At 12:47AM I have projected the race for Donald Trump with the addition of Pennsylvania

*Check my Twitter @crazysportdude  for updated maps and updates, as this will be my final map on the site

MY PROJECTIONS at 12:47

CLINTON 215-286 TRUMP
DEMS 48-51 GOP (SENATE)

Senate updates

Alaska, Pennsylvania, and Missouri – Guaranteed Republican
Nevada – Democrat
New Hampshire  – Toss-Up

——————————————————————————-

10:28 – New Mexico goes blue, Missouri goes red

Starting now I will just have my current senate and electoral map at the top rather than writing it out like this

*New Projections in bold*

Trump for President

Alabama
Arkansas
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska SW, CD-1, CD-3
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
West Virginia
Wyoming

Clinton for President

Connecticut
D.C.
Deleware
Illinois
New York
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia

Republicans for Senate – started with 30

Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah

Democrats for Senate – started with 36

Connecticut
Illinois
Maryland
New York
Vermont

MY CURRENT ELECTORAL MAP

MY CURRENT PROJECTIONS

CLINTON 104-140 TRUMP
DEMS 42-44 GOP (SENATE)

9:234 – GOP Ties up Senate, more projections in Presidential race

*New Projections in bold*

Trump for President

Alabama
Arkansas
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Montana
Nebraska SW, CD-1, CD-3
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
West Virginia
Wyoming

Clinton for President

Connecticut
D.C.
Deleware
Illinois
New York
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Vermont

Republicans for Senate – started with 30

Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah

Democrats for Senate – started with 36

Connecticut
Illinois
Maryland
New York
Vermont

Predictions for current “toss ups” – 9:22 PM

*note these are predictions NOT FINAL PROJECTIONS*

New Hampshire – Clinton
Nevada – Clinton
Virginia – Clinton
Wisconsin – Clinton
Pennsylvania – Clinton
Michigan – Trump
Florida – Trump
Arizona – Trump
North Carolina – Trump
Iowa – Trump

MY CURRENT PROJECTIONS

CLINTON 104-129 TRUMP
DEMS 42-42 GOP (SENATE)

9:234 – GOP Ties up Senate, more projections in Presidential race

*New Projections in bold*

Trump for President

Alabama
Arkansas
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Nebraska SW, CD-1, CD-3
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
West Virginia
Wyoming

Clinton for President

Connecticut
D.C.
Deleware
Illinois
New York
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Vermont

Republicans for Senate – started with 30

Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota

Democrats for Senate – started with 36

Connecticut
Illinois
Maryland
New York
Vermont

Predictions for current “toss ups” – 9:22 PM

*note these are predictions NOT FINAL PROJECTIONS*

Virginia – Clinton
Pennsylvania – Clinton
Nevada – Clinton
Michigan – Clinton
North Carolina – Trump
Florida – Trump
Arizona – Trump
Iowa – Trump
Ohio – Trump

MY CURRENT PROJECTIONS

CLINTON 97-129 TRUMP
DEMS 42-41 GOP (SENATE)

9:12 – Projections made in Arkansas

*New Projections in bold*

Trump for President

Alabama
Arkansas
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Nebraska SW, CD-1, CD-3
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
West Virginia
Wyoming

Clinton for President

D.C.
Deleware
Illinois
New York
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Vermont

Republicans for Senate – started with 30

Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota

Democrats for Senate – started with 36

Connecticut
Illinois
Maryland
New York
Vermont

*New projections are bold*

9:07 – Many more projections

Trump for President

Alabama
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Nebraska SW, CD-1, CD-3
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
West Virginia
Wyoming

Clinton for President

D.C.
Deleware
Illinois
New York
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Vermont

Republicans for Senate

Alabama
Florida
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota

Democrats for Senate

Connecticut
Illinois
Maryland
New York
Vermont

Updated Results

Florida – 74% in

Trump- 49%
Clinton – 48%

Georgia – 14% in

Trump – 61%
Clinton – 37%

Maine – 1% in

Trump – 48%
Clinton – 45%
Johnson – 6%

Michigan – 3% in

Clinton – 50%
Trump – 45%

New Hampshire – 12%

Clinton – 52%
Trump – 43%

North Carolina – 19% in

Clinton – 50%
Trump – 48%

Ohio – 26% in

Clinton – 48.6%
Trump – 47.6%

Pennsylvania – 2% in

Clinton – 73%
Trump – 25%

Virginia – 70% in

Trump – 50%
Clinton – 45%

Missouri Senate – 1% in

D) Kander – 57%
R) Blunt – 40%

New Hampshire Senate – 12% in

D) Hassan – 53%
R)  Ayotte – 43%

North Carolina Senate – 20% in

R) Burr 48.8%
D) Ross 48%

Pennsylvania Senate – 2% in

D) McGinty – 71%
R) Toomey – 26%

8:50 – More Projections

Rhode Island is won by Clinton
Alabama senate is won by Shelby (R)

8:39 – Updated Projections for President, Senate

*New projections are bold*

Trump for President

Alabama
Indiana
Kentucky
Oklahoma
South Carolina
Tennessee
West Virginia

Clinton for President

D.C.
Deleware
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Vermont

Republicans for Senate

Florida
Indiana
Kentucky
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina

Democrats for Senate

Connecticut
Maryland
Vermont

8:36 – Updated Results

Florida – 61% in

Trump- 48.6%
Clinton – 48.4%

Georgia – 5% in

Trump – 71%
Clinton – 27%

Maine – 0% in

Trump – 100%
Clinton – 0%

Michigan – 1% in

Clinton – 51%
Trump – 44%

New Hampshire – 8%

Clinton – 53%
Trump – 42%

North Carolina – 8% in

Clinton – 52%
Trump – 46%

Ohio – 19% in

Clinton – 51%
Trump – 45%

Pennsylvania – 0% in

Clinton – 81%
Trump – 18%

Virginia – 54% in

Trump – 52%
Clinton – 44%

Missouri Senate – 0% in

D) Kander – 51%
R) Blunt – 44%

New Hampshire Senate – 8% in

D) Hassan – 54%
R)  Ayotte – 42%

North Carolina – 9% in

D) Ross – 49%
R) Burr – 48%

Pennsylvania Senate – 0% in

D) McGinty – 75%
R) Toomey – 23%

8:23 All projections so far

Trump for President

Indiana
Kentucky
Oklahoma
South Carolina
Tennessee
West Virginia

Clinton for President

D.C.
Deleware
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Vermont

Republicans for Senate

Florida
Kentucky
Ohio
Oklahoma
South Carolina

Democrats for Senate

Connecticut
Maryland
Vermont

8PM – What to watch at 8 + more projections

Oklahoma Senate – Jankford (R)
Connecticut Senate – Blumenthal (D)
Maryland Senate – Van Hollen (D)
Florida Senate – Rubio (R)

Oklahoma Pres – Trump
Massachusetts – Clinton
New Jersey – Clinton
Delaware – Clinton
Maryland – Clinton
DC – Clinton

Presidential in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Maine. Senate in Missouri and Pennsylvania. Governor in Missouri. IL-10, ME-2, NJ-5, TX-23, KS-3, MI-7, MI-1, PA-8, PA-16

What to watch at 8:

7:50 – Updated results

Virginia President 22% in

(R) Trump 54
(D) Clinton 41

Florida President 18% in
(D) Clinton 50
(R) Trump 47

Ohio President 0% in

(D) Clinton 54
(R) Trump 42

Georgia President 1% in

(R) Trump 73
(D) Clinton 25

New Hampshire President 4% in

(R) Trump – 54
(D) Clinton – 41

New Hampshire Senate 3% in

(D) Hassan 54
(R) Ayotte 42

Indiana Senate 27% in

(R) Young – 55
(D) Bayh – 40
(L) Brenton – 5

North Carolina Senate 0% in

(R) Burr 55
(D) Ross 42

Indiana Governor 27% in

(R) Holcomb – 54
(D) Gregg – 43

New Hampshire Governor 3% in

(R) Sununu – 53
(D) Van Ostern – 42

Vermont Governor 7%

(R) Scott 58
(D) Minter 39

North Carolina Governor 0% in

(R) McCrory 52%
(D) Cooper 47%

IN-9 House 33% in

(D) Yoder 53
(R) Hollingsworth 43

NH-1 House 2% in

(D) Shea-Porter – 46
(R) Guinta – 40
(I) O’Connor – 10

VA-5 House 32% in

(R) Garrett 61
(D) Dittmar 39

VA-10 House 23% in

(R) Comstock 50
(D) Bennett 50

FL-7 House 0% in

(D) Murphy – 53
(R) Mica – 47

FL-13 House 19% in

(D) Crist – 53
(R) Jolly 47

FL-18 House 12% in

(R) Mast 52
(D) Perkins 45

FL-26 House 9% in

(R) Curbelo 56
(D) Garcia 38
(N) Peixoto 6

7:46 Big split in Ohio

Trump is up 15 points with men in Ohio , but down 14 with women

7:30: More projections

West Virginia – Trump

Ohio Senate – Portman

7:30 Updated results in close races

Virginia President

(D) Clinton – 38
(R) Trump – 57

 

Florida President

(R) Trump 48
(D) Clinton 50

Georgia President

(R) Trump 73
(D) Clinton 25

New Hampshire President

(R) Trump – 53
(D) Clinton – 41
(L) Johnson – 7

New Hampshire Senate

(R) Ayotte – 54
(D) Hassan – 41

Indiana Senate

(R) Young – 56
(D) Bayh – 39
(L) Brenton – 6

Indiana Governor

(R) Holcomb – 55
(D) Gregg – 42

New Hampshire Governor

(R) Sununu – 57
(D) Van Ostern – 38

Vermont Governor

(R) Scott 61
(D) Minter 36

IN-9 House

(D) Yoder 49
(R) Hollingsworth 48

NH-1 House

(D) Shea-Porter – 54
(R) Guinta – 26
(I) O’Connor – 21

VA-5 House

(R) Garrett 64
(D) Dittmar 36

VA-10 House

(R) Comstock 53
(D) Bennett 47

FL-7 House

(D) Murphy – 60
(R) Mica – 40

FL-13 House

(D) Crist – 53
(R) Jolly 47

FL-18 House

(R) Mast 55
(D) Perkins 42

FL-26 House

(R) Curbelo 56
(D) Garcia 38

7:26 PM – What to watch at 7:30

Ohio and North Carolina presidential, North Carolina senate, West Virginia and North Carolina Governor

7:18 PM – Updated Results

Virginia President

(D) Clinton – 50
(R) Trump – 46

Florida President

(R) Trump 51
(D) Clinton 44

New Hampshire President

(R) Trump – 53
(D) Clinton – 41
(L) Johnson – 7

New Hampshire Senate

(R) Ayotte – 54
(D) Hassan – 41

Indiana Senate

(R) Young – 54
(D) Bayh – 41
(L) Brenton – 6

Indiana Governor

(R) Holcomb – 53
(D) Gregg – 44

New Hampshire Governor

(R) Sununu – 57
(D) Van Ostern – 38

IN-9 House

(D) Yoder 55
(R) Hollingsworth 42

NH-1 House

(D) Shea-Porter – 54
(R) Guinta – 26
(I) O’Connor – 21

7:14 PM – Georgia exit poll shows close race

Exit Poll in Georgia shows Trump only up 1 point, 47-46

7:10 PM – Results out of New Hampshire, Indiana
New Hampshire President

(D) Clinton – 41
(R) Trump – 53
(L) Johnson – 7

Indiana Senate

(R) Young – 57
(D) Bayh – 37
(L) Brenton – 6

Indiana Governor

(R) Holcomb – 57
(D) Gregg – 40

New Hampshire Governor

(R) Sununu – 57
(D) Van Ostern – 38

IN-9 House

(R) Hollingsworth – 55
(D) Yoder – 42

NH-1 House

(D) Shea-Porter – 54
(R) Guinta – 26
(I) O’Connor – 21

 

7:05 PM – Exit Polls in Virginia

College Educated Whites – Clinton 47, Trump 46
Georgia Turnout – White 61, Black 30, Hispanic 5

7 PM – My first projections

I will do projections for presidential and senate races

Indiana – Trump
Kentucky – Trump
Vermont – Clinton

KY Senate – Rand Paul (R)
SC Senate – Tim Scott (R)
VT Senate – Leahy (D)

6:50 PM – Updated results in Indiana

Senate

(R) Young 60
(D) Bayh 34
(L) Brenton 6

House District 9

(R) Hollingsworth 64
(D) Yoder 32
(L) Brooksbank 3

Governor

(R) Holcomb 59
(D) Gregg 39
(L) Bell 3

6:48 PM – More polls close at 7, what should you watch for

At 7 watch for Virginia president, Georgia president, Florida president, New Hampshire president, governor & senate. For house races watch: NH-1, VA-10, VA-05, FL-07, FL-13, FL-26, and FL-18

6:31 PM – More exit polls, updated votes out of Indiana

27% of voters are “liberal” (25% in 2012)
50% of voters are college grads (47% in 2012)

Senate

(R) Young 61
(D) Bayh 34
(L) Brenton 5

House District 9

(R) Hollingsworth 64
(D) Yoder 32
(L) Brooksbank 3

Govenor

(R) Holcomb 59
(D) Gregg 39
(L) Bell 3

Each of these three were close, but leaning Republican, so so far the R’s are overperforming what was expected. Once again, there is less than a percent of the vote in, so take this with a grain of salt.

6:25 PM – Finally! Results out of Indiana

Basically no vote in, but it’s something.

President

(R) Trump 69
(D) Clinton 27
(L) Johnson 3

Senate

(R) Young 61
(D) Bayh 33
(L) Brenton 6

Govenor

(R) Holcomb 58
(D) Gregg 39
(L) Bell 3

 

6:21 PM – Poll closing times extended

Due to delays or problems with voting poll closing has been extended in Colorado, Florida, and Pennsylvania.

6:16 PM – To try and get a winner before 11, let’s start with this map

6:07 PM – First real results coming in Kentucky

Trump at about 79% in Kentucky, 19 for Clinton, and McMullin and Johnson at 1%

5:50 PM – TEN MINUTES TILL POLLS CLOSE IN INDIANA

Keep an eye on the Indiana senate race and the IN-09 house race

5:49 PM – Minority vote way up in Florida

Minority turnout in 2012 – 33%
Minority turnout now – 39%

Very good news for Clinton, as you can see below, Clinton is doing well with minorities.

5:45 PM – Votes by groups

African American voters –  87 Clinton, 8 Trump (Obama was at 93 in 2012)
Latino voters – 65 Clinton, 27 Trump (Obama was at 71 in 2012)
Under 30 – 54 Clinton, 34 Trump, 12 3rd party (Obama was at 60 in 2012)
Over 65 – 52 Trump, 45 Clinton (Romney was at 56 in 2012)

Trump is doing better than expected with African-American and Latino voters, but vastly underperforming with voters over 65

5:39PM – Bad news for Clinton in North Carolina

African-American turnout in North Carolina is down from 23% in 2012 to 21% now. Clinton needs African Americans to turnout in North Carolina to win

5:29PM – Who is voting?

37% Democrats (was 38% in 2012)
32% Republicans (was 32% in 2012)
31% Independents (was 29% in 2012)

70% White (was 72% in 2012)
12% African-American (was 13% in 2012)
11% Latino (was 10% in 2012)
4% Asian-American (was 3% in 2012)

Very bad news for Trump, White vote is down, Latino vote is up. Trump needs to beat Romney’s numbers with White voters in 2012, but if the white vote is down, it might not even matter.

5:24PM – More exit polls

Clinton favorability – 44% favorable, 54 unfavorable
Trump favorability – 37% favorable, 61 unfavorable
voters who think Trump isn’t honest – 65%
voters who think Clinton isn’t honest – 59%
Obama Aproval rating – 55% (Bush was at 27% in 2008)

5:19PM – Poll Machines down in Colorado

The Denver elections office has announced that all state voting systems are down.

5:16PM – EXIT POLLS ARE HERE

White college educated voters – Trump 47, Clinton 46
White non-college educated voters – Trump 65, Clinton 29
White college educated women – Clinton 51, Trump 43
White non-college educated men – Trump 70, Clinton 23

5:07 – Poll closing map

5:05 PM – Don’t forget some polls close at 6

In most of Indiana, polls will close at 6, which means we should get our first real votes in the Indiana Senate race in about an hour

5:00 PM – EXIT POLLS!

It’s finally 5 o’clock, we should get our first exit polls shortly

4:51 PM – WOW!

Reports coming in that as a country, turnout will eclipse 2012 levels easily

4:44 PM – House races to watch

Via Larry Sabato, here are the house races to watch

1:53 PM – Michigan turns out in droves

A  lot has been made about Michigan in the past few days as both Clinton and Trump have made campaign stops, but Ann Arbor has had insane turnout, and the county it is located in is about a +30 county for democrats.

11:10 AM – A note about turnout

The bigger an area is, *generally* the more Democratic it is, so most reports of high turnout occur in places where Clinton is favored, just keep that in mind. I will be updating this periodically throughout the day as more reports of turnout come in, then, at 5, exit polls are released and this will be constantly updated .

10:40 AM – Philly looking good for Clinton

After the big rally last night in Philadelphia, Philly is turning out in big numbers, for Clinton to win Pennsylvania she needs to be up about 500,000 votes in Philly and the surrounding counties

9:51 AM – CNN reports high turnout in Raleigh

We are seeing reports of record turnout in Raleigh, NC/Wake County. That area should go 10-20 points for Clinton.

9:25 AM – St Louis turnouts big

I have seen multiple reports of large turnout in St. Louis. Missouri is probably out of play for Clinton, but it is a possible pickup for Dem’s in the Senate.

9:06 AM – BIG turnout in Virginia, Ohio

We are getting reports of very big turnout out of Richmond and Northern Virginia both of which should go heavily for Clinton, maybe over a 40 point margin. Also reports of big turnout in Cleveland/Cuyahoga County in Ohio, which should go 30-40 points for Clinton

8:48 AM – Intro

Hey everyone, welcome to my live coverage of the election! Exit Polls are released at 5, first major states close polls at 7. Until then, it’s all about turnout!