick Saban’s Alabama teams in 2011 and 2016 (1.9 and 2.0 respectively) at any point in the past ten years. The Eagles’ biggest strength, AJ Dillon’s run game, happens to play right into the hands of Clemson. I really like Boston College this year, but this just isn’t a good matchup for them.

    Prediction: Clemson 40, Boston College 23

    Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

    Ohio (6-3, 4-1 MAC) @ Miami-OH (3-6, 3-2 MAC) – 7 PM ET on Wednesday, 11/7, ESPNU

    Prediction: Ohio 32, Miami-OH 26

    Toledo (5-4, 3-2 MAC) @ Northern Illinois (6-3, 5-0 MAC) – 8 PM ET on Wednesday, 11/7, ESPN2

    Prediction: Toledo 22, Northern Illinois 19 <- BEST BET ALERT (Toledo +3) & UPSET ALERT

    Wake Forest (4-5, 1-4 ACC) @ NC State (6-2, 3-2 ACC) – 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, 11/8, ESPN

    Prediction: NC State 40, Wake Forest 25

    Fresno State (8-1, 5-0 MW) @ Boise State (7-2, 4-1 MW) – 10:15 PM ET on Friday, 11/9, ESPN2

    Prediction: Fresno State 29, Boise State 21 <- BEST BET ALERT (Fresno State -2)

    South Carolina (5-3, 4-3 SEC) @ Florida (6-3, 4-3 SEC) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Florida 24, South Carolina 18

    TCU (4-5, 2-4 Big 12) @ West Virginia (7-1, 5-1 Big 12) – 12 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: West Virginia 33, TCU 25 <- BEST BET ALERT (TCU +14.5)

    Ole Miss (5-4, 1-4 SEC) @ Texas A&M (5-4, 3-3 SEC) – 12 PM ET, CBS

    Prediction: Texas A&M 33, Ole Miss 24

    Vanderbilt (4-5, 1-4 SEC) @ Missouri (5-4, 1-4 SEC) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Missouri 28, Vanderbilt 21 <- BEST BET ALERT (Vanderbilt +17)

    Illinois (4-5, 2-4 Big Ten) @ Nebraska (2-7, 1-5 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Nebraska 41, Illinois 32 <- BEST BET ALERT (Illinois +18)

    Maryland (5-4, 3-3 Big Ten) @ Indiana (4-5, 1-5 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Indiana 29, Maryland 28

    North Carolina (1-7, 1-5 ACC) @ Duke (6-3, 2-3 ACC) – 12:20 PM ET, ACC Network

    Prediction: Duke 33, North Carolina 28 <- BEST BET ALERT (North Carolina +10.5)

    UCLA (2-7, 2-4 Pac-12) @ Arizona State (5-4, 3-3 Pac-12) – 2 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Arizona State 36, UCLA 20

    Oklahoma State (5-4, 2-4 Big 12) @ Oklahoma (8-1, 5-1 Big 12) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: Oklahoma 50, Oklahoma State 36

    Washington State (8-1, 5-1 Pac-12) @ Colorado (5-4, 2-4 Pac-12) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Washington State 37, Colorado 29

    Kentucky (7-2, 5-2 SEC) @ Tennessee (4-5, 1-4 SEC) – 3:30 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Kentucky 26, Tennessee 17

    Northwestern (5-4, 5-1 Big Ten) @ Iowa (6-3, 3-3 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Iowa 30, Northwestern 19

    Baylor (5-4, 3-3 Big 12) @ Iowa State (5-3, 4-2 Big 12) – 3:30 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Iowa State 34, Baylor 19

    Virginia Tech (4-4, 3-2 ACC) @ Pittsburgh (5-4, 4-1 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Pittsburgh 28, Virginia Tech 25

    Purdue (5-4, 4-2 Big Ten) @ Minnesota (4-5, 1-5 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Purdue 40, Minnesota 30

    Oregon (6-3, 3-3 Pac-12) @ Utah (6-3, 4-3 Pac-12) – 5:30 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Utah 32, Oregon 24

    Miami (5-4, 2-3 ACC) @ Georgia Tech (5-4, 3-3 ACC) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Miami 27, Georgia Tech 25 <- UPSET ALERT

    Temple (5-4, 4-1 American) @ Houston (7-2, 4-1 American) – 7 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Houston 39, Temple 35

    LSU (7-2, 4-2 SEC) @ Arkansas (2-7, 0-5 SEC) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: LSU 36, Arkansas 20

    Florida State (4-5) @ Notre Dame (9-0) – 7:30 PM ET, NBC

    Prediction: Notre Dame 35, Florida State 24 <- BEST BET ALERT (Florida State +18)

    Texas (6-3, 4-2 Big 12) @ Texas Tech (5-4, 3-3 Big 12) – 7:30 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Texas 36, Texas Tech 35

    Southern Mississippi (4-4, 3-2 C-USA) @ UAB (8-1, 6-0 C-USA) – 7:30 PM ET, beIN Sports

    Prediction: UAB 29, Southern Mississippi 17

    California (5-4, 2-4 Pac-12) @ USC (5-4, 4-3 Pac-12) – 10:30 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: USC 25, California 22

    Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

    Kent State (2-7, 1-4 MAC) @ Buffalo (8-1, 5-0 MAC) – 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, 11/6, ESPNU

    Prediction: Buffalo 33, Kent State 16 <- BEST BET ALERT (Kent State +22.5)

    Louisville (2-7, 0-6 ACC) @ Syracuse (7-2, 4-2 ACC) – 7 PM ET on Friday, 11/9, ESPN2

    Prediction: Syracuse 40, Louisville 20

    Navy (2-7, 1-4 American) @ UCF (8-0, 5-0 American) – 12 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: UCF 47, Navy 24

    Akron (4-4, 2-3 MAC) @ Eastern Michigan (5-5, 3-3 MAC) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Eastern Michigan 27, Akron 15

    Tulsa (2-7, 1-4 American) @ Memphis (5-4, 2-3 American) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Memphis 37, Tulsa 22

    SMU (4-5, 3-2 American) @ UConn (1-8, 0-5 American) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: SMU 28, UConn 11

    Kansas (3-6, 1-5 Big 12) @ Kansas State (3-6, 1-5 Big 12) – 12 PM ET, FSN

    Prediction: Kansas State 22, Kansas 13

    BYU (4-5) @ UMass (4-6) – 12 PM ET, Eleven Sports

    Prediction: BYU 29, UMass 19

    Troy (7-2, 5-0 Sun Belt) @ Georgia Southern (7-2, 4-1 Sun Belt) – 1 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Troy 31, Georgia Southern 28

    North Texas (7-2, 3-2 C-USA) @ Old Dominion (2-7, 1-5 C-USA) – 2 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: North Texas 43, Old Dominion 22

    Charlotte (4-5, 3-2 C-USA) @ Marshall (5-3, 3-2 C-USA) – 2:30 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Marshall 27, Charlotte 16

    Liberty (4-4) @ Virginia (6-3) – 3 PM ET, ACC RSN

    Prediction: Virginia 37, Liberty 19

    Middle Tennessee (6-3, 5-1 C-USA) @ UTEP (1-8, 1-4 C-USA) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Middle Tennessee 27, UTEP 17

    Bowling Green (1-8, 0-5 MAC) @ Central Michigan (1-9, 0-6 MAC) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Central Michigan 25, Bowling Green 21

    Michigan (8-1, 6-0 Big Ten) @ Rutgers (1-8, 0-6 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Michigan 43, Rutgers 7

    New Mexico (3-6, 1-4 MW) @ Air Force (3-6, 1-4 MW) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Air Force 36, New Mexico 26

    San Jose State (1-8, 1-4 MW) @ Utah State (8-1, 5-0 MW) – 4 PM ET, Facebook Watch

    Prediction: Utah State 49, San Jose State 15

    Appalachian State (6-2, 4-1 Sun Belt) @ Texas State (3-6, 1-4 Sun Belt) – 4 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Appalachian State 36, Texas State 17

    East Carolina (2-6, 0-5 American) @ Tulane (4-5, 3-2 American) – 4 PM ET, ESPNews

    Prediction: Tulane 31, East Carolina 22 <- BEST BET ALERT (East Carolina +14)

    Western Kentucky (1-8, 0-5 C-USA) @ Florida Atlantic (4-5, 2-3 C-USA) – 5 PM ET, Facebook Watch

    Prediction: Florida Atlantic 33, Western Kentucky 18 <- BEST BET ALERT (Western Kentucky +20)

    Arkansas State (5-4, 2-3 Sun Belt) @ Coastal Carolina (5-4, 2-3 Sun Belt) – 5 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Arkansas State 33, Coastal Carolina 28

    Georgia State (2-7, 1-4 Sun Belt) @ Louisiana (4-5, 2-3 Sun Belt) – 5 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Louisiana 37, Georgia State 30 <- BEST BET ALERT (Georgia State +14)

    UL Monroe (5-4, 3-2 Sun Belt) @ South Alabama (2-7, 1-4 Sun Belt) – 5 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: UL Monroe 30, South Alabama 19

    Florida Intl (6-3, 4-1 C-USA) @ UTSA (3-6, 2-3 C-USA) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Florida Intl 30, UTSA 17

    Rice (1-9, 0-6 C-USA) @ Louisiana Tech (6-3, 4-1 C-USA) – 7 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Louisiana Tech 36, Rice 14

    South Florida (7-2, 3-2 American) @ Cincinnati (8-1, 4-1 American) – 7 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Cincinnati 40, South Florida 28

    Oregon State (2-7, 1-5 Pac-12) @ Stanford (5-4, 3-3 Pac-12) – 9 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Stanford 39, Oregon State 15

    UNLV (2-7, 0-5 MW) @ San Diego State (7-2, 4-1 MW) – 10:30 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: San Diego State 35, UNLV 13

    Colorado State (3-6, 2-3 MW) @ Nevada (5-4, 3-2 MW) – 10:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Nevada 36, Colorado State 24

    Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

    Lafayette @ Army (7-2) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Army

    Week Ten Predictions

    ATS Best Bets

    Ohio (+2) @ Western Michigan – 7 PM ET on Thursday
    Temple (+11) @ UCF – 7:30 PM ET on Thursday
    Oklahoma State (-6) @ Baylor – 12 PM ET
    Georgia Southern (-7) @ UL Monroe – 3 PM ET
    South Florida (-6) vs Tulane – 3:30 PM ET
    Iowa (+3) @ Purdue – 3:30 PM ET
    Northwestern (+10) vs Notre Dame – 7:15 PM ET
    Louisiana Tech (+23.5) @ Mississippi State – 7:30 PM ET

    Tier One Games (Must Watch)

    Texas A&M (5-3, 3-2 SEC) @ Auburn (5-3, 2-3 SEC) – 12 PM ET, ESPN

    The noon slate is highlighted by a matchup between two of the best defenses in the country, and while neither Texas A&M or Auburn will be competing for a conference title in the crowded SEC West, this should be a close, fun college football game to watch when you wake up. Last week I went out on a limb (for me) and picked Nick Fitzgerald, who you know I am not a fan of, to beat Texas A&M, and while I was not very confident in it, Fitzgerald and Mississippi State came through for me and knocked Jimbo and the Aggies, if Nick Fitzgerald can do it, Jarrett Stidham can. While Stidham has not lived up to the NFL hype he got before the season started, he will certainly be a tougher test than Fitzgerald, and with the Auburn pass rush at home, I expect A&M to drop their 2nd straight game.

    Prediction: Auburn 25, Texas A&M 23

    Georgia (7-1, 5-1 SEC) @ Kentucky (7-1, 5-1 SEC) – 3:30 PM ET, CBS

    The SEC East will be on the line at 3:30 on Saturday when Georgia travels to Lexington to take on Kentucky. While Kentucky has been one of the best stories in all of college football so far this year (the ‘Cats all the way up at #11 in my computer’s resume rankings) they hadn’t been getting the same respect from my computer’s “best” rankings until the win over Missouri last week, after which the ‘Cats jumped up to right around where they were in the resume ratings (UK currently sits at 14th). However, despite Benny Snell’s tremendous production throughout the year though, the ‘Cats still are not on the level of Georgia. With their only loss coming to a top ten level LSU team on the road and little problems elsewhere, the ‘Dawgs have been one of the most impressive teams in the country to me so far this year. The Kentucky offense is just too one-dimensional, and the UGA defense is just too good. Give me Fromm and Georgia by ten.

    Prediction: Georgia 30, Kentucky 20

    West Virginia (6-1, 4-1 Big 12) @ Texas (6-2, 4-1 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, FOX

    I could use this preview to write about how I predicted Oklahoma State to beat Texas last week, but I wouldn’t do that, would I? Texas was always pretty overrated by the polls and sat in the 20s in my computer rankings. If you don’t remember, I also picked Iowa State to beat West Virginia under very similar circumstances a few weeks back, so both of these teams have fallen victim to the CSD curse, and now, the two face off with the winner receiving an inside track to the Big 12 Championship Game in December. This is essentially a tossup according to my computer model, as West Virginia is a slightly better team but Texas will have the home field edge. I’m going to lean towards the Longhorns here, but if you see this game turn into a shootout, I’d start to feel less confident about that. If Texas can follow the Iowa State formula of just grinding away into this defense, I think they can come out with a win, but it will be close.

    Prediction: Texas 33, West Virginia 31

    Iowa (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) @ Purdue (4-4, 3-2 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN2

    With Wisconsin and Purdue losing on Saturday, and the model viewing Northwestern as quite overrated (53rd), Iowa is now the new favorite in the Big Ten West in my view, but with the Hawkeyes traveling to the same spot where Ohio State took a beating a couple weeks back, that inside track may be on thin ice, in fact, Vegas is favoring the Boilermakers at home here. Despite that, I’m going to take Nate Stanley on the road to throw all over a struggling Purdue secondary and defy Vegas’ expectations, leading Iowa to win. Stanley put in a poor performance last week against Penn State, but with the hopes that his injured thumb is improving, I think he will rebound and throw well enough to keep the Boilermakers honest. It will be close, but Iowa will keep their Big Ten West hopes alive.

    Prediction: Iowa 31, Purdue 27 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT

    Penn State (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) @ Michigan (7-1, 5-0 Big Ten) – 3:45 PM ET, ESPN

    Because of the disrespect that Penn State (who is top ten in both the normal CSD Computer Rankings and the CSD Computer Resume Rankings) is getting from national media, this game isn’t getting enough attention, but this really is a top-ten team traveling to take on a top-five team, so you better keep your eyes glued to ESPN for this one. As much as I think Penn State is underrated by the college football inteligencia, they aren’t winning this game. Michigan has been near perfect since that seven-point road loss to Notre Dame over two months ago, and I think its more than fair to say that if the two teams played tomorrow on a neutral field, Michigan would be favored in Vegas. Shea Patterson and company will put up points, and the Michigan defense, which has been the best in the country thus far, will shut down McSorley and the Nittany Lions. Give me Michigan by seven.

    Prediction: Michigan 32, Penn State 25

    Missouri (4-4, 0-4 SEC) @ Florida (6-2, 4-2 SEC) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network

    Both of these teams are eliminated from the SEC East race, but Missouri is probably right up there with Purdue as the best .500 team in the nation right now. While you may not be interested in this game because of the lack of stakes, I still highly recommend you check it out, because you will get the chance to see Drew Lock go up against the feared Gator secondary and if you enjoy watching potential NFL QBs develop, this will be the game for you, as Lock will be tested like he rarely has been in his college career. In this duel, I’m picking the UF defense to come through and limit Lock’s extraordinary production. I have little to no confidence in the Missouri secondary to do the same after their performances so far this year, the Tigers allow an average of 8.6 yards per pass, tied for 109th in the country with Coastal Carolina and Charlotte. Feleipe Franks will put in a strong day, and Florida will come out with a win.

    Prediction: Florida 32, Missouri 26

    Utah (6-2, 4-2 Pac-12) @ Arizona State (4-4, 2-3 Pac-12) – 4 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Let me mention for a second that this is the third straight week where the Pac-12 Network has had a legit must-watch game. That’s kind of crazy. Utah is all but guaranteed the Pac-12 South title with a win here because of the Utes’ victories over Arizona and USC, but that isn’t the only reason why you should watch this one. Utah has been legitimately awesome lately, and I think it is fair to say that the Utes had the best October of any team in the nation. Over the past month, Utah has beaten Stanford, Arizona, USC, and UCLA by a combined score of 164-69, and have made it all the way up to #6 in my CSD Computer Rankings (This judges who the best teams in college football are right now). Arizona State has the home field edge and is a top 25 team in those same rankings, but Utah is just playing too well right now to blow it at this point. Give me Utah by two possessions.

    Prediction: Utah 33, Arizona State 24

    Alabama (8-0, 5-0 SEC) @ LSU (7-1, 4-1 SEC) – 8 PM ET, CBS

    #1 @ #3 in one of the toughest places to play in the country at night, and yet, Alabama is favored in this game by 15 points… and I’ll think they’ll cover that. Let it be known that I do think that LSU is a little overrated by the committee, my computer rates the Tigers as the #7 team in the nation right now (and just the #8 resume), but even if they were a true #3 level team, Alabama is just too good right now. With Tua Tagovailoa at the helm, I think the Crimson Tide could beat any team in the country by double digits at this point. This one will be much higher scoring than previous Bama-LSU games, but the Tide will control it from start to finish and walk away with a 17 point win.

    Prediction: Alabama 39, LSU 22

    Oklahoma (7-1, 4-1 Big 12) @ Texas Tech (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) – 8 PM ET, ABC

    Texas Tech is better than a lot of people are giving them credit for. The Red Raiders rank in the top 25 of the CSD Computer Rankings, and they’ll host an awesome Oklahoma team in primetime. We all know how tough of a place Lubbock is to play and all the horror stories of top ten teams coming to die in the heart of Texas, but I think that this Oklahoma team is just too good to lose to the Red Raiders. Oklahoma and Texas Tech will get into a shootout, and I just don’t have faith in the TTU defense to get any stops against the high powered OU offense that may be the best in the country. The Sooners currently rank 4th in the country in the CSD Computer Rankings, and I expect them to live up to that billing and win by double digits.

    Prediction: Oklahoma 48, Texas Tech 36

    Tier Two Games (Maybe Watch)

    Miami-OH (3-5, 3-1 MAC) @ Buffalo (7-1, 4-0 MAC) – 8 PM ET on Tuesday, 10/30, ESPN2

    Prediction: Buffalo 33, Miami-OH 26

    Temple (5-3, 4-0 American) @ UCF (7-0, 4-0 American) – 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, 11/1, ESPN

    Prediction: UCF 36, Temple 32 <- BEST BET ALERT

    Pittsburgh (4-4, 3-1 ACC) @ Virginia (6-2, 4-1 ACC) – 7:30 PM ET on Friday, 11/1, ESPN2

    Prediction: Virginia 29, Pittsburgh 22

    Colorado (5-3, 2-3 Pac-12) @ Arizona (4-5, 3-3 Pac-12) – 10:30 PM ET on Friday, 11/2, FS1

    Prediction: Arizona 33, Colorado 28

    Nebraska (2-6, 1-4 Big Ten) @ Ohio State (7-1, 4-1 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Ohio State 47, Nebraska 24

    Syracuse (6-2, 3-2 ACC) @ Wake Forest (4-4, 1-3 ACC) – 12 PM ET, ACC RSN

    Prediction: Syracuse 40, Wake Forest 36

    South Carolina (4-3, 3-3 SEC) @ Ole Miss (5-3, 1-3 SEC) – 12 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Ole Miss 36, South Carolina 33 <- UPSET ALERT

    Michigan State (5-3, 3-2 Big Ten) @ Maryland (5-3, 3-2 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Michigan State 26, Maryland 21

    Oklahoma State (5-3, 2-3 Big 12) @ Baylor (4-4, 2-3 Big 12) – 12 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: Oklahoma State 39, Baylor 27 <- BEST BET ALERT

    Iowa State (4-3, 3-2 Big 12) @ Kansas (3-5, 1-4 Big 12) – 12 PM ET, FSN

    Prediction: Iowa State 35, Kansas 16

    Memphis (4-4, 1-3 American) @ East Carolina (2-5, 0-4 American) – 12 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Memphis 41, East Carolina 24

    Georgia Tech (4-4, 2-3 ACC) @ North Carolina (1-6, 1-4 ACC) – 12:15 PM ET, ACC Network

    Prediction: Georgia Tech 33, North Carolina 29

    Marshall (5-2, 3-1 C-USA) @ Southern Mississippi (3-4, 2-2 C-USA) – 3 PM ET, Facebook

    Prediction: Marshall 25, Southern Mississippi 24

    Louisiana (4-4, 2-2 Sun Belt) @ Troy (6-2, 4-0 Sun Belt) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Troy 34, Louisiana 23

    Florida State (4-4, 2-4 ACC) @ NC State (5-2, 2-2 ACC) – 3:30 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: NC State 33, Florida State 27

    Kansas State (3-5, 1-4 Big 12) @ TCU (3-5, 1-4 Big 12) – 3:30 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: TCU 30, Kansas State 19

    Boston College (6-2, 3-1 ACC) @ Virginia Tech (4-3, 3-1 ACC) – 3:45 PM ET, ACC Network

    Prediction: Boston College 33, Virginia Tech 29

    Houston (7-1, 4-0 American) @ SMU (3-5, 2-2 American) – 7 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Houston 47, SMU 28

    Duke (5-3, 1-3 ACC) @ Miami (5-3, 2-2 ACC) – 7 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Miami 28, Duke 22

    Notre Dame (8-0) @ Northwestern (5-3) – 7:15 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Notre Dame 29, Northwestern 25 <- BEST BET ALERT

    UCLA (2-6, 2-3 Pac-12) @ Oregon (5-3, 2-3 Pac-12) – 7:30 PM ET, FOX

    Prediction: Oregon 36, UCLA 23

    Stanford (5-3, 3-2 Pac-12) @ Washington (6-3, 4-2 Pac-12) – 9 PM ET, Pac-12 Network

    Prediction: Washington 31, Stanford 20

    BYU (4-4) @ Boise State (6-2) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPN2

    Prediction: Boise State 37, BYU 23

    California (5-3, 2-3 Pac-12) @ Washington State (7-1, 4-1 Pac-12) – 10:45 PM ET, ESPN

    Prediction: Washington State 33, California 24

    Tier Three Games (FBS vs FBS)

    Kent State (1-7, 0-4 MAC) @ Bowling Green (1-7, 0-4 MAC) – 8 PM ET on Tuesday, 10/30, ESPNU

    Prediction: Kent State 27, Bowling Green 26

    Ball State (3-6, 2-3 MAC) @ Toledo (4-4, 2-2 MAC) – 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, 10/31, ESPN2

    Prediction: Toledo 38, Ball State 22

    Northern Illinois (5-3, 4-0 MAC) @ Akron (4-3, 2-2 MAC) – 7 PM ET on Thursday, 11/1, CBSSN

    Prediction: Northern Illinois 23, Akron 17

    Ohio (5-3, 3-1 MAC) @ Western Michigan (6-3, 4-1 MAC) – 7 PM ET on Thursday, 11/1, ESPNU

    Prediction: Ohio 36, Western Michigan 32 <- UPSET ALERT & BEST BET ALERT

    Western Kentucky (1-7, 0-4 C-USA) @ Middle Tennessee (5-3, 4-1 C-USA) – 8 PM ET on Friday, 11/2, CBSSN

    Prediction: Middle Tennessee 29, Western Kentucky 19

    Louisville (2-6, 0-5 ACC) @ Clemson (8-0, 5-0 ACC) – 12 PM ET, ABC

    Prediction: Clemson 50, Louisville 14

    Rutgers (1-7, 0-5 Big Ten) @ Wisconsin (5-3, 3-2 Big Ten) – 12 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Wisconsin 40, Rutgers 10

    Air Force (3-5) @ Army (6-2) – 12 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Army 32, Air Force 22

    Central Michigan (1-8, 0-5 MAC) @ Eastern Michigan (4-5, 2-3 MAC) – 12 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Eastern Michigan 28, Central Michigan 16

    Texas State (2-6, 0-4 Sun Belt) @ Georgia State (2-6, 1-3 Sun Belt) – 2 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Georgia State 29, Texas State 25

    San Jose State (1-7, 1-3 MW) @ Wyoming (3-6, 1-4 MW) – 2 PM ET, AT&T Sports Network

    Prediction: Wyoming 27, San Jose State 12

    South Alabama (2-6, 1-3 Sun Belt) @ Arkansas State (4-4, 1-3 Sun Belt) – 3 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Arkansas State 35, South Alabama 18

    Georgia Southern (7-1, 4-0 Sun Belt) @ UL Monroe (4-4, 2-2 Sun Belt) – 3 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: Georgia Southern 37, UL Monroe 20 <- BEST BET ALERT

    Liberty (4-3) @ UMass (3-6) – 3:30 PM ET, Eleven Sports Network

    Prediction: Liberty 38, UMass 37 <- UPSET ALERT

    UTEP (0-8, 0-4 C-USA) @ Rice (1-8, 0-5 C-USA) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPN3

    Prediction: UTEP 22, Rice 19

    Tulane (3-5, 2-2 American) @ South Florida (7-1, 3-1 American) – 3:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: South Florida 39, Tulane 28 <- BEST BET ALERT

    Navy (2-6, 1-3 American) @ Cincinnati (7-1, 3-1 American) – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: Cincinnati 37, Navy 22

    Minnesota (4-4, 1-4 Big Ten) @ Illinois (3-5, 1-4 Big Ten) – 3:30 PM ET, BTN

    Prediction: Minnesota 33, Illinois 24

    Charlotte (4-4) @ Tennessee (3-5) – 4 PM ET, SEC Network Alternate

    Prediction: Tennessee 31, Charlotte 19

    Appalachian State (5-2, 3-1 Sun Belt) @ Coastal Carolina (5-3, 2-2 Sun Belt) – 5 PM ET, ESPN+

    Prediction: Appalachian State 37, Coastal Carolina 22

    UConn (1-7, 0-4 American) @ Tulsa (1-7, 0-4 American) – 7 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Tulsa 34, UConn 16

    Louisiana Tech (6-2) @ Mississippi State (5-3) – 7:30 PM ET, SEC Network

    Prediction: Mississippi State 33, Louisiana Tech 19 <- BEST BET ALERT

    Florida Atlantic (3-5, 1-3 C-USA) @ Florida Intl (6-2, 4-0 C-USA) – 7:30 PM ET, Stadium TV

    Prediction: Florida Intl 31, Florida Atlantic 26

    UTSA (3-5, 2-2 C-USA) @ UAB (7-1, 5-0 C-USA) – 7:30 PM ET, beIN Sports

    Prediction: UAB 32, UTSA 8

    USC (4-4, 3-3 Pac-12) @ Oregon State (2-6, 1-4 Pac-12) – 10 PM ET, FS1

    Prediction: USC 40, Oregon State 21

    San Diego State (6-2, 3-1 MW) @ New Mexico (3-5, 1-3 MW) – 10:15 PM ET, ESPNU

    Prediction: San Diego State 33, New Mexico 18

    Fresno State (7-1, 4-0 MW) @ UNLV (2-6, 0-4 MW) – 10:30 PM ET, CBSSN

    Prediction: Fresno State 41, UNLV 16

    Utah State (7-1, 4-0 MW) @ Hawai’i (6-4, 3-2 MW) – 11:59 PM ET, Stadium App

    Prediction: Utah State 43, Hawai’i 28

    Tier Four Games (FBS vs FCS)

    Alcorn State @ New Mexico State (2-7) – 4 PM ET, Fox Sports Arizona

    Prediction: New Mexico State

  • Conference Championship Week – CSD Computer Rankings & Resume Rankings – Ohio State Up To #4

    Conference Championship Week – CSD Computer Rankings & Resume Rankings – Ohio State Up To #4

    First off, we’ve got the resume rankings. This evaluates the strength of the teams you beat and the teams you lost to relative to every other team in the country. If Team A goes 12-0 against the #12 SOS in the country and wins every game on a last-second field goal and Team B goes 12-0 against the #13 SOS in the country blowing every team out 77-0, it makes no difference. In the eyes of this model, the saying goes, “A win is a win is a win.” If you want a ranking that takes things like game control into account, scroll down to the second set of rankings, which judge who are actually the best teams in the country, not just the best resumes

    #1 – Alabama (12-0)
    #2 – Notre Dame (12-0)
    #3 – Clemson (12-0)
    #4 – Ohio State (11-1)
    #5 – Oklahoma (11-1)
    #6 – Georgia (11-1)
    #7 – Michigan (10-2)
    #8 – UCF (11-0)
    #9 – LSU (9-3)
    #10 – Washington State (10-2)
    #11 – Penn State (9-3)
    #12 – Texas (9-3)
    #13 – Florida (9-3)
    #14 – Texas A&M (8-4)
    #15 – Kentucky (9-3)
    #16 – Washington (9-3)
    #17 – Utah (9-3)
    #18 – Syracuse (9-3)
    #19 – Boise State (10-2)
    #20 – West Virginia (8-3)
    #21 – Cincinnati (10-2)
    #22 – Army (9-2)
    #23 – Northwestern (8-4)
    #24 – Auburn (7-5)
    #25 – Fresno State (10-2)

    Alright, now it is time for the CSD Computer Rankings. The model is predictive and forward-looking, not recursive and resume based. It is meant to predict who would win if two teams played tomorrow, and so as the season moves on, early season results are counted less and less (See: Michigan ahead of Notre Dame)

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Georgia SEC
    4 Ohio State Big Ten
    5 Michigan Big Ten
    6 Notre Dame Ind
    7 Oklahoma Big 12
    8 Mississippi State SEC
    9 Washington Pac-12
    10 Louisiana State SEC
    11 Penn State Big Ten
    12 Missouri SEC
    13 Texas A&M SEC
    14 Miami (FL) ACC
    15 Iowa Big Ten
    16 Florida SEC
    17 West Virginia Big 12
    18 Utah Pac-12
    19 Stanford Pac-12
    20 Central Florida AAC
    21 Texas Big 12
    22 Texas Christian Big 12
    23 Auburn SEC
    24 Wisconsin Big Ten
    25 Oregon Pac-12
    26 Arizona State Pac-12
    27 Fresno State MWC
    28 Pittsburgh ACC
    29 South Carolina SEC
    30 Southern California Pac-12
    31 Iowa State Big 12
    32 Washington State Pac-12
    33 Michigan State Big Ten
    34 Nebraska Big Ten
    35 Virginia ACC
    36 Wake Forest ACC
    37 Kansas State Big 12
    38 Arizona Pac-12
    39 Oklahoma State Big 12
    40 Syracuse ACC
    41 Minnesota Big Ten
    42 Memphis AAC
    43 Brigham Young Ind
    44 Vanderbilt SEC
    45 Ohio MAC
    46 Cincinnati AAC
    47 Temple AAC
    48 Kentucky SEC
    49 Boise State MWC
    50 Mississippi SEC
    51 Purdue Big Ten
    52 North Carolina State ACC
    53 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    54 Marshall CUSA
    55 Georgia Tech ACC
    56 Northwestern Big Ten
    57 UCLA Pac-12
    58 Baylor Big 12
    59 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    60 California Pac-12
    61 Kansas Big 12
    62 Buffalo MAC
    63 Virginia Tech ACC
    64 Texas Tech Big 12
    65 Colorado Pac-12
    66 Maryland Big Ten
    67 Boston College ACC
    68 Wyoming MWC
    69 North Carolina ACC
    70 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    71 Utah State MWC
    72 Florida State ACC
    73 Houston AAC
    74 Illinois Big Ten
    75 Indiana Big Ten
    76 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    77 North Texas CUSA
    78 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    79 Miami (OH) MAC
    80 Nevada MWC
    81 Florida International CUSA
    82 Tennessee SEC
    83 Eastern Michigan MAC
    84 Toledo MAC
    85 San Diego State MWC
    86 Air Force MWC
    87 Tulane AAC
    88 Army Ind
    89 Duke ACC
    90 Louisiana Sun Belt
    91 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    92 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    93 Troy Sun Belt
    94 Northern Illinois MAC
    95 Western Michigan MAC
    96 South Florida AAC
    97 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    98 Colorado State MWC
    99 Southern Methodist AAC
    100 Arkansas SEC
    101 East Carolina AAC
    102 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    103 Tulsa AAC
    104 Hawaii MWC
    105 Charlotte CUSA
    106 Navy AAC
    107 Texas State Sun Belt
    108 Bowling Green State MAC
    109 Oregon State Pac-12
    110 Rutgers Big Ten
    111 Louisville ACC
    112 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    113 Western Kentucky CUSA
    114 Old Dominion CUSA
    115 Ball State MAC
    116 Massachusetts Ind
    117 Kent State MAC
    118 New Mexico State Ind
    119 South Alabama Sun Belt
    120 Liberty Ind
    121 Akron MAC
    122 New Mexico MWC
    123 Rice CUSA
    124 San Jose State MWC
    125 Georgia State Sun Belt
    126 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    127 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    128 Central Michigan MAC
    129 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    130 Connecticut AAC
  • Week 13 CSD College Football Computer Rankings and Resume Rankings

    Week 13 CSD College Football Computer Rankings and Resume Rankings

    First off, we’ve got the resume. This evaluates the strength of the teams you beat and the teams you lost to relative to every other team in the country. If Team A goes 12-0 against the #12 SOS in the country and wins every game on a last-second field goal and Team B goes 12-0 against the #13 SOS in the country blowing every team out 77-0, it makes no difference. In the eyes of this model, the saying goes, “A win is a win is a win.” If you want a ranking that takes things like game control into account, scroll down to the second set of rankings, which judge who are actually the best teams in the country, not just the best resumes

    #1 – Alabama (11-0) — No Change
    #2 – Notre Dame (11-0) — No Change
    #3 – Clemson (11-0) — No Change
    #4 – Michigan (10-1) — Up 1
    #5 – Georgia (10-1) — Down 1
    #6 – Ohio State (10-1) — Up 1
    #7 – Oklahoma (10-1) — Up 1
    #8 – LSU (9-2) — Down 2
    #9 – UCF (10-0) — No Change
    #10 – Washington State (10-1) — No Change
    #11 – Florida (8-3) — Up 2
    #12 – Penn State (8-3) — No Change
    #13 – Texas (8-3) — Up 7
    #14 – Utah State (10-1) — Up 2
    #15 – West Virginia (8-2) — Down 4
    #16 – Kentucky (8-3) — Up 1
    #17 – Utah (8-3) — NEW
    #18 – Northwestern (7-4) — NEW
    #19 – Boise State (9-2) — NEW
    #20 – Washington (8-3) — Up 3
    #21 – Army (9-2) — Up 1
    #22 – Texas A&M (7-4) — Up 3
    #23 – Syracuse (8-3) — Down 5
    #24 – Auburn (7-4) — NEW
    #25 – Cincinnati (9-2) — Down 11

    Alright, now it is time for the CSD Computer Rankings. The model is predictive and forward-looking, not recursive and resume based. It is meant to predict who would win if two teams played tomorrow, and so as the season moves on, early season results are counted less and less (See: Michigan ahead of Notre Dame)

    #1 – Alabama (11-0) — No Change
    #2 – Clemson (11-0) — No Change
    #3 – Michigan (10-1) — No Change
    #4 – Georgia (10-1) — No Change
    #5 – Notre Dame (11-0) — Up 2
    #6 – LSU (9-2) — Up 2
    #7 – Ohio State (10-1) – Down 1
    #8 – Oklahoma (10-1) — Down 3
    #9 – Penn State (8-3) — No Change
    #10 – Mississippi State (7-4) — No Change
    #11 – Utah (8-3) — Up 5
    #12 – Iowa (7-4) — Up 6
    #13 – Texas A&M (7-4) — Down 2
    #14 – Washington State (10-1) — No Change
    #15 – Missouri (7-4) — Up 5
    #16 – West Virginia (8-2) — Down 4
    #17 – Wisconsin (7-4) — Down 2
    #18 – Texas (8-3) — NEW
    #19 – Washington (8-3) — Down 7
    #20 – Auburn (7-4) — Down 1
    #21 – Stanford (6-4) — Down 4
    #22 – Pitt (7-4) — NEW
    #23 – Miami (6-5) — NEW
    #24 – Michigan State (6-5) — No Change
    #25 – Fresno State (9-2) — No Change

    Full 1-130 Rankings

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Michigan Big Ten
    4 Georgia SEC
    5 Notre Dame Ind
    6 Louisiana State SEC
    7 Ohio State Big Ten
    8 Oklahoma Big 12
    9 Penn State Big Ten
    10 Mississippi State SEC
    11 Utah Pac-12
    12 Iowa Big Ten
    13 Texas A&M SEC
    14 Washington State Pac-12
    15 Missouri SEC
    16 West Virginia Big 12
    17 Wisconsin Big Ten
    18 Texas Big 12
    19 Washington Pac-12
    20 Auburn SEC
    21 Stanford Pac-12
    22 Pittsburgh ACC
    23 Miami (FL) ACC
    24 Michigan State Big Ten
    25 Fresno State MWC
    26 Oklahoma State Big 12
    27 Mississippi SEC
    28 Virginia ACC
    29 Kansas State Big 12
    30 Arizona State Pac-12
    31 Central Florida AAC
    32 Boston College ACC
    33 Northwestern Big Ten
    34 Texas Christian Big 12
    35 Oregon Pac-12
    36 Ohio MAC
    37 Marshall CUSA
    38 Florida SEC
    39 Iowa State Big 12
    40 Southern California Pac-12
    41 Boise State MWC
    42 Arizona Pac-12
    43 California Pac-12
    44 Nebraska Big Ten
    45 Florida State ACC
    46 Georgia Tech ACC
    47 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    48 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    49 Memphis AAC
    50 Texas Tech Big 12
    51 Purdue Big Ten
    52 Temple AAC
    53 North Carolina State ACC
    54 Vanderbilt SEC
    55 Cincinnati AAC
    56 South Carolina SEC
    57 UCLA Pac-12
    58 Maryland Big Ten
    59 Brigham Young Ind
    60 Kentucky SEC
    61 Duke ACC
    62 Minnesota Big Ten
    63 North Carolina ACC
    64 Baylor Big 12
    65 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    66 San Diego State MWC
    67 Houston AAC
    68 North Texas CUSA
    69 Nevada MWC
    70 Virginia Tech ACC
    71 Wake Forest ACC
    72 Northern Illinois MAC
    73 Kansas Big 12
    74 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    75 Syracuse ACC
    76 Utah State MWC
    77 Tennessee SEC
    78 Air Force MWC
    79 Indiana Big Ten
    80 Wyoming MWC
    81 Eastern Michigan MAC
    82 Buffalo MAC
    83 South Florida AAC
    84 Colorado Pac-12
    85 Miami (OH) MAC
    86 Tulane AAC
    87 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    88 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    89 Toledo MAC
    90 Army Ind
    91 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    92 Southern Methodist AAC
    93 Illinois Big Ten
    94 Troy Sun Belt
    95 Florida International CUSA
    96 East Carolina AAC
    97 Arkansas SEC
    98 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    99 Louisiana Sun Belt
    100 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    101 Bowling Green State MAC
    102 Louisville ACC
    103 Texas State Sun Belt
    104 Colorado State MWC
    105 Western Michigan MAC
    106 Oregon State Pac-12
    107 Old Dominion CUSA
    108 Tulsa AAC
    109 Navy AAC
    110 Charlotte CUSA
    111 Hawaii MWC
    112 Liberty Ind
    113 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    114 Massachusetts Ind
    115 Western Kentucky CUSA
    116 Rutgers Big Ten
    117 Ball State MAC
    118 Kent State MAC
    119 New Mexico MWC
    120 Georgia State Sun Belt
    121 South Alabama Sun Belt
    122 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    123 Akron MAC
    124 New Mexico State Ind
    125 San Jose State MWC
    126 Central Michigan MAC
    127 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    128 Connecticut AAC
    129 Rice CUSA
    130 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
  • Week 12 CSD College Football Computer Rankings & Resume Rankings

    Week 12 CSD College Football Computer Rankings & Resume Rankings

    First off, we’ve got the resume rankings. These don’t care if you get lucky and win by two or if you control the game from start to finish, it just looks at your resume.

    #1 – Alabama (10-0)
    #2 – Notre Dame (10-0)
    #3 – Clemson (10-0)
    #4 – Georgia (9-1)
    #5 – Michigan (9-1)
    #6 – LSU (8-2)
    #7 – Ohio State (9-1)
    #8 – Oklahoma (9-1)
    #9 – UCF (9-0)
    #10 – Washington State (9-1)
    #11 – West Virginia (8-1)
    #12 – Penn State (7-3)
    #13 – Florida (7-3)
    #14 – Cincinnati (9-1)
    #15 – Buffalo (9-1)
    #16 – Utah State (9-1)
    #17 – Kentucky (7-3)
    #18 – Syracuse (8-2)
    #19 – UAB (9-1)
    #20 – Texas (6-3)
    #21 – Iowa State (6-3)
    #22 – Army (8-2)
    #23 – Washington (7-3)
    #24 – Mississippi State (6-4)
    #25 – Texas A&M (6-4)

    Alright, now it is time for the CSD Computer Rankings. The model is predictive and forward-looking, not recursive and resume based. It is meant to predict who would win if two teams played tomorrow, and so as the season moves on, early season results are counted less and less (See: Michigan ahead of Notre Dame)

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Michigan Big Ten
    4 Georgia SEC
    5 Oklahoma Big 12
    6 Ohio State Big Ten
    7 Notre Dame Ind
    8 Louisiana State SEC
    9 Penn State Big Ten
    10 Mississippi State SEC
    11 Texas A&M SEC
    12 West Virginia Big 12
    13 Washington Pac-12
    14 Washington State Pac-12
    15 Wisconsin Big Ten
    16 Utah Pac-12
    17 Stanford Pac-12
    18 Iowa Big Ten
    19 Auburn SEC
    20 Missouri SEC
    21 Arizona State Pac-12
    22 Iowa State Big 12
    23 Texas Tech Big 12
    24 Michigan State Big Ten
    25 Fresno State MWC
    26 Miami (FL) ACC
    27 Georgia Tech ACC
    28 Oklahoma State Big 12
    29 Pittsburgh ACC
    30 Boston College ACC
    31 Texas Big 12
    32 Southern California Pac-12
    33 Central Florida AAC
    34 Arizona Pac-12
    35 Vanderbilt SEC
    36 Florida SEC
    37 Kentucky SEC
    38 California Pac-12
    39 Marshall CUSA
    40 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    41 Mississippi SEC
    42 Nebraska Big Ten
    43 Temple AAC
    44 Minnesota Big Ten
    45 Northwestern Big Ten
    46 Oregon Pac-12
    47 Texas Christian Big 12
    48 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    49 Cincinnati AAC
    50 Baylor Big 12
    51 Florida State ACC
    52 Purdue Big Ten
    53 Boise State MWC
    54 Virginia ACC
    55 Ohio MAC
    56 Memphis AAC
    57 Utah State MWC
    58 South Carolina SEC
    59 Duke ACC
    60 Wake Forest ACC
    61 North Carolina State ACC
    62 Tennessee SEC
    63 Kansas State Big 12
    64 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    65 Buffalo MAC
    66 North Carolina ACC
    67 UCLA Pac-12
    68 Brigham Young Ind
    69 Syracuse ACC
    70 Colorado Pac-12
    71 Air Force MWC
    72 Virginia Tech ACC
    73 San Diego State MWC
    74 Maryland Big Ten
    75 Miami (OH) MAC
    76 North Texas CUSA
    77 Troy Sun Belt
    78 Tulane AAC
    79 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    80 Eastern Michigan MAC
    81 Nevada MWC
    82 Houston AAC
    83 Indiana Big Ten
    84 Illinois Big Ten
    85 Northern Illinois MAC
    86 Wyoming MWC
    87 South Florida AAC
    88 Southern Methodist AAC
    89 Kansas Big 12
    90 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    91 Toledo MAC
    92 Army Ind
    93 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    94 Arkansas SEC
    95 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    96 Louisiana Sun Belt
    97 East Carolina AAC
    98 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    99 Louisville ACC
    100 Florida International CUSA
    101 Charlotte CUSA
    102 Tulsa AAC
    103 Old Dominion CUSA
    104 Navy AAC
    105 Oregon State Pac-12
    106 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    107 Western Michigan MAC
    108 Liberty Ind
    109 Bowling Green State MAC
    110 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    111 Ball State MAC
    112 Western Kentucky CUSA
    113 Colorado State MWC
    114 New Mexico MWC
    115 Hawaii MWC
    116 Rutgers Big Ten
    117 Texas State Sun Belt
    118 Massachusetts Ind
    119 Kent State MAC
    120 Akron MAC
    121 Georgia State Sun Belt
    122 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    123 New Mexico State Ind
    124 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    125 South Alabama Sun Belt
    126 San Jose State MWC
    127 Central Michigan MAC
    128 Connecticut AAC
    129 Rice CUSA
    130 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
  • Week 11 CSD Computer Rankings & Resume Rankings

    Week 11 CSD Computer Rankings & Resume Rankings

    First off, we’ve got the resume rankings. These don’t care if you get lucky and win by two or if you control the game from start to finish, it just looks at your resume.
    #1 – Alabama (9-0)
    #2 – Notre Dame (9-0)
    #3 – Michigan (8-1)
    #4 – Clemson (9-0)
    #5 – LSU (7-2)
    #6 – Georgia (8-1)
    #7 – Oklahoma (8-1)
    #8 – Ohio State (8-1)
    #9 – UCF (8-0)
    #10 – Kentucky (7-2)
    #11 – Washington State (8-1)
    #12 – West Virginia (7-1)
    #13 – Florida (6-3)
    #14 – NC State (6-2)
    #15 – Cincinnati (8-1)
    #16 – Auburn (6-3)
    #17 – Buffalo (8-1)
    #18 – Utah State (8-1)
    #19 – Penn State (6-3)
    #20 – Mississippi State (6-3)
    #21 – Fresno State (8-1)
    #22 – Syracuse (7-2)
    #23 – Michigan State (6-3)
    #24 – Washington (7-3)
    #25 – Army (8-2)

    Alright, now it is time for the CSD Computer Rankings. The model is predictive and forward-looking, not recursive and resume based. It is meant to predict who would win if two teams played tomorrow, and so as the season moves on, early season results are counted less and less (See: Michigan ahead of Notre Dame)

    Quick note: I tweaked the model this week as I felt it was getting a little bit too reactionary. Most things stayed roughly the same, but teams like Iowa State, who had been hanging around the top ten due to an awesome recent hot streak fell a little.

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Michigan Big Ten
    4 Georgia SEC
    5 Oklahoma Big 12
    6 Notre Dame Ind
    7 Ohio State Big Ten
    8 Louisiana State SEC
    9 Penn State Big Ten
    10 Mississippi State SEC
    11 Texas A&M SEC
    12 Missouri SEC
    13 Utah Pac-12
    14 Iowa Big Ten
    15 Iowa State Big 12
    16 Arizona State Pac-12
    17 Washington Pac-12
    18 Fresno State MWC
    19 Michigan State Big Ten
    20 Kentucky SEC
    21 Washington State Pac-12
    22 Stanford Pac-12
    23 Wisconsin Big Ten
    24 Auburn SEC
    25 Georgia Tech ACC
    26 Purdue Big Ten
    27 West Virginia Big 12
    28 Boston College ACC
    29 Texas Tech Big 12
    30 Central Florida AAC
    31 Texas Big 12
    32 Southern California Pac-12
    33 Miami (FL) ACC
    34 Texas Christian Big 12
    35 Arizona Pac-12
    36 Florida SEC
    37 Oklahoma State Big 12
    38 Pittsburgh ACC
    39 Nebraska Big Ten
    40 San Diego State MWC
    41 Virginia ACC
    42 Cincinnati AAC
    43 California Pac-12
    44 North Carolina State ACC
    45 Duke ACC
    46 Kansas State Big 12
    47 Temple AAC
    48 Marshall CUSA
    49 Florida State ACC
    50 Mississippi SEC
    51 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    52 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    53 Virginia Tech ACC
    54 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    55 Ohio MAC
    56 Vanderbilt SEC
    57 South Carolina SEC
    58 Northwestern Big Ten
    59 Oregon Pac-12
    60 Utah State MWC
    61 North Texas CUSA
    62 Memphis AAC
    63 Colorado Pac-12
    64 Syracuse ACC
    65 Indiana Big Ten
    66 Miami (OH) MAC
    67 Boise State MWC
    68 Brigham Young Ind
    69 Tulane AAC
    70 Baylor Big 12
    71 Buffalo MAC
    72 Wake Forest ACC
    73 Air Force MWC
    74 North Carolina ACC
    75 Houston AAC
    76 Southern Methodist AAC
    77 UCLA Pac-12
    78 Minnesota Big Ten
    79 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    80 Toledo MAC
    81 Troy Sun Belt
    82 Wyoming MWC
    83 Illinois Big Ten
    84 Eastern Michigan MAC
    85 Maryland Big Ten
    86 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    87 Nevada MWC
    88 Northern Illinois MAC
    89 Arkansas SEC
    90 South Florida AAC
    91 Army Ind
    92 Tennessee SEC
    93 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    94 Kansas Big 12
    95 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    96 East Carolina AAC
    97 Charlotte CUSA
    98 Louisiana Sun Belt
    99 Tulsa AAC
    100 Louisville ACC
    101 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    102 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    103 Florida International CUSA
    104 Western Michigan MAC
    105 Oregon State Pac-12
    106 Colorado State MWC
    107 Texas State Sun Belt
    108 Old Dominion CUSA
    109 Rutgers Big Ten
    110 New Mexico MWC
    111 Navy AAC
    112 Akron MAC
    113 Kent State MAC
    114 Ball State MAC
    115 Liberty Ind
    116 Massachusetts Ind
    117 Hawaii MWC
    118 Western Kentucky CUSA
    119 South Alabama Sun Belt
    120 Central Michigan MAC
    121 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    122 Bowling Green State MAC
    123 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    124 Georgia State Sun Belt
    125 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    126 San Jose State MWC
    127 New Mexico State Ind
    128 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    129 Connecticut AAC
    130 Rice CUSA
  • CSD Resume Rankings & Computer Rankings Week 9

    CSD Resume Rankings & Computer Rankings Week 9

    In honor of the first College Football Playoff Top 25 being revealed on Tuesday, I decided to take a crack at building a computer model that ranked the top 25 “most deserving” teams as opposed to the best teams like my normal model does.

    #1 – Alabama (8-0)
    #2 – Clemson (8-0)
    #3 – Notre Dame (8-0)
    #4 – Michigan (7-1)
    #5 – Oklahoma (7-1)
    #6 – Ohio State (7-1)
    #7 – Georgia (7-1)
    #8 – LSU (7-1)
    #9 – UCF (7-0)
    #10 – Penn State (6-2)
    #11 – Kentucky (7-1)
    #12 – Washington State (7-1)
    #13 – Fresno State (7-1)
    #14 – Washington (6-3)
    #15 – West Virginia (6-1)
    #16 – Utah (6-2)
    #17 – UAB (7-1)
    #18 – Texas (6-2)
    #19 – Utah State (7-1)
    #20 – Boise State (6-2)
    #21 – Texas A&M (5-3)
    #22 – Wisconsin (5-3)
    #23 – Houston (7-1)
    #24 – Virginia (6-2)
    #25 – Georgia Southern (7-1)

    Alright, now it is time for the CSD Computer Rankings. The model is predictive and forward-looking, not recursive and resume based. It is meant to predict who would win if two teams played tomorrow, and so as the season moves on, early season results are counted less and less (See: Michigan ahead of Notre Dame)

     

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Michigan Big Ten
    4 Oklahoma Big 12
    5 Georgia SEC
    6 Utah Pac-12
    7 Louisiana State SEC
    8 Notre Dame Ind
    9 Mississippi State SEC
    10 Penn State Big Ten
    11 Ohio State Big Ten
    12 Iowa Big Ten
    13 Iowa State Big 12
    14 Kentucky SEC
    15 Washington Pac-12
    16 Texas A&M SEC
    17 Fresno State MWC
    18 Washington State Pac-12
    19 Virginia ACC
    20 Texas Tech Big 12
    21 West Virginia Big 12
    22 Arizona State Pac-12
    23 Arizona Pac-12
    24 Wisconsin Big Ten
    25 Purdue Big Ten
    26 Missouri SEC
    27 Boston College ACC
    28 Auburn SEC
    29 Michigan State Big Ten
    30 Florida SEC
    31 Central Florida AAC
    32 Miami (FL) ACC
    33 Texas Christian Big 12
    34 Georgia Tech ACC
    35 Texas Big 12
    36 Oklahoma State Big 12
    37 Marshall CUSA
    38 California Pac-12
    39 Southern California Pac-12
    40 South Carolina SEC
    41 Nebraska Big Ten
    42 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    43 Minnesota Big Ten
    44 Syracuse ACC
    45 North Texas CUSA
    46 Stanford Pac-12
    47 North Carolina ACC
    48 Cincinnati AAC
    49 Boise State MWC
    50 North Carolina State ACC
    51 Temple AAC
    52 San Diego State MWC
    53 Northwestern Big Ten
    54 Duke ACC
    55 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    56 Miami (OH) MAC
    57 Oregon Pac-12
    58 Vanderbilt SEC
    59 Army Ind
    60 Virginia Tech ACC
    61 Colorado Pac-12
    62 Houston AAC
    63 South Florida AAC
    64 Buffalo MAC
    65 Pittsburgh ACC
    66 Indiana Big Ten
    67 Baylor Big 12
    68 Tennessee SEC
    69 Florida State ACC
    70 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    71 Mississippi SEC
    72 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    73 Wyoming MWC
    74 Kansas State Big 12
    75 Maryland Big Ten
    76 Utah State MWC
    77 Ohio MAC
    78 Memphis AAC
    79 Toledo MAC
    80 Wake Forest ACC
    81 UCLA Pac-12
    82 Louisiana Sun Belt
    83 Southern Methodist AAC
    84 Brigham Young Ind
    85 Troy Sun Belt
    86 Northern Illinois MAC
    87 Nevada MWC
    88 Air Force MWC
    89 Arkansas SEC
    90 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    91 Eastern Michigan MAC
    92 East Carolina AAC
    93 Florida International CUSA
    94 Tulane AAC
    95 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    96 Kansas Big 12
    97 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    98 Illinois Big Ten
    99 Charlotte CUSA
    100 Western Michigan MAC
    101 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    102 Tulsa AAC
    103 Colorado State MWC
    104 Oregon State Pac-12
    105 Louisville ACC
    106 Hawaii MWC
    107 New Mexico MWC
    108 Liberty Ind
    109 Old Dominion CUSA
    110 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    111 Georgia State Sun Belt
    112 Navy AAC
    113 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    114 South Alabama Sun Belt
    115 Bowling Green State MAC
    116 Central Michigan MAC
    117 Rutgers Big Ten
    118 Akron MAC
    119 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    120 Texas State Sun Belt
    121 Massachusetts Ind
    122 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    123 New Mexico State Ind
    124 Ball State MAC
    125 San Jose State MWC
    126 Western Kentucky CUSA
    127 Kent State MAC
    128 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    129 Rice CUSA
    130 Connecticut AAC
  • The CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week 8 – Oklahoma into Top Four

    The CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week 8 – Oklahoma into Top Four

    As always, this is predictive and forward-looking, not recursive and resume based. It is meant to predict who would win if two teams played tomorrow, and so as the season moves on, early season results are counted less and less (See: Michigan ahead of Notre Dame)

    The Most Underperforming Teams (Compared to Preseason Predictions)

    10) Oklahoma State
    9) UTSA
    8) USC
    7) Navy
    6) Wake Forest
    5) Toledo
    4) Auburn
    3) Rutgers
    2) Louisville
    1) Ohio State

    The Most Overperforming Teams (Compared to Preseason Predictions)

    10) Nevada
    9) Michigan
    8) Syracuse
    7) Cincinnati
    6) Utah
    5) UTEP
    4) Purdue
    3) Iowa State
    2) Charlotte
    1) Virginia

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Michigan Big Ten
    4 Oklahoma Big 12
    5 Georgia SEC
    6 Louisiana State SEC
    7 Notre Dame Ind
    8 Utah Pac-12
    9 Iowa State Big 12
    10 Penn State Big Ten
    11 Washington Pac-12
    12 Ohio State Big Ten
    13 Florida SEC
    14 Miami (FL) ACC
    15 Texas A&M SEC
    16 Missouri SEC
    17 Purdue Big Ten
    18 Wisconsin Big Ten
    19 Iowa Big Ten
    20 Fresno State MWC
    21 Texas Big 12
    22 Virginia ACC
    23 Washington State Pac-12
    24 Auburn SEC
    25 Oregon Pac-12
    26 Mississippi State SEC
    27 Central Florida AAC
    28 Texas Tech Big 12
    29 Southern California Pac-12
    30 Michigan State Big Ten
    31 West Virginia Big 12
    32 Texas Christian Big 12
    33 Virginia Tech ACC
    34 Stanford Pac-12
    35 Nebraska Big Ten
    36 Cincinnati AAC
    37 North Carolina ACC
    38 North Carolina State ACC
    39 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    40 South Carolina SEC
    41 Temple AAC
    42 Syracuse ACC
    43 Arizona State Pac-12
    44 Kentucky SEC
    45 Kansas State Big 12
    46 North Texas CUSA
    47 Miami (OH) MAC
    48 California Pac-12
    49 Indiana Big Ten
    50 Boston College ACC
    51 Marshall CUSA
    52 Florida State ACC
    53 Vanderbilt SEC
    54 Colorado Pac-12
    55 Pittsburgh ACC
    56 Boise State MWC
    57 South Florida AAC
    58 Baylor Big 12
    59 Buffalo MAC
    60 Duke ACC
    61 Oklahoma State Big 12
    62 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    63 Nevada MWC
    64 Minnesota Big Ten
    65 Georgia Tech ACC
    66 Arizona Pac-12
    67 Northwestern Big Ten
    68 Houston AAC
    69 Army Ind
    70 Mississippi SEC
    71 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    72 Maryland Big Ten
    73 Memphis AAC
    74 Western Michigan MAC
    75 UCLA Pac-12
    76 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    77 Tennessee SEC
    78 Brigham Young Ind
    79 San Diego State MWC
    80 Utah State MWC
    81 Ohio MAC
    82 Charlotte CUSA
    83 Eastern Michigan MAC
    84 Arkansas SEC
    85 Wyoming MWC
    86 Air Force MWC
    87 Southern Methodist AAC
    88 Troy Sun Belt
    89 Northern Illinois MAC
    90 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    91 Florida International CUSA
    92 Colorado State MWC
    93 Wake Forest ACC
    94 Louisiana Sun Belt
    95 Tulane AAC
    96 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    97 Louisville ACC
    98 East Carolina AAC
    99 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    100 Kansas Big 12
    101 Tulsa AAC
    102 Toledo MAC
    103 New Mexico MWC
    104 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    105 Illinois Big Ten
    106 Georgia State Sun Belt
    107 Hawaii MWC
    108 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    109 Liberty Ind
    110 Bowling Green State MAC
    111 Ball State MAC
    112 Oregon State Pac-12
    113 Old Dominion CUSA
    114 Texas State Sun Belt
    115 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    116 Navy AAC
    117 South Alabama Sun Belt
    118 Central Michigan MAC
    119 Akron MAC
    120 San Jose State MWC
    121 Rutgers Big Ten
    122 Western Kentucky CUSA
    123 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    124 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    125 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    126 New Mexico State Ind
    127 Kent State MAC
    128 Massachusetts Ind
    129 Connecticut AAC
    130 Rice CUSA
  • The CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week Seven – LSU, Michigan into Top Four

    The CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week Seven – LSU, Michigan into Top Four

    Note: These rankings are meant to say which team would win if two schools were to play today, so as time goes on, previous games are weighted less and less, especially if the game was within the margin of randomness when the game was played (e.g. Michigan vs Notre Dame).

    Ten Most Overperforming Teams so far This Year (Compared to preseason projections)

    10) North Carolina
    9) Appalachian State
    8) Liberty
    7) Syracuse
    6) Florida
    5) LSU
    4) Virginia
    3) Temple
    2) UAB
    1) Iowa State

    Ten Most Underperforming Teams so far This Year (Compared to preseason projections)

    10) Wake Forest
    9) Oklahoma State
    8) Wisconsin
    7) Arizona
    6) Florida State
    5) Navy
    4) Ohio State
    3) Louisville
    2) Rutgers
    1) Auburn

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Louisiana State SEC
    4 Michigan Big Ten
    5 Georgia SEC
    6 Oklahoma Big 12
    7 Penn State Big Ten
    8 Ohio State Big Ten
    9 Notre Dame Ind
    10 Iowa State Big 12
    11 Washington Pac-12
    12 Florida SEC
    13 Miami (FL) ACC
    14 Texas A&M SEC
    15 Utah Pac-12
    16 Wisconsin Big Ten
    17 Southern California Pac-12
    18 Michigan State Big Ten
    19 Missouri SEC
    20 Texas Big 12
    21 Central Florida AAC
    22 Iowa Big Ten
    23 Washington State Pac-12
    24 Oregon Pac-12
    25 Purdue Big Ten
    26 Texas Christian Big 12
    27 Fresno State MWC
    28 Texas Tech Big 12
    29 West Virginia Big 12
    30 Kentucky SEC
    31 Stanford Pac-12
    32 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    33 Nebraska Big Ten
    34 Temple AAC
    35 Virginia Tech ACC
    36 North Carolina State ACC
    37 Duke ACC
    38 Virginia ACC
    39 North Carolina ACC
    40 Mississippi State SEC
    41 UCLA Pac-12
    42 Mississippi SEC
    43 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    44 South Carolina SEC
    45 Auburn SEC
    46 Syracuse ACC
    47 Army Ind
    48 South Florida AAC
    49 Kansas State Big 12
    50 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    51 Utah State MWC
    52 Boise State MWC
    53 Boston College ACC
    54 Cincinnati AAC
    55 Arizona State Pac-12
    56 Northwestern Big Ten
    57 Colorado Pac-12
    58 Pittsburgh ACC
    59 Maryland Big Ten
    60 Baylor Big 12
    61 Houston AAC
    62 San Diego State MWC
    63 Oklahoma State Big 12
    64 Memphis AAC
    65 Georgia Tech ACC
    66 Florida State ACC
    67 North Texas CUSA
    68 Minnesota Big Ten
    69 Tennessee SEC
    70 Miami (OH) MAC
    71 Indiana Big Ten
    72 California Pac-12
    73 Buffalo MAC
    74 Vanderbilt SEC
    75 Marshall CUSA
    76 Nevada MWC
    77 Brigham Young Ind
    78 Tulane AAC
    79 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    80 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    81 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    82 Wake Forest ACC
    83 Troy Sun Belt
    84 Northern Illinois MAC
    85 Western Michigan MAC
    86 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    87 Air Force MWC
    88 Arizona Pac-12
    89 Arkansas SEC
    90 Toledo MAC
    91 Ohio MAC
    92 Eastern Michigan MAC
    93 Florida International CUSA
    94 Tulsa AAC
    95 New Mexico MWC
    96 Colorado State MWC
    97 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    98 Louisville ACC
    99 Kansas Big 12
    100 Southern Methodist AAC
    101 Hawaii MWC
    102 Oregon State Pac-12
    103 Louisiana Sun Belt
    104 Bowling Green State MAC
    105 East Carolina AAC
    106 Wyoming MWC
    107 Illinois Big Ten
    108 Ball State MAC
    109 Charlotte CUSA
    110 Georgia State Sun Belt
    111 Central Michigan MAC
    112 Liberty Ind
    113 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    114 Texas State Sun Belt
    115 Massachusetts Ind
    116 Old Dominion CUSA
    117 South Alabama Sun Belt
    118 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    119 Navy AAC
    120 Western Kentucky CUSA
    121 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    122 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    123 Kent State MAC
    124 Akron MAC
    125 Rutgers Big Ten
    126 New Mexico State Ind
    127 San Jose State MWC
    128 Connecticut AAC
    129 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    130 Rice CUSA
  • The CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week Six – Penn State into the Top Four

    The CSD College Football Computer Rankings Week Six – Penn State into the Top Four

    Just a note, these are predictive and forward looking, not recursive and resume based

    The Top Ten Group of Five Teams after Week Six/Pre Week Seven

    1. UCF (AAC)
    2. Fresno State (MWC)
    3. Temple (AAC)
    4. San Diego State (MWC)
    5. Boise State (MWC)
    6. Appalachian State (Sun Belt)
    7. Florida Atlantic (CUSA)
    8. Cincinnati (AAC)
    9. Utah State (MWC)
    10. UAB (CUSA)

    The Bottom Ten Power Five Teams after Week Six/Pre Week Seven

    10. Minnesota (Big Ten)
    9. Arizona (Pac-12)
    8. Wake Forest (ACC)
    7. Tennessee (SEC)
    6. Arkansas (SEC)
    5. Louisville (ACC)
    4. Illinois (Big Ten)
    3. Kansas (Big 12)
    2. Oregon State (Pac-12)
    1. Rutgers (Big Ten)

    Ranking the Conferences after Week Six/Pre Week Seven

    1. SEC
    2. Big 12
    3. Big Ten
    4. Pac-12
    5. ACC
    6. AAC
    7. Mountain West
    8. Independents
    9. Conference-USA
    10. MAC
    11. Sun Belt

    The Most Over-Performing Teams of 2018 after Week Six/Pre Week Seven

    10. West Virginia
    9. Kentucky
    8. Utah State
    7. Cincinnati
    6. Hawai’i
    5. UAB
    4. Syracuse
    3. Temple
    2. Florida
    1. Virginia

    The Most Underperforming Teams of 2018 after Week Six/Pre Week Seven

    10. Wake Forest
    9. Michigan State
    8. Ohio State (?)
    7. Arizona
    6. Wisconsin
    5. Navy
    4. Florida State
    3. Auburn
    2. Louisville
    1. Rutgers

    The Full 1-130 Rankings

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Clemson ACC
    3 Georgia SEC
    4 Penn State Big Ten
    5 Ohio State Big Ten
    6 Michigan Big Ten
    7 Oklahoma Big 12
    8 Notre Dame Ind
    9 Washington Pac-12
    10 Louisiana State SEC
    11 Florida SEC
    12 Miami (FL) ACC
    13 Texas A&M SEC
    14 Texas Big 12
    15 Central Florida AAC
    16 West Virginia Big 12
    17 Virginia Tech ACC
    18 Missouri SEC
    19 Texas Christian Big 12
    20 Utah Pac-12
    21 Southern California Pac-12
    22 Wisconsin Big Ten
    23 Iowa State Big 12
    24 Washington State Pac-12
    25 Auburn SEC
    26 Oregon Pac-12
    27 Michigan State Big Ten
    28 Kentucky SEC
    29 Iowa Big Ten
    30 Fresno State MWC
    31 Stanford Pac-12
    32 Virginia ACC
    33 North Carolina State ACC
    34 Purdue Big Ten
    35 California Pac-12
    36 Northwestern Big Ten
    37 Temple AAC
    38 Mississippi State SEC
    39 Texas Tech Big 12
    40 San Diego State MWC
    41 South Carolina SEC
    42 Georgia Tech ACC
    43 Mississippi SEC
    44 Boise State MWC
    45 Syracuse ACC
    46 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    47 Oklahoma State Big 12
    48 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    49 Nebraska Big Ten
    50 Cincinnati AAC
    51 Utah State MWC
    52 Arizona State Pac-12
    53 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    54 Duke ACC
    55 Colorado Pac-12
    56 Indiana Big Ten
    57 Houston AAC
    58 Kansas State Big 12
    59 Army Ind
    60 Pittsburgh ACC
    61 Boston College ACC
    62 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    63 Florida State ACC
    64 Maryland Big Ten
    65 North Texas CUSA
    66 North Carolina ACC
    67 Troy Sun Belt
    68 South Florida AAC
    69 Baylor Big 12
    70 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    71 Miami (OH) MAC
    72 Memphis AAC
    73 UCLA Pac-12
    74 Vanderbilt SEC
    75 Tulsa AAC
    76 Buffalo MAC
    77 Nevada MWC
    78 Tulane AAC
    79 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    80 Western Michigan MAC
    81 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    82 Northern Illinois MAC
    83 New Mexico MWC
    84 Minnesota Big Ten
    85 Arizona Pac-12
    86 Wake Forest ACC
    87 Brigham Young Ind
    88 Tennessee SEC
    89 Arkansas SEC
    90 Louisville ACC
    91 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    92 Toledo MAC
    93 Marshall CUSA
    94 Hawaii MWC
    95 Eastern Michigan MAC
    96 Ohio MAC
    97 Illinois Big Ten
    98 Kansas Big 12
    99 Western Kentucky CUSA
    100 Southern Methodist AAC
    101 Wyoming MWC
    102 Oregon State Pac-12
    103 Air Force MWC
    104 Ball State MAC
    105 Florida International CUSA
    106 East Carolina AAC
    107 Old Dominion CUSA
    108 Colorado State MWC
    109 Georgia State Sun Belt
    110 Bowling Green State MAC
    111 Central Michigan MAC
    112 Louisiana Sun Belt
    113 Massachusetts Ind
    114 South Alabama Sun Belt
    115 Navy AAC
    116 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    117 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    118 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    119 Kent State MAC
    120 New Mexico State Ind
    121 Liberty Ind
    122 Akron MAC
    123 Rutgers Big Ten
    124 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    125 San Jose State MWC
    126 Texas State Sun Belt
    127 Charlotte CUSA
    128 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    129 Connecticut AAC
    130 Rice CUSA
  • CSD College Football Computer Rankings Pre-Week 6 – Georgia is the new #2

    CSD College Football Computer Rankings Pre-Week 6 – Georgia is the new #2

    Full 1-130 Rankings

    Rank Team Conf
    1 Alabama SEC
    2 Georgia SEC
    3 Clemson ACC
    4 Ohio State Big Ten
    5 Penn State Big Ten
    6 Oklahoma Big 12
    7 Michigan Big Ten
    8 Washington Pac-12
    9 Notre Dame Ind
    10 Louisiana State SEC
    11 Miami (FL) ACC
    12 Florida SEC
    13 Wisconsin Big Ten
    14 Auburn SEC
    15 Central Florida AAC
    16 Kentucky SEC
    17 West Virginia Big 12
    18 Texas Big 12
    19 Virginia Tech ACC
    20 Michigan State Big Ten
    21 Texas Christian Big 12
    22 Southern California Pac-12
    23 Washington State Pac-12
    24 Boise State MWC
    25 Stanford Pac-12
    26 South Carolina SEC
    27 Iowa Big Ten
    28 Texas A&M SEC
    29 Utah Pac-12
    30 Oregon Pac-12
    31 Syracuse ACC
    32 Oklahoma State Big 12
    33 North Carolina State ACC
    34 Iowa State Big 12
    35 Fresno State MWC
    36 Virginia ACC
    37 Missouri SEC
    38 Purdue Big Ten
    39 Texas Tech Big 12
    40 Florida Atlantic CUSA
    41 Temple AAC
    42 Appalachian State Sun Belt
    43 Mississippi SEC
    44 Arizona State Pac-12
    45 North Texas CUSA
    46 Georgia Tech ACC
    47 Louisiana Tech CUSA
    48 Arizona Pac-12
    49 Duke ACC
    50 Northwestern Big Ten
    51 Maryland Big Ten
    52 Houston AAC
    53 Army Ind
    54 Colorado Pac-12
    55 Brigham Young Ind
    56 Tulane AAC
    57 Baylor Big 12
    58 Western Michigan MAC
    59 Mississippi State SEC
    60 California Pac-12
    61 Nebraska Big Ten
    62 Florida State ACC
    63 Boston College ACC
    64 North Carolina ACC
    65 Kansas State Big 12
    66 Cincinnati AAC
    67 Indiana Big Ten
    68 Marshall CUSA
    69 Troy Sun Belt
    70 Arkansas State Sun Belt
    71 San Diego State MWC
    72 South Florida AAC
    73 Vanderbilt SEC
    74 Tulsa AAC
    75 Wake Forest ACC
    76 Utah State MWC
    77 Nevada MWC
    78 Toledo MAC
    79 Northern Illinois MAC
    80 Southern Mississippi CUSA
    81 Pittsburgh ACC
    82 Memphis AAC
    83 Louisville ACC
    84 Arkansas SEC
    85 Ohio MAC
    86 Middle Tennessee State CUSA
    87 UCLA Pac-12
    88 Tennessee SEC
    89 Minnesota Big Ten
    90 Alabama-Birmingham CUSA
    91 Navy AAC
    92 Nevada-Las Vegas MWC
    93 Wyoming MWC
    94 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
    95 Buffalo MAC
    96 Kansas Big 12
    97 Central Michigan MAC
    98 Southern Methodist AAC
    99 Miami (OH) MAC
    100 Western Kentucky CUSA
    101 East Carolina AAC
    102 Hawaii MWC
    103 Illinois Big Ten
    104 Florida International CUSA
    105 Eastern Michigan MAC
    106 Georgia State Sun Belt
    107 Akron MAC
    108 Ball State MAC
    109 Oregon State Pac-12
    110 South Alabama Sun Belt
    111 Old Dominion CUSA
    112 Texas State Sun Belt
    113 Massachusetts Ind
    114 New Mexico MWC
    115 Liberty Ind
    116 San Jose State MWC
    117 Bowling Green State MAC
    118 Colorado State MWC
    119 Rutgers Big Ten
    120 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt
    121 Texas-San Antonio CUSA
    122 Louisiana Sun Belt
    123 Air Force MWC
    124 Charlotte CUSA
    125 Kent State MAC
    126 Texas-El Paso CUSA
    127 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt
    128 New Mexico State Ind
    129 Rice CUSA
    130 Connecticut AAC