Category: EVERYTHING

  • College Football Picks & Predictions For Every Game – Week Three

    College Football Picks & Predictions For Every Game – Week Three

    College Football’s third week of the season features the first ranked vs ranked matchup of the year as #17 Miami will travel to face Micale Cunningham and #18 Louisville.

    Also on the schedule:

    • Fresh off their win at Florida State, Georgia Tech will get a chance to pull another upset, this time at home against #14 UCF.
    • #24 Appalachian State attempts to continue the year of the Sun Belt as they take on Conference USA East favorite Marshall, one of the most impressive teams of week one in a game that will be nationally broadcast on CBS
    • #11 Oklahoma State tests out their high-powered offense vs Tulsa
    • #19 Louisiana tries to avoid an upset @ Georgi State after pulling an upset of their own in week one
    • A trio of ACC matchups take center stage as #25 Pitt takes on Syracuse, Wake Forest battles NC State, and Boston College debuts a new QB and head coach @ Duke
    • #7 Notre Dame, which looked shaky at times in week one, gets a chance to prove their worth in their only non-conference game of the year against USF

    Unfortunately, some very intriguing games were canceled this week, most notably #16 Memphis vs Houston, #22 Army vs #21 BYU, #20 Virginia Tech vs Virginia, Baylor vs Houston, and #12 North Carolina vs Charlotte. Hopefully, at least a couple are able to be rescheduled.

    2020 Stats

    Straight Up: 23-6 (79%)
    ATS Best Bets: 4-2 (+1.64 units)

    Best Bets

    Navy (+8) @ Tulane – 12 PM ET, ABC
    Boston College (+6.5) @ Duke – 12 PM ET, ESPN3
    #14 UCF (-7) @ Georgia Tech – 3:30 PM ET, ABC
    #23 Appalachian State (-3.5) @ Marshall – 3:30 PM ET, CBS
    #1 Clemson (-43.5) vs The Citadel – 4 PM ET, ACC Network
    SMU (-13.5) @ North Texas – 6 PM ET, CBSSN
    Louisiana Tech (+5.5) @ Southern Miss – 7:30 PM ET, ESPN2

    Note: All projected scores are based on 1,000 simulations of the CSD Prime computer model – with some leeway for tweaks in the event of circumstances the model can’t pick up (e.g. injury)

    Friday, September 18th

    Campbell (0-1) @ Coastal Carolina (1-0)
    7 PM ET, ESPN3
    Vegas Line: Coastal Carolina -26.5

    CSD Pick: Coastal Carolina 37, Campbell 12

    Saturday, September 19th

    Tulsa @ #11 Oklahoma State

    12 PM ET, ESPN
    Vegas Line: Oklahoma State -23

    QB Zach Smith is back to run the Tulsa offense after an improved year in 2019, and he should put up some points on the Oklahoma State defense, but he will be up against one of the best skill corps in the country. QB Spencer Sanders, RB Chuba Hubbard, and WR Tylan Wallace will run all over a Tulsa defense that really struggled last year. Give me the Cowboys, big.

    CSD Pick: Oklahoma State 45, Tulsa 20

    Austin Peay (0-2) @ #13 Cincinnati
    12 PM ET, ESPN+
    Vegas Line: Cincinnati -33.5

    CSD Pick: Cincinnati 40, Austin Peay 7

    #19 Louisiana (1-0) @ Georgia State

    12 PM ET, ESPN2
    Vegas Line: Louisiana -17

    I’m upgrading this to a featured game following the cancellation of Houston-Baylor. ULL, led by backs Eli Mitchell and Trey Ragas, should roll here against a Georgia State team out of their league, but watch out, the letdown effect after an upset is strong, and the Ragin’ Cajuns may be ripe to be upset themselves.

    CSD Pick: Louisiana 39, Georgia State 22

    Syracuse (0-1, 0-1 ACC) @ #25 Pittsburgh (1-0)

    12 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: Pittsburgh -22

    Pitt looked excellent in their week one victory over Austin Peay, crushing the FCS foe 42-0 by halftime, dominating them so much that the teams agreed to shortened quarters for the second half. The star of this Pitt team is the defense, more specifically, the pass rush, which was one of the best in the country last year and looks to have not dropped off in 2020. They go up against a Syracuse offensive line that was awful last year and looked awful in week one. The Orange held with North Carolina for three quarters last week, but the passing attack struggled. This probably won’t be close.

    CSD Pick: Pitt 32, Syracuse 15

    Liberty @ Western Kentucky (0-1)
    12 PM ET, ESPNU
    Vegas Line: Western Kentucky -14

    CSD Pick: Western Kentucky 33, Liberty 23

    Navy (0-1) @ Tulane (1-0)
    12 PM ET, ABC
    Vegas Line: Tulane -8

    Alright, week one was rough for Navy. The Midshipmen looked like they had never heard of what a football was and got demolished by BYU, 55-3. But… this is a really good team on paper, one that should’ve been a clear tier-two team in the AAC alongside squads like SMU and Houston, and Tulane didn’t look great in their opener either, needing to come from behind to beat a bad Texas State team. I’m not ballsy enough to call it outright, but I have faith in the great Ken Niumatalolo to pick his boys up from the disastrous week one performance and at the very least put up a fight here, covering the eight-point spread.

    CSD pick: Tulane 30, Navy 28

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Navy +8

    Boston College @ Duke (0-1, 0-1 ACC)

    12 PM ET, ESPN3
    Vegas Line: Duke -6.5

    In comes former Ohio State defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley to coach the Golden Eagles of Boston College after what felt like forever for BC under Steve Addizio. I really like Hafley, and he should have no trouble immediately improving a defense that struggled mightily last year. The Eagles are experienced, especially on the second level, and I have faith in Hafley. They take on a Duke team that is undoubtedly more talented but didn’t look great last week against Notre Dame. QB Chase Brice was just fine, and there was almost no run game to speak of. Who wins this game will come down to how former Notre Dame QB Phil Jurkovec plays for Boston College. I’m going to hedge my bets a little and say Duke will win, but it will be a lot closer than Vegas thinks. Give me Jurkovec and the Eagles +6.5.

    CSD Pick: Duke 24, Boston College 23

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Boston College +6.5

    Houston @ Baylor
    CANCELLED

    12 PM ET, FOX
    Vegas Line: Baylor -6.5

    This game got thrown together at the last minute and is now Fox’s big noon game of the week. The winner of this should probably earn a spot in the top 25 next week, so there are some stakes for this non-conference showdown between two teams that had their scheduled season openers canceled. This is a tough one to call. Houston struggled a lot last year, but are returning almost everyone on both sides of the ball (outside of QB D’Eriq King). On the other hand, Baylor returns almost no one (except for QB Charlie Brewer) from a team that was awesome last year. That’s funny. Brewer is excellent, as is new Baylor head coach Dave Aranda, and I think the talent gap will just be too big here. I expect Baylor to secure a win for the Big 12, a conference in desperate need of one.

    CSD Pick: Baylor 34, Houston 26

    USF (1-0) @ #7 Notre Dame (1-0)

    2:30 PM ET, USA
    Vegas Line: Notre Dame -26

    USF fell off a cliff over the past one and a half seasons, and new coach Jeff Scott has a real rebuilding project on his hands, but last week -against The Citadel, granted- the Bulls run game looked really good, rushing for two touchdowns and over 300 yards against the FCS foe. They will almost certainly lose this game (~ 5% win probability) against a monumentally more talented Notre Dame team, but how close they can keep it will be very telling for Scott’s tenure. Unfortunately for USF, I happen to think the answer to that question will be “not very close”, the Notre Dame defense looked awesome last week, holding Duke to just 73 rushing yards, but I do think this game is worth keeping an eye on to see how the Notre Dame offense, which wasn’t great last week, fares against the Bulls.

    CSD Pick: Notre Dame 40, USF 12

    Stephen F. Austin (0-1) @ UTSA (1-0)
    3:30 PM ET, ESPN2
    Vegas Line: UTSA -14.5

    CSD Pick: UTSA 32, Stephen F. Austin 12

    #23 Appalachian State (1-0) @ Marshall (1-0)

    3:30 PM ET, CBS
    Vegas Line: Appalachian State -3.5

    This game got moved up to the flagship CBS network, which is pretty cool for two G5 teams. This is the Sun Belt East favorite, App State, against the Conference USA East favorite, Marshall, and it should be a super fun game to watch. Marshall’s freshman QB, Grant Wells, hit at a 70% clip for 307 yards and four touchdowns in his debut for Marshall in week one, and RB Brenden Knox looked excellent, but they were playing Eastern Kentucky.

    App State QB Zac Thomas is experienced, the Mountaineer run game is awesome, and DB Shemar Jean-Charles put in one of the best performances of week two. I like this Marshall team, and Wells looks to be good, but let’s not overreact to one game. Let alone one game against Eastern Kentucky. Give me one of the most consistent programs of the last half-decade, App State, to win this one and cover the 3.5-point spread easily.

    CSD Pick: Appalachian State 34, Marshall 26

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Appalachian State -3.5

    #14 UCF @ Georgia Tech (1-0)

    3:30 PM ET, ABC
    Vegas Line: UCF -7

    Miami-Louisville is the biggest game of the day, but this might be the most interesting. With the news of the Big Ten planning on restarting their football season, the dreams of an AAC playoff team may be dead for now, but UCF and HC Josh Heupel still have a lot to prove after a down year in 2019. They take on a Georgia Tech team that beat Florida State last week but did not look pretty doing it. Freshman QB Jeff Sims looked like a freshman, he made some plays but also threw two “gimme” interceptions. Georgia Tech’s upset last week was more the product of FSU playing poorly than the Yellow Jackets playing well, and I expect a stacked UCF team, one that was a lot better than their record indicated last year to cruise to a win here and easily cover the seven-point spread.

    CSD Pick: UCF 34, Georgia Tech 22

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – UCF -7

    Troy @ Middle Tennessee (0-1)
    3:30 PM ET, ESPN
    Vegas Line: Troy -3.5

    CSD Pick: Troy 32, Middle Tennessee 29

    The Citadel (0-1) @ #1 Clemson (1-0)
    4 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: Clemson -43.5

    Come on. I know Clemson pulled their starters early and only beat Wake Forest by 24 last week, but a 43.5 point spread against The Citadel, a team that USF gashed for 302 rushing yards last week, is a joke. The Citadel averages just one point in my model’s 1,000 simulations of this game. This won’t be close.

    CSD Pick: Clemson 53, The Citadel 1

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Clemson -43.5

    SMU (1-0) @ North Texas (1-0)
    6 PM ET, CBSSN
    Vegas Line: SMU -13.5

    POINTS. This one will have the scoreboard lighting up, as two of the best offenses in the G5 go head-to-head in what should be a fun primetime shoutout in Texas. Both these teams struggled in week one against inferior teams, but I have a lot more faith in SMU to turn it around. SMU QB Shane Buechele might be the best QB in the state, and on the road here the Mustangs should easily cover the 13.5 point line in what will be a very high-scoring affair.

    CSD Pick: SMU 45, North Texas 26

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – SMU -13.5

    Game of the Day:
    #17 Miami (1-0) @ #18 Louisville (1-0)

    7:30 PM ET, ABC
    Vegas Line: Louisville -2.5

    The game of the day comes between two teams looking to be contenders in the ACC this year. Notre Dame and North Carolina both looked a little shaky in week one, and both of these squads are ready to step up if that continues.

    Louisville comes in fresh off a win over a decent WKU team, 35-21. QB Micale Cunningham wasn’t great, completing just 56% of his passes in the win, but the offensive line looked to be much improved. Also struggling was RB Javian Hawkins, who averaged just 4.0 YPC, but All-American contending WR Tutu Atwell was great as per usual, pulling in seven catches for 78 yards. On defense, LB Monty Montgomery (three tackles, sack) and S Russ Yeast (zero catches allowed) are a pair of veteran leaders that I really like.

    For Miami, the ‘Canes beat another decent C-USA team, UAB, by a 31-14 margin in a game that was a lot closer than that margin indicated. QB D’Eriq King looked very good, throwing for 148 yards and a score, and adding 104 and one on the ground. RB Jaylan Knighton (59 yards, 6.6 YPC) looked decent behind an offensive line that still wasn’t great but looked better than last year. On defense, Miami didn’t appear to be on the level of the 2019 defense. Edge rusher Quincy Roche got a sackbut struggled in run defense, it was actually Jaelan Phillips (one hit, two hurries, two tackles) who impressed me more. S Gurvan Hall Jr (zero catches allowed) looks to be taking a step up in the secondary.

    As for this one, Miami’s rush game, between Cam’Ron Harris, Jaylan Knighton, and D’Eriq King looks excellent, and the Cards might struggle to stop it, but I have very little faith in Miami’s secondary. The QB/WR duo of Micale Cunningham and Tutu Atwell is one of the best in the ACC. This will be tight, and a fun game to watch between two very dynamic QBs, but I slightly favor the Cards at home

    CSD Pick: Louisville 31, Miami 30

    Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss (0-1)
    7:30 PM ET, ESPN2
    Vegas Line: Southern Miss -5.5

    My upset special for the day comes from Conference USA where I’ll take Louisiana Tech to beat Southern Miss outright. La Tech returns one of the most tenured coaches in the G5, Skip Holtz. Southern Miss just fired their coach, Jay Hopson, after one game, creating a staff in turmoil. Not to mention, the Golden Eagles looked awful in week one, getting crushed at home by a bad South Alabama team. La Tech needs to replace a lot this year, especially on the lines, but I think they can get this done on the road.

    CSD Pick: Louisiana Tech 31, Southern Miss 30

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Louisiana Tech +5.5

    Texas State (0-2) @ UL Monroe (0-1)
    7:30 PM ET, ESPNU
    Vegas Line: Texas State -5.5

    CSD Pick: Texas State 33, UL Monroe 32

    Wake Forest (0-1, 0-1 ACC) @ NC State

    8 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: NC State -2.5

    Two ACC teams rated firmly in the middle of the pack face off in what will be a nice “switch-to” game during Miami-Louisville. Wake Forest performed decently against #1 Clemson last week, falling 37-13 to the Tigers, but covering the spread in the process. Only one ACC team was able to perform that feat all of last year (North Carolina). QB Sam Hartman threw for 182 yards and earned a 67.6 grade from Pro Football Focus despite a rough day from the offensive line.

    The Demon Deacons take on an NC State team that didn’t play last week due to COVID issues, a team that should be much improved after a rare down year in Dave Doeren’s tenure.

    The defense will take a step up for the Wolfpack, a lot of talent returns there, but which side wins this game will come down how improved NC State QB Devin Leary is after a disastrous 2019. Leary gets most of the skill corps back around him, and I have confidence in Dave Doeren, who has been incredibly consistent outside of last year. I’ll take NC State, but this will be one of the closest games of the day.

    CSD Pick: NC State 28, Wake Forest 26

    Abilene Christian @ UTEP (1-1)
    9 PM ET, ESPN3
    Vegas Line: UTEP -4

    CSD Pick: UTEP 23. Abilene Christian 22

  • Winners and Losers from College Football’s Week 2

    Winners and Losers from College Football’s Week 2

    Winner: The Sun Belt

    I mean, obviously. Three SBC teams knocked off Big 12 foes on Saturday, including Louisiana’s win over playoff darkhorse Iowa State. The Ragin’ Cajuns are legit good, and a threat to run the table this year and make the New Year’s Six. Also impressing was Arkansas State, led by stud receiver Jonathan Adams (98 yards, three touchdowns). The Red Wolves beat Kansas State shorthanded, and Coastal Carolina knocked off Kansas for the second year in a row. That’s not to mention preseason conference favorite Appalachian State, which took care of a decent Charlotte team 35-20.

    Loser: Florida State

    The ‘Noles dropped their season opener for what feels like the 80th year in a row Saturday, blowing a 10-0 lead over Georgia Tech to drop to the ACC bottom-feeder Yellow Jackets, who are still just 365 days removed from undergoing a massive transition from the triple option to a spread system. James Blackman struggled again, but the weak offensive line and inexperienced receiving corps didn’t help. It’s going to be another long year in Tallahassee.

    Winner: Miami QB D’Eriq King

    Led by King, Miami rolled to a 31-14 victory over a good UAB team on Thursday, the offense racking up 495 yards on what was a top 25 defense last year. King looked like he was back to his 2018 self, making plays both with his arm and legs. I can’t wait to see the matchup with Louisville this week, primetime on ABC.

    Winner: Notre Dame RB Kyren Williams

    It was, at some points, shaky for Notre Dame in their 27-13 win over Duke Saturday, but the one consistent bright spot was the run game. Helped by one of the best offensive lines in the country, Kyren Williams racked up 112 yards and two touchdowns on the ground and added 93 yards in the receiving game. Williams looks like a legit difference-maker.

    Loser: Iowa State QB Brock Purdy

    Iowa State did not look right on Saturday, and the playoff dark horse’s star QB, Brock Purdy, just didn’t look the part. The longtime ‘Clones starter looked tentative and unsure of himself, and the offense struggled as a result. Hopefully, he can get back on the right track with TCU coming up in two weeks.

    Winner: The Big 12’s elite

    The middle class of the Big 12 struggled on Saturday, but the top-two teams: Oklahoma and Texas, both rolled, powered by their Heisman contending quarterbacks: Spencer Rattler and Sam Ehlinger. Both only played a half, but racked up gaudy numbers, combining for 716 yards and nine touchdowns.

    Loser: The Texas Tech defense

    Granted, Houston Baptist QB Bailey Zappe had the game of his life, but there is no excuse for letting up 567 yards and four touchdowns to an FCS quarterback. Zappe is legit good, he threw for 480 and three last week against North Texas, but a power five defense should not be struggling that much with Houston Baptist. The Tech defense gave up over 600 yards of offense all in all, and needed a last-second two-point conversion stop to escape Lubbock with a 35-33 win.

    Winner: UTSA 51, Texas State 48 (2OT)

    The game of the day came from a Sun Belt vs Conference USA double-overtime thriller that featured special team blunders, special team speed, and 30 fourth-quarter points. Check out the highlights if you missed it.

    Winner: Clemson

    It was as if there was no offseason. The Tigers looked like a well-oiled machine on Saturday, dominating a decent Wake Forest team 37-13. Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne looked the part, leading the offense to 561 yards. The Tigers remain a national title favorite.

    Winner: Us

    There will be postponements, there will be games with no crowd, there will be star players sitting out, but college football is back. And that’s pretty cool. For a day, we all came together and watched a double-overtime C-USA vs Sun Belt game. We watched Jonathan Adams push his way onto NFL draft boards. We got the headgear pick and the Fansville commercials. We got some sense of normalcy. That’s pretty cool. Pretty, pretty cool.

  • College Football CSD Prime Computer Model Rankings After Week 2

    College Football CSD Prime Computer Model Rankings After Week 2

    Biggest Risers

    South Alabama +11 spots
    Georgia Tech +9 spots
    Arkansas State +9 spots
    Louisiana +8 spots
    BYU +8 spots
    Army +7 spots

    The biggest riser comes out of the Sun Belt – but it isn’t one of the three SBC teams that upset Big 12 opponents – its South Alabama. The Jaguars upset Southern Miss as 12-point underdogs in week one (a bigger upset than Louisiana’s win) and then almost did it again last week as 11.5-point underdogs against Tulane. I said in my Sun Belt preview that you could see the potential in the South Alabama team, and they are proving it much earlier than I could’ve expected.

    Biggest Fallers

    Kansas State -12 spots
    Southern Miss -9 spots
    Florida State -7 spots
    Navy -7 spots

    The biggest faller is, of course, Kansas State. The Wildcats took on an Arkansas State team that was shorthanded due to COVID stouts, at home, with fans in the stands, and blew it. The offense looked sluggish and the defense couldn’t stop Jonathan Adams. The ‘Cats Big 12 opener against Oklahoma in two weeks is looking like it could be ugly.

    Biggest Performances of the Week

    1. Georgia Tech beating Florida State 16-13 in Mike Norvell’s debut
    2. Arkansas State shocking K-State down a dozen players
    3. Louisiana proving they are for real @ Iowa State
    4. Coastal Carolina taking down Kansas for the second year in a row

    A note before we get into the rankings – they are designed not to overreact to a one-game sample size – so, for example, you will notice Iowa State being ranked ahead of Louisiana. That is to be expected. If both teams continue to play like they did Saturday in the coming weeks, expect the Ragin’ Cajuns to pass the Cyclones sooner rather than later.

    RankTeamConfChange
    1AlabamaSEC0
    2ClemsonACC0
    3GeorgiaSEC0
    4OklahomaBig 120
    5FloridaSEC0
    6Texas A&MSEC0
    7Louisiana StateSEC0
    8AuburnSEC0
    9TexasBig 120
    10Oklahoma StateBig 121
    11Notre DameACC-1
    12North CarolinaACC0
    13Virginia TechACC0
    14CincinnatiAAC0
    15TennesseeSEC1
    16Central FloridaAAC1
    17KentuckySEC3
    18LouisvilleACC0
    19MemphisAAC0
    20Iowa StateBig 12-5
    21BaylorBig 122
    22Miami (FL)ACC0
    23MississippiSEC1
    24PittsburghACC1
    25LouisianaSun Belt8
    26Texas ChristianBig 120
    27Appalachian StateSun Belt0
    28Florida StateACC-7
    29VirginiaACC-1
    30South CarolinaSEC0
    31West VirginiaBig 123
    32Brigham YoungInd8
    33Mississippi StateSEC-1
    34Southern MethodistAAC-3
    35Alabama-BirminghamCUSA6
    36Georgia TechACC9
    37Wake ForestACC-2
    38MissouriSEC-2
    39HoustonAAC-2
    40North Carolina StateACC-2
    41Kansas StateBig 12-12
    42DukeACC2
    43Texas TechBig 12-4
    44Boston CollegeACC-2
    45Western KentuckyCUSA1
    46Arkansas StateSun Belt9
    47SyracuseACC1
    48MarshallCUSA2
    49TempleAAC0
    50NavyAAC-7
    51ArkansasSEC0
    52Florida AtlanticCUSA0
    53TulaneAAC-6
    54Louisiana TechCUSA0
    55ArmyInd7
    56TulsaAAC1
    57CharlotteCUSA-1
    58South FloridaAAC1
    59East CarolinaAAC1
    60VanderbiltSEC1
    61South AlabamaSun Belt11
    62Southern MississippiCUSA-9
    63Coastal CarolinaSun Belt6
    64Georgia StateSun Belt0
    65Georgia SouthernSun Belt-7
    66TroySun Belt-1
    67RiceCUSA-1
    68Florida InternationalCUSA0
    69Middle Tennessee StateCUSA-6
    70LibertyInd0
    71Texas-San AntonioCUSA0
    72KansasBig 12-5
    73Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt1
    74Texas StateSun Belt1
    75North TexasCUSA-2
    76Texas-El PasoCUSA0
  • College Football Picks & Predictions For Every Game – Week Two

    College Football Picks & Predictions For Every Game – Week Two

    The Big 12 and ACC will kick off their 2020 campaigns this week, with a bigger -but still not completely full- College Football Saturday on the horizon compared to week one. Ranked squads Miami, Appalachian State, Iowa State, and Louisville will take on some of the very best teams out of the low G5. Individually, all the ranked teams will be favored, but odds say at least one of UAB, Charlotte, ULL, or Western Kentucky will pull the upset. Duke-Notre Dame, Georgia Tech-Florida State, North Carolina-Syracuse, and College Gameday host Clemson-Wake Forest give us our first P5 vs P5 games of the year. Let’s dig in!

    2020 Stats

    Straight Up: 8-1 (89%)
    ATS Best Bets: 1-1 (-.09 units)

    Best Bets

    Kansas State (-10) vs Arkansas State – 12 PM ET, FOX
    Campbell (+34.5) @ Georgia Southern – 3:30 PM ET, ESPNU
    #4 Oklahoma (-40.5) vs Missouri State – 7 PM ET, PPV
    Louisville (-11.5) vs Western Kentucky – 8 PM ET, ACC Network

    Note: All projected scores are based on 1,000 simulations of the CSD Prime computer model – with some leeway for tweaks in the event of circumstances the model can’t pick up (e.g. injury)

    Thursday, September 10th

    UAB (1-0) @ #19 Miami

    8 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: Miami -14

    UAB is a really good team that comes into 2020 as the clear favorites to win Conference-USA. The Blazers’ week one affair vs Central Arkansas was not as close as the ten-point final difference indicated, however, letting up 35 to an FCS team, even a good one like UCA, is inexcusable. Miami lost to a pair of Conference USA teams last year, but the ‘Canes bring in Houston transfer D’Eriq King for the 2020 year, and the offense should be much improved from 2019’s down year. This will be close for the first half, but Miami will end up winning by two touchdowns.

    CSD Pick: Miami 30, UAB 17

    Saturday, September 12th

    Syracuse @ #12 North Carolina

    12 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: North Carolina -22.5

    The first P5 vs P5 matchup of 2020 comes out of the ACC, as offseason hype train machine North Carolina hosts Syracuse. I will admit, I am 100% on the Mack Brown bandwagon. This team, led by awesome QB Sam Howell, has a lot of potential. I think they could contend with Clemson for an ACC title.

    Now, there is talent on this Syracuse team, especially in the secondary, but the offensive line struggled last year, and UNC should dominate the Orange in the trenches. Give me UNC at home.

    CSD Pick: North Carolina 41, Syracuse 25

    Louisiana @ #15 Iowa State

    12 PM ET, ESPN
    Vegas Line: Iowa State -11.5

    The game of the week for week two will kick off at noon in Ames, as Louisiana takes on Iowa State in a battle of two dark horses in their respective conferences. ULL was overshadowed by Appalachian State last season, but the Ragin’ Cajuns were awesome under star coach Billy Napier. Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell make up one of the best 1-2 rushing attacks in the country, and the defense is excellent. The Cajuns are a legit borderline top 25 team, and they will keep this one a lot tighter than many think. I just think Brock Purdy is too good.

    It’s a been a journey for Purdy over his career at ISU, but it will end with him being a legit top-five quarterback in the sport. The Cyclones also return much of an awesome secondary, and I think they’ll get the win here, but ISU has struggled with lower-rated teams in the non-conference before, and ULL is legit. This will be close and is the only true “must-watch” game of the day.

    CSD Pick: Iowa State 34, Louisiana 26

    Charlotte @ #21 Appalachian State

    12 PM ET, ESPN2
    Vegas Line: Appalachian State -17

    Appalachian State, the highest-ranked team out of 2020’s “power four” (ACC, SEC, Big 12, AAC), kicks off their campaign with a test from Will Healy’s Charlotte 49ers. Healey is a rising star on the coaching scene, and the 49ers have already improved under his watch; I expect them to take another step forward this year. NIU transfer RB Tre Harbison is a name to watch, and the defense is solid, but…

    Charlotte is a team on the upswing; App State is a machine. One of the most consistent G5 programs over the past few years, the Mountaineers have won back-to-back Sun Belt titles and are coming off of one of their best years ever. QB Zac Thomas is back after a deadly accurate 2019, and the defense is great. The Mountaineers should kick off new coach Shawn Clark’s tenure with a win, but it will be a little lower scoring than last year’s 56-41 affair thanks to both team’s defenses improving.

    CSD Pick: Appalachian State 40, Charlotte 20

    Arkansas State (0-1) @ Kansas State

    12 PM ET, FOX
    Vegas Line: Kansas State -10

    Arkansas State looked solid in last week’s 37-24 loss to Memphis, easily covering a 19 point spread against a Tiger team that should threaten for New year’s Six bowl territory. As I predicted, Logan Bonner started the game, and also as I predicted, backup Layne Hatcher came in and was significantly better, throwing for more yards on fewer attempts, and never turning the ball over, while Bonner turned it over twice.

    The Memphis matchup was a good one for ASU, the Tigers let Arkansas State play their game, something Chris Klieman’s Kansas State Wildcats will almost certainly not do. Expect K-State slow down the tempo in this one and never let the Red Wolves get comfortable.

    This is a bit of a petty pick; I’ve been pounding the Hatcher train all offseason, but the fact that Arkansas State is being stubborn and continuing to use a two-quarterback system makes me not only want to take Kansas State but also lay the points.

    CSD Pick: Kansas State 35, Arkansas State 20

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Kansas State -10

    Eastern Kentucky (0-1) @ West Virginia
    12 PM ET, FS1
    Vegas Line: West Virginia -40.5

    CSD Pick: West Virginia 38, Eastern Kentucky 7

    UL Monroe @ Army (1-0)
    1:30 PM ET, CBSSN
    Vegas Line: Army -19

    CSD Pick: Army 38, UL Monroe 19

    Duke @ #7 Notre Dame

    2:30 PM ET, NBC
    Vegas Line: Notre Dame -20

    Clemson transfer QB Chase Brice gets thrown into the deep end with a week one road test against the excellent Notre Dame defense. Duke should be all right this year, but the talent gap is massive, and I don’t see much else that’s changed since the Fighting Irish’s 38-7 win over the Blue Devils last year. Ian Book will make plays with his arm and feet again, and the Irish should roll in their ACC debut.

    CSD Pick: Notre Dame 37, Duke 13

    Georgia Tech @ Florida State

    3:30 PM ET, ABC
    Vegas Line: Florida State -12.5

    I’ve made no bones about it, I’m high on this Florida State team, and facing a Georgia Tech team that still is incredibly miscast, I don’t have a lot of worries. James Blackman should step up to the next level this year after being solid the past few seasons. This game will have none of the drama of the crazy 2016 upset. Mike Norvell will get his first win with the Noles, and FSU fans around the country will breathe a sigh of relief.

    CSD Pick: Florida State 30, Georgia Tech 15

    UTSA @ Texas State (0-1)
    3:30 PM ET, ESPN2
    Vegas Line: Texas State -8

    CSD Pick: Texas State 25, UTSA 21

    Campbell @ Georgia Southern
    3:30 PM ET, ESPNU
    Vegas Line: Georgia Southern -34.5

    Campbell quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams is up there with the best FCS players playing this fall. Williams led the team in both rushing and passing last year, and the Camels’ rushing attack gave their rivals fits last year. Georgia Southern will win -Campbell has almost no defense to speak of and Georgia Southern QB Shai Wertz is next-level good- but Williams is good enough to keep the Camels in this game. I think they’ll cover.

    CSD Pick: Georgia Southern 38, Campbell 12

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Campbell +34.5

    Austin Peay @ Pittsburgh
    4 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: Pittsburgh -27

    CSD Pick: Pittsburgh 35, Austin Peay 9

    Missouri State @ #4 Oklahoma
    7 PM ET, PPV
    Vegas Line: Oklahoma -40.5

    In 1,000 simulations of this game on the CSD Prime computer model, Missouri State averaged one point. One. Spencer Rattler will be out to prove he’s as good as the hype, and the Sooners will destroy the 40.5 point spread.

    CSD Pick: Oklahoma 64, Missouri State 1

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Oklahoma -40.5

    The Citadel @ USF
    7 PM ET, ESPN+
    Vegas Line: USF -20

    CSD Pick: USF 32, The Citadel 16

    #1 Clemson @ Wake Forest

    7:30 PM ET, ABC
    Vegas Line: Clemson -33

    College Gameday will be in town in Winston Salem as Wake Forest looks to get their revenge for a 52-3 loss to 2019 ACC champs Clemson last year. Wake loses a lot, including QB Jamie Newman and WR Sage Surratt, from that team, but there is some talent, including awesome edge rusher Carlos Basham and LB Ja’Cquez Williams. However, the talent gap is just too big. Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne will light up the scoreboard, and the Tigers should roll.

    CSD Pick: Clemson 47, Wake Forest 19

    Tulane @ South Alabama (1-0)
    7:30 PM ET, ESPN2
    Vegas Line: Tulane -8

    CSD Pick: Tulane 34, South Alabama 23

    UTEP (1-0) @ #10 Texas
    8 PM ET, Longhorn Network
    Vegas Line: Texas -43

    CSD Pick: Texas 54, UTEP 4

    Western Kentucky @ #20 Louisville

    8 PM ET, ACC Network
    Vegas Line: Louisville -11.5

    In a day filled with very good G5 teams taking on P5 competition, WKU-Louisville will be the nightcap. The Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky are co-favorites in Conference USA’s East division with Marshall, but they run into a Louisville team that was way ahead of schedule last year, at least on offense.

    This will be a clash of styles, but UL’s offense, powered by stud QB Micale Cunningham, should be able to score even on what is a very good WKU defense, and I don’t have faith in Western Kentucky’s offense to keep pace on their end. Give me Louisville minus the points.

    CSD Pick: Louisville 37, Western Kentucky 20

    ☆Crazy Sports Dude Best Bet Alert☆ – Louisville -11.5

    Houston Baptist (0-1) @ Texas Tech
    8 PM ET, ESPN+
    Vegas Line: Texas Tech -39.5

    CSD Pick: Texas Tech 53, Houston Baptist 12

    Coastal Carolina @ Kansas
    10 PM ET, FS1
    Vegas Line: Kansas -7

    CSD Pick: Kansas 28, Coastal Carolina 22

  • 2020 All-American Team + Heisman Prediction

    2020 All-American Team + Heisman Prediction

    QB – Trevor Lawrence, Clemson
    RB – Travis Etienne, Clemson
    RB – Najee Harris, Alabama
    WR – DeVonta Smith, Alabama
    WR – Jaylen Waddle, Alabama
    TE – Kyle Pitts, Florida
    C – Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma
    OL – Trey Smith, Tennessee
    OL – Samuel Cosmi, Texas
    OL – Liam Eichenberg, Notre Dame
    OL – Alex Leatherwood, Alabama

    DL – Marvin Wilson, Florida State
    DL – Chris Rumph II, Duke
    DL – Quincy Roche, Miami
    DL – Carlos Basham, Wake Forest
    LB – Dylan Moses, Alabama
    LB – Nick Bolton, Missouri
    LB – Monty Rice, Georgia
    DB – Derek Stingley, LSU
    DB – Patrick Surtain – Alabama
    DB – Richard LeCounte, Georgia
    DB – Ahmad Gardner, Cincinnati

    Most Appearances by Team:

    Alabama – 6
    Clemson – 2
    Georgia – 2
    LSU, Miami, Oklahoma, Florida State, Florida, Cincinnati, Missouri, Wake Forest, Duke, Tennesse, Texas, Notre Dame – 1

    Heisman Top Ten

    1 – QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson
    2 – RB Travis Etienne, Clemson
    3 – QB – Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma
    4 – QB Sam Howell, North Carolina
    5 – QB Sam Ehlinger, Texas
    6 – RB Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State
    7 – QB D’Eriq King, Miami
    8 – QB Mac Jones, Alabama
    9 – QB Kyle Trask, Florida
    10 – RB Najee Harris, Alabama

  • 2020 College Football Bowl + College Football Playoff Projections

    2020 College Football Bowl + College Football Playoff Projections

    PlayStation Fiesta Bowl
    Glendale, AZ
    ESPN
    At-Large vs. At-Large

    Projected Matchup: Appalachian State vs. LSU

    Capital One Orange Bowl
    Miami Gardens, FL
    ESPN
    ACC vs. SEC

    Projected Matchup: Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M

    Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
    Atlanta, GA
    ESPN
    At-Large vs. At Large

    Projected Matchup: Cincinnati vs. North Carolina

    GoodYear Cotton Bowl Classic
    Arlington, TX
    ESPN
    At-Large vs. At-Large

    Projected Matchup: Florida vs. Texas

    Allstate Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal)
    New Orleans, LA
    Friday, January 1st at 8:45 PM ET on ESPN

    Projected Matchup: Alabama vs. Georgia

    Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal)
    Pasadena, CA
    Friday, January 1st at 5 PM ET on ESPN

    Projected Matchup: Clemson vs. Oklahoma

    College Football Playoff National Championship
    Miami Gardens, FL
    Monday, January 11th at 8 PM ET on ESPN

    Projected Matchup: Alabama vs. Clemson
    Projected Winner: Alabama

  • 2020 SEC Football Preview

    2020 SEC Football Preview

    Check out the CSD preview for the SEC’s 2020 season in this loaded preview, featuring in-depth coverage of everything you need to know about all 14 teams, projected records based on thousands of computer simulations, the projected all-conference team, awards, and more.

    The league has announced that it plans to play ten conference games this year and that its teams are not allowed to play non-conference games.

    EAST

    1. Georgia

    Head Coach: Kirby Smart
    2019 Record: 12-2 (7-1 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.1 wins, 1.9 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at Arkansas
    Oct. 3 Auburn
    Oct. 10 Tennessee
    Oct. 17 at Alabama
    Oct. 24 at Kentucky
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 Florida (Jacksonville)
    Nov. 14 at Missouri
    Nov. 21 Mississippi State
    Nov. 28 at South Carolina
    Dec. 5 Vanderbilt

    Georgia has made the College Football Playoff just once since its inception, when they lost in the National title game to Tua Tagovailoa and Alabama. The Bulldogs have consistently been the bridesmaid in the SEC, mostly to ‘Bama, but also to LSU last year. We’ll see if this is the year Kirby Smart and the Dawgs can turn the corner.

    Jake Fromm is gone at QB, as is the guy who was thought to replace him: Wake Forest transfer Jamie Newman, who opted out of the season. USC transfer JT Daniels and former star recruit D’Wan Mathis look to be the contenders to take over. I prefer Mathis for the job because, well, let’s just say there was a reason Daniels transferred from USC. A lot departs on the offense, including OT Andrew Thomas and RB D’Andre Swift, but those two groups should reload thanks to Georgia’s amazing recruiting. Former-five star Zamir White will be the #1 running back, and Dalvin’s brother James Cook will add a jolt to the group. The Dawgs also add a five-star true freshman, Kendall Milton.

    Whoever the QB is will have an excellent group of receivers to throw to, led by excellent sophomore George Pickens. The QB will also have the best defense in the country to rely on. Nine starters are back from an awesome group. Leading tackler Monty Rice is back at MLB, and five-star Nolan Smith and dangerous Azeez Ojulari (5.5 sacks) provide speed off the edge. S Richard LeCounte (five INTs) and athletic corner Eric Stokes are lockdown in coverage. This defense will be awesome, and if the offense can find a QB, this team is a favorite to win the National Tite.

    2. Florida

    Head Coach: Dan Mullen
    2019 Record: 11-2 (6-2 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 7.7 wins, 2.3 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at Ole Miss
    Oct. 3 South Carolina
    Oct. 10 at Texas A&M
    Oct. 17 LSU
    Oct. 24 Missouri
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 Georgia (Jacksonville)
    Nov. 14 Arkansas
    Nov. 21 at Vanderbilt
    Nov. 28 Kentucky
    Dec. 5 at Tennessee

    If anyone can challenge Georgia in the SEC East, it’s going to be Florida. Stability at the QB spot feels like it could be key in a year without spring practices, and Florida keeps QB Kyle Trask. Trask, a former two-star recruit, stepped up last year, throwing for 25 touchdowns (and only seven picks) after Feleipe Franks went down with an injury. Back for Trask is TE Kyle Pitts, one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the country. The Gators are extraordinarily deep at the receiver spot and should be solid there. Former Miami RB Lorenzo Lingard comes in to replace the departing Lamical Perine, and last year’s #2, Dameon Pierce, was solid. The line struggled at times in 2019 but gets four of five starters back. This offense should really improve with Trask in for the whole year.

    The defense struggled with injuries, but injuries mean a lot more people played last year, and so the experience and depth on this team is tremendous. Georgia transfer Brenton Cox will lead the pass rush, with strong interior guys Kyree Campbell and Marlon Dunlap looking to take steps forward. Junior LB Ventrell Miller is quick and can do it all, and the secondary should be excellent. Donovan Stiner and Shawn Davis are two of the best safeties in the conference, and CB Kaii Elam was amazing as a true freshman and could become a true star in year two. The X-factor to this group may be corner Marco Wilson, who was great in 2017, tore his ACL in 2018, and never got back up to the same standard last year. If he can return to his 2017 form, the secondary has a shot to be the best in the country. This team will be better on both sides of the ball and could threaten for a trip to Atlanta.

    T3. Kentucky

    Head Coach: Mark Stoops
    2019 Record: 8-5 (3-5 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.2 wins, 4.8 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at Auburn
    Oct. 3 Ole Miss
    Oct. 10 Mississippi State
    Oct. 17 at Tennessee
    Oct. 24 Georgia
    Oct. 31 at Missouri
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 Vanderbilt
    Nov. 21 at Alabama
    Nov. 28 at Florida
    Dec. 5 South Carolina

    An 18-8 record over the past two years is good for the best two-run stretch for Kentucky football in over 40 years. Now, Mark Stoops looks to do it again. QB Terry Wilson returns after missing most of last year with an injury, however, the ‘Cats had lots of success with putting now-Raider WR Lynn Bowden in at the QB spot and using him as a rushing QB, so you can’t count out UK from trying something similar again. The offensive line should be excellent, almost everyone returns, but in the skill corps, the loss of Bowden hurts. The wildcat QB was the team’s top rusher, receiver, and their #2 passer. However, Kavosiey Smoke is promising in the run game, and Asim Rose returns after 826 yards last year. The receivers are unproven because the ‘Cats rarely threw once Bowden took over, but Josh Ali looked solid on limited touches.

    The defense should be one of the best in the country again, as almost everyone is back from last year’s group, including awesome edge rusher Boogie Watson (6.5 sacks). The corner duo of Brandin Echols and Cedrick Dort is very good, and IDL Quinton Bohanna is a 367-pound monster. There are some questions in the linebacking corps, where there are some transfers and stouts, but this defense will be even better than they were in 2019 and should offset any step back by the offense. The SEC-only schedule means that the record will probably take a step back, but on the field, this will be an improved team.

    T3. Tennessee

    Head Coach: Jeremy Pruitt
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-3 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.2 wins, 4.8 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at South Carolina
    Oct. 3 Missouri
    Oct. 10 at Georgia
    Oct. 17 Kentucky
    Oct. 24 Alabama
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 at Arkansas
    Nov. 14 Texas A&M
    Nov. 21 at Auburn
    Nov. 28 at Vanderbilt
    Dec. 5 Florida

    After opening the year with a loss to Georgia State, Tennessee rebounded, and really improved down the stretch, finishing 8-5 and playing like a legit top-25 team by the team the year concluded. Now, QB Jarrett Guarantano returns for Jeremy Pruitt after a decent year, but Guarantano will lose three of his top four pass-catchers. USC transfer Velus Jones needs to step up fast. G Trey Smith leads what is one of the best offensive lines in the country, and Ty Chandler and Eric Gray return in the run game. This offense should take a step forward despite the hole at WR, and if Guarantano can clean up his inconsistent play, this team could surprise someone.

    On defense, the secondary is key, with a previously young group looking to mature into a force, led by star corner Bryce Thompson. Leading pass rusher Darrell Taylor is gone, but Michigan transfer Aubrey Solomon has potential, and Henrey To’o To’o will lead a linebacking corps with lots of depth. I think I’m lower on Tennessee than most, but this will be a solid team that should finish around the .500 mark in SEC play.

    5. South Carolina

    Head Coach: Will Muschamp
    2019 Record: 4-8 (3-5 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 2.9 wins, 7.1 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Tennessee
    Oct. 3 at Florida
    Oct. 10 at Vanderbilt
    Oct. 17 Auburn
    Oct. 24 at LSU
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 Texas A&M
    Nov. 14 at Ole Miss
    Nov. 21 Missouri
    Nov. 28 Georgia
    Dec. 5 at Kentucky

    Will Muschamp’s Gamecocks have been sliding, and while I don’t think we’ll see a huge “coaching carousel” this year because of the global pandemic, Muschamp is on the shortlist for names on the chopping block. Over the past three years, the Gamecock’s win total has declined from nine (2017) to seven (2018) to four (2019).

    The offense has been the issue for much of the Muschamp era, and new coordinator Mike Bobo will take over a roster that averaged eight points a contest over the final three games of the 2019 campaign. There are a whole lot of question marks, but sophomore QB Ryan Hiliniski looks to be the man at QB. He was thrust into the role midyear and was alright; he should improve with time to settle in. The top receiver will be senior Shi Smith, and five-star MarShawn Lloyd will come in as a true freshman to try and turn the disastrous run game around. He’ll have a decent line to work with, and the offense should improve.

    On defense, the corner duo of Israel Mukuamu (three interceptions in the win vs Georgia) and Jaycee Horn (16 PBUs 2018+2019) return after an awesome 2019, but losing Javon Kinlaw from the defensive line hurts a lot. The pass rush is a big worry, and star recruit Jordan Burch will need to step up big early alongside more experienced guys Zacch Pickens and Aaron Sterling. There are just too many holes on this team -between the pass game, the defensive line, and a freshman RB- to have much confidence in this team, but they are young, so it may be a “looking forward to 2021” year for Gamecock fans, whether Muschamp can look forward to then is still up in the air.

    6. Missouri

    Head Coach: Elijah Drinkwitz
    2019 Record: 6-6 (3-5 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 2.8 wins, 7.2 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Alabama
    Oct. 3 at Tennessee
    Oct. 10 at LSU
    Oct. 17 Vanderbilt
    Oct. 24 at Florida
    Oct. 31 Kentucky
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 Georgia
    Nov. 21 at South Carolina
    Nov 28 Arkansas
    Dec. 5 at Mississippi State

    New coach Elijah Drinkwitz arrives in Columbia after leading Appalachian State to a top-25 finish and a Sun Belt title last year. The line, which wasn’t awesome to begin with, is a big problem, with three NFL-drafted players gone. However, Drinkwitz will have a great pair of backs to work with between Larry Rountree III (829 yards, nine touchdowns) and Tyler Badie. The QB situation is a question mark – TCU transfer Shawn Robinson and 2019 backup Taylor Powell will compete for the job – neither inspire much confidence. NFL TE Albert Okwuegbunam and leading receiver Jonathan Nance both depart as well. Virginia Tech transfer WR Damon Hazelton and Rutgers transfer C Michael Maietti are the only bright spots on what will be one of the worst offenses in the power five.

    The defense, however, shows some cause for optimism. LB Nick Bolton had an amazing 2019, Bolton was one of the best coverage backs in the country last year. Also returning for Mizzou are S Tyree Gillespie (#2 tackler) and IDL Kobie Whiteside (6.5 sacks), one of the best interior pass-rushers in the conference. Some names do depart, including top corner DeMarkus Acy, LB Cale Garrett, and DT Jordan Elliot. Despite the losses, this defense will be very good, but the offense will drag them down, and this team will fight to stay out of the SEC basement in Drinkwitz’s year one.

    7. Vanderbilt

    Head Coach: Derek Mason
    2019 Record: 3-9 (1-7 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 0.5 wins, 9.5 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at Texas A&M
    Oct. 3 LSU
    Oct. 10 South Carolina
    Oct. 17 at Missouri
    Oct. 24 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 31 Ole Miss
    Nov. 7 at Mississippi State
    Nov. 14 at Kentucky
    Nov. 21 Florida
    Nov. 28 Tennessee
    Dec. 5 at Georgia

    Vanderbilt might be the toughest P5 job in the nation, and Derek Mason has done alright for a while, but his tenure with the Commodores may be coming to an end soon. Vandy comes into 2020 as the team most likely to go winless, winning an average of just .5 games over the 9,000 simulations run by the CSD computer model. The top three passers from last year’s team are gone, meaning VU will have to roll with true freshman Mike Wright to lead the attack, and he’ll have to do it without leading receiver Kalija Lipscomb or NFL TE Jared Pinkney. RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn is gone as well, and the offensive line looks bad. This will be the worst offense in the power five and may be the worst in the country.

    The defense should be a little better, at least in the pass-rushing department. Dayo Odeyingbo and Andre Mintze are both really good edge rushers, and CB Jaylen Mahoney should improve after a good year as a true freshman. The guy starting across from him, Allan George, is up-and-down but quick and has a lot of potentials. In the toughest conference in the country, it’s going to be tough for this team to win any game, and the most winnable one: Missouri is on the road. This may be an ugly year

    WEST

    1. Alabama

    Head Coach: Nick Saban
    2019 Record: 11-2 (6-2 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.3 wins, 1.7 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at Missouri
    Oct. 3 Texas A&M
    Oct. 10 at Ole Miss
    Oct. 17 Georgia
    Oct. 24 at Tennessee
    Oct. 31 Mississippi State
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 at LSU
    Nov. 21 Kentucky
    Nov. 28 Auburn
    Dec. 5 at Arkansas

    Last year’s Alabama team was a legit national contedner before Tua Tagovailoa started battling injuries midway through the year. If you want proof – four Bama players were taken in their first 15 picks of last year’s draft on offense alone. Somehow, despite that stat, a bevy of NFL talent returns for the Tide. T Alex Leatherwood is a surefire All-American, and RB Najee Harris and WRs DeVonta Smith (1,256 yards, 14 touchdowns) and Jaylen Waddle (17 YPC) are a trio of monsters in the skill corps that will take the pressure off of whoever the QB is – whether 2019 backup Mac Jones (14 touchdowns, three interceptions) or five-star superstar Bryce Young.

    On defense, there is talent abound. IDL Christian Barmore was incredible last year and should take a step forward with more playing time this year. The awesome corner duo of Patrick Surtain II and Josh Jobe return, and linebacker Dylan Moses is back after missing last year with an injury. The Bama defense was very young last year and struggled relative to other Bama Ds, but they’ll take a step forward as guys like Shane Lee, Bryon Young, and Christian Harris become more experienced. This could be the best team in the country.

    2. Texas A&M

    Head Coach: Jimbo Fisher
    2019 Record: 8-5 (4-4 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 7.3 wins, 2.7 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Vanderbilt
    Oct. 3 at Alabama
    Oct. 10 Florida
    Oct. 17 at Mississippi State
    Oct. 24 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 31 Arkansas
    Nov. 7 at South Carolina
    Nov. 14 at Tennessee
    Nov. 21 Ole Miss
    Nov. 28 LSU
    Dec. 5 at Auburn

    It’s put up or shut up time for Jimbo Fisher in College Station. The Aggies return the most starters of anyone in the division, including star QB Kellen Mond, five starters back on the line, and a bevy of talent in the skill corps. Mond wasn’t entirely consistent last year, but he was saddled with an inexperienced line and should improve this year. Top WR Jhamon Ausborn returns, as does pass-catching threat TE Jalen Wydermyer. Add in star recruit Demond Demas and dual-threat RB Ainias Smith, and this receiving corps is stacked. Alongside Smith in the RB room will be Isaiah Spiller (946 yards, five touchdowns). I’m still a little worried about the line, but this should be an excellent offense.

    On defense, almost everyone is back, including 19 of the top 22 tacklers, in a group that could be the most improved in the conference. For context, that’s insane. LB Buddy Johnson will lead the group, he had 77 tackles a year ago, and a deep group of defensive backs all return. This will be a team that contends for the College Football Playoff. Watch out.

    3. LSU

    Head Coach: Ed Orgeron
    2019 Record: 15-0 (8-0 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 7.1 wins, 2.9 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Mississippi State
    Oct. 3 at Vanderbilt
    Oct. 10 Missouri
    Oct. 17 at Florida
    Oct. 24 South Carolina
    Oct. 31 at Auburn
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 Alabama
    Nov. 21 at Arkansas
    Nov. 28 at Texas A&M
    Dec. 5 Ole Miss

    A lot of people called 2019 LSU the best team in college football history. I wouldn’t go nearly that far, but the Tigers were awesome. Now, only eight starters return from that group – and in a year with no nonconference play or spring practice, the Tigers will throw an inexperienced group right into the deep end. On offense, four starters are gone on the line, as are five of the top eight receivers, their #1 rusher, and, of course, Joe Burrow.

    QB Myles Brennan has some massive shoes to fill. Burrow had one of the best single-season performances I’ve ever seen. 5,671 yards, 65 total touchdowns, just five interceptions. Wow. Brennan will be a drop off, and only one guy that had significant playing time: Terrace Marshall (671 yards, 13 touchdowns) returns in the receiving corps. Now, the Tigers have recruited well, but every position on offense is essentially an unknown.

    On defense, CB Derek Stingley Jr. might be the most important non-QB in the country, and NDSU transfer Jabril Cox is extremely talented, but a lot of talent is gone, most notably S Grant Delpit and CB Kristian Fulton. CB Kary Vincent Jr. was valuable last year against slot receivers and should step into the #2 CB role nicely, and IDL Tyler Shelvin is an excellent name on the inside. I don’t expect as big of a drop-off on thee defense, but the dropoff is still there. This team will be good -maybe top-ten good- but a step back is inevitable with so much talent departing.

    4. Auburn

    Head Coach: Gus Malzahn
    2019 Record: 9-4 (5-3 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 6.6 wins, 3.4 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Kentucky
    Oct. 3 at Georgia
    Oct. 10 Arkansas
    Oct. 17 at South Carolina
    Oct. 24 at Ole Miss
    Oct. 31 LSU
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 at Mississippi State
    Nov. 21 Tennessee
    Nov. 28 at Alabama
    Dec. 5 Texas A&M

    I was never really on the Bo Nix bandwagon, but even I will admit, he was inconsistent (52%), but there were certainly flashes. Nix returns awesome #1 Seth Williams and speedy #2 Anthony Schwartz. The offensive line loses Prince Tega Wanogho but returns the other four starters, and sophomore back DJ Williams is back after a very good year on limited touches. Five-star Cartavious Bigsby could make a day-one impact at halfback as well. The offense should improve, but it still won’t be one of the SEC’s best unless Nix can take a big step forward.

    On defense, this team shines. CB Roger McCreary is back after a breakout year, and the awesome LB duo of KJ Britt and Zakoby McClain is the best in the SEC. There is a ton of young talent and depth on this D, and I trust 2019 backups like Caleb Johnson and Christian Tutt to step into big roles, however, the loss of Derrick Brown really hurts a pass rush that already struggled. This team has a high ceiling, but it is still very young, landing the Tigers fourth in their division right now.

    5. Ole Miss

    Head Coach: Lane Kiffin
    2019 Record: 4-8 (2-6 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 4.3 wins, 5.7 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Florida
    Oct. 3 at Kentucky
    Oct. 10 Alabama
    Oct. 17 at Arkansas
    Oct. 24 Auburn
    Oct. 31 at Vanderbilt
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 South Carolina
    Nov. 21 at Texas A&M
    Nov. 28 Mississippi State
    Dec. 5 at LSU

    No non-conference, no spring practice, a new coach, the toughest division in college football but… I like this team a lot. UCF OC Jeff Lebby was a great hire as was head coach Lane Kiffin, and the two will have a lot of talent to work with. Matt Corrall returns after leading the team passing, as does leading rusher and potential starting QB John Rhys Plumlee (1,023 yards, 12 touchdowns, 910 passing yards, four touchdowns). Elijah Moore leads what is a very talented group of receivers, and awesome back Jerrion Ealy returns after averaging over six yards per touch last year. This offense will take a big step forward under Kiffin’s tutlage.

    The defense isn’t nearly as exciting, but the freaksihly athletic Sam Williams returns on the edge to lead a group that racked up 33 sacks last year. MLB Lakia Henry (88 stops) returns on the inside, and some JUCO transfers add some depth to this squad. The Rebels should be much improved on both sides of the ball, and in a year with only three power conferences, they are probably a top 25 team.

    6. Mississippi State

    Head Coach: Mike Leach
    2019 Record: 6-7 (3-5 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.3 wins, 6.7 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 at LSU
    Oct. 3 Arkansas
    Oct. 10 at Kentucky
    Oct. 17 Texas A&M
    Oct. 24 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 31 at Alabama
    Nov. 7 Vanderbilt
    Nov. 14 Auburn
    Nov. 21 at Georgia
    Nov. 28 at Ole Miss
    Dec. 5 Missouri

    The always intriguing Mike Leach, who helped turn Washington State from the Kansas of the West to a legit power, takes over in Stark Vegas, however, without spring practices, its unknown how much of a scheme change the Bulldogs will really undergo. Stanford transfer KJ Costello is someone that can air it out and should rack up a ton of yards as the #1 option at QB. RB Kylin Hill decided not to move on to the NFL and should contend for All-SEC status after 1,350 yards and ten touchdowns last year. This offense will probably be the best Bulldog attack since the Dak Prescott era.

    On defense, however, this team will really struggle after having the best D in the country just two short years ago. CB Tyler Williams and S Marcus Murphy lead a secondary that significantly lacks depth. LB Erroll Thompson should captain the group, but defenses were never Leach’s speciality at Wazzu. This group should improve as well, but is still fairly young. An SEC-only schedule will mean the wins will see a significant dropoff, but this team should be on level with 2019 despite the turnover.

    7. Arkansas

    Head Coach: Sam Pittman
    2019 Record: 2-10 (0-8 SEC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 0.7 wins, 9.3 losses

    Schedule

    Sept. 26 Georgia
    Oct. 3 at Mississippi State
    Oct. 10 at Auburn
    Oct. 17 Ole Miss
    Oct. 24 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 31 at Texas A&M
    Nov. 7 Tennessee
    Nov. 14 at Florida
    Nov. 21 LSU
    Nov. 28 Missouri
    Dec. 5 at Alabama

    Arkansas faces the self-proclaimed “toughest scheule in college football history” this year, and honestly… I can’t argue. It is ROUGH. And a win will be hard to find, but I do see this team improving a little. Kendal Briles comes in to improve an offense that really struggled last year, and in comes Florida transfer QB Feleipe Franks, a dual-threat that was a little underrated in his time with the Gators. RB Rakeem Boyd is back after rushing for over 1,100 yards last year, and the top seven wide receivers return along with stud TE Hudson Henry. The offensive line, new coach Sam Pittman’s speciality, should also be good, and I expect massive improvement from the offense.

    As bad as the offense was, the defense was worse, but again, Pittman made an excellent coordinator hire – this time former Missouri HC Barry Odom. Leading tackle De’Jon departs, but almost everyone else is back, including #2 tackler Bumper Pool who should have no trouble leading the group. Senior Hayden Henry has been solid over his career, and a pair of transfers from Oklahoma and Clemson add in some raw talent for Odom to work with on the ends. Jonathan Marshall is a good pass-rusher on the interior. The secondary will be very young, and is my biggest concern on the team; there are no real proven commodities in the back four. I think Arkansas should improve a lot on the field, but against what may truly be the toughest schedule in college football history, even getting one win may be tough, but I think they’ll get there.

    SEC Title Game Pick: Alabama over Georgia

    All-SEC Team

    QB – Kyle Trask, Florida
    RB – Najee Harris, Alabama
    RB – Kylin Hill, Mississippi State
    WR – DeVonta Smith, Alabama
    WR – Jaylen Wadle, Alabama
    TE – Kyle Pitts, Florida
    C – Drake Jackson, Kentucky
    OL – Alex Leatherwood, Alabama
    OL – Trey Smith, Tennessee
    OL – Ben Cleveland, Georgia
    OL – Landon Dickerson, Alabama

    DL – Big Kat Bryant, Auburn
    DL – Jordan Davis, Georgia
    DL – Christian Barmore, Alabama
    DL – Tyer Shelvin, LSU
    LB – KJ Britt, Auburn
    LB – Dylan Moses, Alabama
    LB – Nick Bolton, Missouri
    DB – Derek Stingley Jr., LSU
    DB – Patrick Surtain II, Alabama
    DB – Richard Lecounte, Georgia
    DB – Kaiir Elam, Florida

    Most Appearances By Team:

    Alabama – 8
    Georgia – 3
    Florida – 3
    LSU – 2
    Auburn – 2
    Kentucky – 1
    Tennessee – 1
    Mississippi State – 1
    Missouri – 1

    Offensive Player of the Year: RB Najee Harris, Alabama
    Defensive Player of the Year: CB Derek Stingley, LSU
    Coach of the Year: Dan Mullen, Florida
    Freshman of the Year: RB MarShawn Lloyd, South Carolina
    Game of the Year: Florida vs Georgia (November 7)

  • 2020 Big 12 Football Preview

    2020 Big 12 Football Preview

    Check out the CSD preview for the Big 12’s 2020 season in this loaded preview, featuring in-depth coverage of everything you need to know about all ten teams, projected records based on thousands of computer simulations, the projected all-conference team, awards, and more.

    The league has announced that it plans to play the normal nine conference games this year and that its teams are allowed to play up to one non-conference game.

    Projected Standings

    1. Oklahoma

    Head Coach: Lincoln Riley
    2019 Record: 12-2 (8-1 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.6 wins, 1.4 losses (7.6 wins, 1.4 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Missouri State
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 Kansas State
    Oct. 3 at Iowa State
    Oct. 10 Texas (in Dallas)
    Oct. 17 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 24 at TCU
    Oct. 31 at Texas Tech
    Nov. 7 Kansas
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 Oklahoma State
    Nov. 28 at West Virginia
    Dec. 5 Baylor

    For the third year in a row, a brand new, highly-touted QB will take the field for Lincoln Riley’s Oklahoma Sooners. This time, it will be social media superstar Spencer Rattler, who is so good that the dropoff from Hurts may be unnoticeable. Where the Sooners may struggle, though, is the running back spot, where Trey Sermon transfers away to Ohio State and Kennedy Brooks will be an opt-out for the NFL draft. Senior Rhamondre Stevenson is the default #1. Stevenson scampered for 515 yards and six touchdowns last year as the Sooners’ #3. The receiving corps is still stacked even without CeeDee Lamb. Charleston Rambo (17 YPC in 2019) looks to be the next big thing in Norman, and awesome recruiting will provide plenty of depth.

    On defense, Oklahoma improved under Alex Grinch last year, but the secondary was still a massive hole, and with its best player, Parnell Motley, gone, I don’t expect it to get much better. The big reason that the Sooners were better last year was the pass rush, and the line looks to be solid again, with LaRon Stoke and Marcus Stripling coming off the ends, and Ronnie Perkins threatening to tear up Big 12 O-lines. LB Nik Bonitto and CB Tre Brown taking steps up will be the key to whether or not OU can take another step forward on defense this year. As for the Sooners as a whole, I do see a slight step back because of the uncertainty at the RB spot and Rattler’s unproven nature, but they are the favorites for a Big 12 title and thus a College Football Playoff spot.

    2. Texas

    Head Coach: Tom Herman
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-4 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.0 wins, 2.0 losses (7.0 wins, 2.0 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 UTEP
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Texas Tech
    Oct. 3 TCU
    Oct. 10 Oklahoma (in Dallas)
    Oct. 17 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 24 Baylor
    Oct. 31 at Oklahoma State
    Nov. 7 West Virginia
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 at Kansas
    Nov. 28 Iowa State
    Dec. 5 at Kansas State

    A 5-4 Big 12 record in 2019 was clearly disappointing for Texas, but the Longhorns were probably better than that record indicated, and almost everyone is back, including star QB Sam Ehlinger (32 touchdowns) who decided to pass on the NFL draft to return to Austin. Five-star RB Bijan Robinson will push returning top back Keontay Ingram (853 yards, seven touchdowns, 242 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns) in the run game, and T Samuel Cosmi is a legit NFL prospect working around a solid line. A pair of guys that caught six touchdowns each return in the receiving corps as well, although the losses of Collin Johnson and Devin Duvernay hurt. This should be one of the better offenses in the country.

    The defense was alright in Big 12 adjusted terms, and it returns a lot. Gone is Malcolm Roach from the pass rush, but almost everyone else is back, including LB Joseph Ossai (five sacks) and MLB Juwan Mitchell. CB D’Shawn Jamison had a very impressive season for a year one starter in 2019, and I expect him to be an All-Big 12 caliber player by the time he leaves Austin. Former Rutgers head coach Chris Ash is the new defensive coordinator, and the group should improve after they were killed with injuries last year. Texas will compete for a Big 12 title again, but the holes on defense are obvious.

    3. Oklahoma State

    Head Coach: Mike Gundy
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-4 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 7.7 wins, 2.3 losses (6.8 wins, 2.2 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 Tulsa
    Sept. 26 West Virginia
    Oct. 3 at Kansas
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 at Baylor
    Oct. 24 Iowa State
    Oct. 31 Texas
    Nov. 7 at Kansas State
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 at Oklahoma
    Nov. 28 Texas Tech
    Dec. 5 at TCU

    Nine starters are back from what was already one of the most dangerous offenses in the country. Watch out Big 12. RB Chuba Hubbard returns after running for over 2,100 yards and 21 touchdowns last year, and WR Tylan Wallace has the potential to be an All-American caliber player (and was on his way there last year before an ACL tear). The line looks to be solid, with both tackles back and a West Virginia transfer at guard. The talent in the skill positions are incredible, the Cowboys just need a reliable QB. Spencer Sanders runs well but threw way too many interceptions as a freshman. If he can clean that up, this offense will be one of the nation’s very best.

    On defense, everyone is back from a much-improved group outside of star corner AJ Green, but any team will take 12 of its top 13 tacklers returning. LB Amen Ogbongbemiga was the captain of the defense last year, and the Cowboys also boast the best safety duo in the conference in Tre Sterling and Kolby Harvell-Peel. The defense will take another step forward, and this team will compete for a Big 12 title.

    4. Iowa State

    Head Coach: Matt Campbell
    2019 Record: 7-6 (5-4 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 6.6 wins, 3.4 losses (5.8 wins, 3.2 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Louisiana
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at TCU
    Oct. 3 Oklahoma
    Oct. 10 Texas Tech
    Oct. 17 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 24 at Oklahoma State
    Oct. 31 at Kansas
    Nov. 7 Baylor
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 Kansas State
    Nov. 28 at Texas
    Dec. 5 West Virginia

    For three years running, Iowa State has finished with a winning record in the Big 12, but this may finally be the year that the ‘Clones truly take that next step forward into title contention. QB Brock Purdy (3,928 yards, 27 touchdowns) is one of the best pass-throwers in the country and TE Charlie Kolar is the best tight end in the Big 12. Throw in excellent back Breece Hall, who struggled out of the gate as a true freshman but cranked up the volume in the second half of the season for 897 yards and nine touchdowns, and you have a bona fide awesome offense. The line worries me, but outside of that, this attack should rock. On defense, I have a lot more worries. The group slid last year and loses leading tackler Marcel Spears, but a ton of talent still returns. Edge rusher JaQuan Bailey is awesome, and there is decent depth around him. Mike Rose and O’Rein Vance combined for ten sacks a season ago, and in the secondary, four of the top five return, including the dynamite safety duo of Greg Eisworth and Lawrence White (combined 15 PBUs/INTs between the two last year). I have ISU at 6-3 in Big 12 play this year, meaning they’d probably only need to overperform expectations by one game to make the Big 12 title game. Go get ’em Matt Campbell.

    5. Baylor

    Head Coach: Dave Aranda
    2019 Record; 11-3 (8-1 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.6 wins, 4.4 losses (4.7 wins, 4.3 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Louisiana Tech
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 Kansas
    Oct. 3 at West Virginia
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 Oklahoma State
    Oct. 24 at Texas
    Oct. 31 TCU
    Nov. 7 at Iowa State
    Nov. 14 at Texas Tech
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 28 Kansas State
    Dec. 5 at Oklahoma

    Matt Rhule is off to the NFL, but Baylor made an excellent hire to replace him in 2019 National Championship winning Defensive Coordinator Dave Aranda. Aranda will have to rebuild the defense, one that only returns two starters, but on offense QB Charlie Brewer (3,161 yards, 21 touchdowns) is back after leading the Bears to 11 wins last year. Much of Brewer’s receiving corps, including Denzel Mims, departs, but four starters return from an offensive line that struggled last year but should improve with experience. Leading rusher John Lovett will be the key to the run game.

    On defense, the worries really start to set in, as almost everyone is gone. Arkansas State transfer William Bradley-King will provide some pressure in the pass rush after a few very productive years in the Sun Belt, and former WR-turned-CB Raleigh Texada is solid, but that’s about where the positives end for the Bears. Baylor was lucky to win 11 games last year. Add in some massive losses on defense and regression to the mean is inevitable.

    6. TCU

    Head Coach: Gary Patterson
    2019 Record: 5-7 (3-6 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 4.2 wins, 4.8 losses (4.2 wins, 4.8 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 Iowa State
    Oct. 3 at Texas
    Oct. 10 Kansas State
    Oct. 17 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 24 Oklahoma
    Oct. 31 at Baylor
    Nov. 7 Texas Tech
    Nov. 14 at West Virginia
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 28 at Kansas
    Dec. 5 Oklahoma State

    TCU was better than their 5-7 record indicated last year, but the play of freshman QB Max Duggan cost them a trip to a bowl game for just the third time in Gary Patterson’s tenure as TCU head man. 2019 starting QB Max Duggan will sit out this year due to a health issue, and former walk-on Matthew Downing looks to be the guy at the QB spot. Jalen Reagor is off to the NFL, but the next five receivers return, including five-TD TE Pro Wells. The offensive line is a big question mark, and the top two running backs depart as well. This offense will really struggle unless five-star RB Zachary Evans steps up insanely fast for a true freshman.

    On defense, this TCU team will be solid. Gary Patterson teams always are. The linebacking corps, led by La’Kendrick Van Zandt and Garret Wallow, should be good, and the Horned Frogs add in an LSU transfer, Marcel Brooks. The safety duo of Ar’Darius Washington and Trevon Moehrig (16 PBUs/INTs) is the best in the country.

    This may be the best defense in the conference saddled with what may be the worst offense. I find it hard to get a read on this team because of that, but with Gary Patterson at the helm, the floor is relatively high.

    7. Kansas State

    Head Coach: Chris Klieman
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-4 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 4.3 wins, 5.7 losses (3.4 wins, 5.6 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Arkansas State
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Oklahoma
    Oct. 3 Texas Tech
    Oct. 10 at TCU
    Oct. 17 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 24 Kansas
    Oct. 31 at West Virginia
    Nov. 7 Oklahoma State
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 at Iowa State
    Nov. 28 at Baylor
    Dec. 5 Texas

    Year one under Chris Klieman for Kansas State was awesome, the Wildcats went 8-5, but with just nine starters returning, Klieman’s team will almost assuredly take a step back this year. QB Skylar Thompson returns, but he loses his top target and his entire offensive line. If Malik Knowles or Phillip Brooks can break out as pass-catchers, I think this offense could surprise some people, but it is admittedly a big question mark.

    On defense, the Wildcats will get at the quarterback. Edge Wyatt Hubert is an All-Big 12 candidate, and he should take the pressure off the rest of the rotation. The secondary loses some transfers but also brings some in, and should be a solid group all in all. There’s not a whole lot of experience on this team, but the talent is there, and Klieman is a great coach. This team could surprise some folks.

    8. West Virginia

    Head Coach: Neal Brown
    2019 Record: 5-7 (3-6 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.9 wins, 6.1 losses (2.9 wins, 6.1 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Eastern Kentucky
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Oklahoma State
    Oct. 3 Baylor
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 Kansas
    Oct. 24 at Texas Tech
    Oct. 31 Kansas State
    Nov. 7 at Texas
    Nov. 14 TCU
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 28 Oklahoma
    Dec. 5 at Iowa State

    Granted, last year was supposed to be a rebuilding year for West Virginia with a ton of roster turnover and a new coach, but the offense took a massive step back. QB Jarret Doege, one of the few bright spots of last year, returns, as does almost the entire receiving corps, which was absurdly young last year and thus should take a big step forward in 2020. Leading pass-catcher Sam James (69 catches) returns, and former Alabama slot man TJ Simmons stepped up last year. The big issue last season for the Mountaineers was the run game, where leading rusher Leddie Brown only totaled one touchdown and 367 yards, and three starters are gone from a line that already struggled in the run game. Doege, who only started the back half of 2019, will lead this offense to a much improved year, but the run game will struggle still.

    The defense will compete with the best in the conference. Seven of the top ten tacklers return from last year’s team, including the extraordinary pass rush brother duo of Dante and Darius Sills (combined 14 sacks). Also back is the team’s #2 leading tacklers, LB Josh Chandler, an awesome play-maker against the run despite his small frame. The secondary features one of the best pairs of safeties in the conference in Sean Mahone and Kerry Martin Jr.

    CB Tykee Smith will step up off of a two-interception year as a true freshman and will easily step into the #1 role, not to mention the addition of Arizona transfer Scottie Young. The offensive line and the massive hole at running back are two glaring issues, but outside of that this is a very dangerous team and one that could really surprise some people in Big 12 play.

    9. Texas Tech

    Head Coach: Matt Wells
    2019 Record: 4-8 (2-6 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.4 wins, 6.6 losses (2.4 wins, 6.6 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Houston Baptist
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 Texas
    Oct. 3 at Kansas State
    Oct. 10 at Iowa State
    Oct. 17 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 24 West Virginia
    Oct. 31 Oklahoma
    Nov. 7 at TCU
    Nov. 14 Baylor
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 28 at Oklahoma State
    Dec. 5 Kansas

    Year one for Matt Wells at Texas Tech gets a pass because of a bevy of injuries, but the Red Raiders were alright even without star QB Alan Bowman. The receiving corps is loaded, with TJ Vasher and Erik Ezukanma back as potential All-Big 12 level players. RB SaRodorick Thompson returns after 765 yards and 12 touchdowns last year; Thompson can also bring in passes – he landed 39 grabs last year. The line is an issue, but just by way of staying healthy, this offense should improve.

    The defense really struggled last year, something that has been true for Texas Tech for as long as I can remember. The secondary is especially shaky outside of #1 corner Zech McPhearson, and this is a defense that might struggle at all three levels – many of their best players from last year’s group are gone. The defense will take a step back after an already bad year, and I don’t think the offense is good enough to drag the Red Raiders to a competitive year. Tech will struggle.

    10. Kansas

    Head Coach: Les Miles
    2019 Record: 3-9 (1-8 Big 12)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 0.8 wins, 9.2 losses (0.3 wins, 8.7 losses Big 12)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Coastal Carolina
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Baylor
    Oct. 3 Oklahoma State
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 at West Virginia
    Oct. 24 at Kansas State
    Oct. 31 Iowa State
    Nov. 7 at Oklahoma
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 Texas
    Nov. 28 TCU
    Dec. 5 at Texas Tech

    3-9 was a great start for Les Miles at Kansas, but I feel skeptical that the Jayhawks will be able to repeat that. Pooka Williams is back at running back after a 1,000+ yard year, and the receiving corps returns three of the top four, along with Pooka, who can catch himself. QB is still a question, but senior Thomas MacVittie seems to be the favorite. I think this offense takes a small step forward thanks to the talent in the skill corps, but it really all comes down to how good the QB play is.

    The defense, on the other hand, looks to be a real mess, as only three starters return from what was already one of the worst defenses in the Big 12. LB Kyron Thompson is strong in coverage, and the recruiting has been pretty good for Miles early on (he also adds in some JUCO transfers). This defense will really struggle, and Kansas will finish last in the Big 12 yet again.

    Big 12 Title Game Pick: Oklahoma over Texas

    All-Big 12 Team

    QB – Sam Ehlinger, Texas
    RB – Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State
    RB – Pooka Williams, Kansas
    WR – Tylan Wallace, Oklahoma State
    WR – Charleston Rambo, Oklahoma
    TE – Charlie Kolar, Iowa State
    C – Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma
    OL – Samuel Cosmi, Texas
    OL – Teven Jenkins, Oklahoma State
    OL – Marquis Hayes, Oklahoma
    OL – Adrian Ealy, Oklahoma

    DL – Nik Bonitto, Oklahoma
    DL – Darius Stills, West Virginia
    DL – Ronnie Perkins, Oklahoma
    DL – William Bradley-King, Baylor
    LB – Garrett Wallow, TCU
    LB – Amen Ogbongbemiga, Oklahoma State
    LB – Joseph Ossai, Texas
    DL – Trevon Moehrig, TCU
    DL – Ar’Darius Washington, TCU
    DL – Tre Brown, Oklahoma
    DL – Raleigh Texada, Baylor

    Most Appearances By Team:

    Oklahoma – 7
    Oklahoma State – 4
    Texas – 3
    TCU – 3
    Baylor – 2
    Iowa State – 1
    West Virginia – 1
    Kansas – 1

    Offensive Player of the Year: RB Chub Hubbard, Oklahoma State
    Defensive Player of the Year: LB Joseph Ossai, Texas
    Coach of the Year: Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State
    Freshman of the Year: QB Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma
    Game of the Year: Texas @ Oklahoma State (October 31)

  • 2020 ACC Football Preview

    2020 ACC Football Preview

    Check out the CSD preview for the ACC’s 2020 season in this loaded preview, featuring in-depth coverage of everything you need to know about all 15 teams, projected records based on thousands of computer simulations, the projected all-conference team, awards, and more.

    The league has announced that it plans to play ten conference games this year and that its teams are allowed to play up to one non-conference game. Additionally, the conference has scrapped divisions for the 2020 season and added Notre Dame.

    Projected Standings

    1. Clemson

    Head Coach: Dabo Swinney
    2019 Record: 14-1 (8-0 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 9.9 wins, 1.1 losses (8.9 wins, 1.1 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 at Wake Forest
    Sept. 19 The Citadel
    Sept. 26 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 3 Virginia
    Oct. 10 Miami
    Oct. 17 at Georgia Tech
    Oct. 24 Syracuse
    Oct. 31 Boston College
    Nov. 7 at Notre Dame
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 21 at Florida State
    Nov. 28 Pitt
    Dec. 5 at Virginia Tech

    It feels weird, but it wasn’t that long ago -just 2014- when Clemson was still a clear #2 in thieir own division to Florida State. Since that year, however, the Tigers have been incredible, with 69 wins and just five losses over the five years since. Dabo Swinney has turned the Tigers into a ture college football dynasty. After a national title game trip last year, Dabo and company return one of the best QB/RB combos in college football history in Trevor Lawrence (3,665 yards, 36 touchdowns, 563 rushing yards, nine rushing touchdowns) and Travis Etienne (2,046 total yards, 23 total touchdowns). There is no overstating how good that duo has been over the past two years, and getting both back is massive for the Tigers.

    WRs Tee Higgins (NFL) and Justyn Ross (injury) won’t be back, but the cupboard is more than stacked in SC. Joseph Ngata returns after an eye-catching year one, and four-star EJ Williams comes in to add some pop to the group. The offensive line will also go under a transition with four starters gone, but this Clemson offense has earned the benefit of the doubt, and the Lawrence/Etienne combo alone makes this a contender for the best offense in the nation.

    On defense, all-world LB Isaiah Simmons is gone, as are three of four starters from the dynamite secondary, but the most important piece is back: defensive coordinator Brent Venables, who is somehow still a DC at Clemson. Over his tenure with the Tigers, Venables has proved himself as the most valuable coordinator in the country by a wide margin, and it’s a wonder he isn’t a head coach somewhere already.

    Some pieces are back for Venables, including one of the best interior duos in the country in Tyler Davis and Nyles Pinkney. Senior LB James Skalski (90 tackles) returns on the second level, and CB Derion Kendrick will lead the secondary, where he’ll be joined by S Nolan Turner. There are losses, but there is a bevy of young talent on this defense, like potential Simmons replacement Mike Jones Jr.. This team will be among the favorites to win the national title yet again.

    2. North Carolina

    Head Coach: Mack Brown
    2019 Record: 7-6 (4-4 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 9.0 wins, 2.0 losses (8.1 wins, 1.9 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Syracuse
    Sept. 19 Charlotte
    Sept. 26 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 3 at Boston College
    Oct. 10 Virginia Tech
    Oct. 17 at Florida State
    Oct. 24 NC State
    Oct. 31 at Virginia
    Nov. 7 at Duke
    Nov. 14 Wake Forest
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 27 Notre Dame
    Dec. 5 at Miami

    Almost everyone is back from a team that went 7-6 last year, to an almost scary degree that gives me 2016 Washington vibes. That Huskies team made the College Football Playoff, and I honestly believe that the ceiling is that high for this UNC team as well. QB Sam Howell (3,641 yards, 38 touchdowns) is back after one of the best true freshman seasons in recent memory. He returns both leading rushers: Michael Carter and Javonte Williams, the two of whom combined for nearly 2,000 yards in 2019. Also back are four of five starters on the line. Oh yeah, also the entire receiving corps, led by a pair of thousand-yard pass-catchers: Dyami Brown and Dazz Newsome. That’s just not fair.

    On defense, potential All-American CB Storm Duck is back, as is stud pass rusher Raymond Vohasek and converted QB to LB Chazz Surratt, who earned All-ACC honors last year. Cap it off with the best edge rusher if the 2020 class, Desmond Evans, and you can see why myself and many others are so high on this team. The Tar Heels will likely be the most improved team in the nation 2019 to 2020, and they have a real shot of contending with Clemson at the top of the ACC.

    3. Notre Dame

    Head Coach: Brian Kelly
    2019 Record: 11-2
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.9 wins, 2.1 losses (7.9 wins, 2.1 losses)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Duke
    Sept. 19 USF
    Sept. 26 at Wake Forest
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 10 Florida State
    Oct. 17 Louisville
    Oct. 24 at Pitt
    Oct. 31 at Georgia Tech
    Nov. 7 Clemson
    Nov. 14 at Boston College
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 27 at North Carolina
    Dec. 5 Syracuse

    Notre Dame has been a consistent top-ten to top-15 program under Brian Kelly, going undefeated in the regular season twice (2012 and 2018) but were blown out in the postseason both years. The Fighting Irish will look to truly break into that next echelon this year, not just have the gaudy record. QB Ian Book, who is a lot better than given credit for, is back after a 3,000-yard year where he threw nearly six times as many touchdowns as interceptions. On the line, NFL talent Liam Eichenberg captains what will be the best O-Line in the country. The skill corps feels a little bare, but some unproven young guys are intriguing.

    On defense, four key pieces are off to the NFL from what was one of the better Ds in the country, but a ton of talent returns. Daelin Hayes, who missed much of 2019 with an injury, looks to be back, as will be leading tackler Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and a pair of potential All-Americans in S Kyle Hamilton and CB Tariq Bracy. It feels very hard to get a read on this team, one with a ton of talent, but an obvious hole in the skills corp. The Fighting Irish will be good, but I think “national title contender” might be a stretch.

    4. Virginia Tech

    Head Coach: Justin Fuente
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-3 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.0 wins, 3.0 losses (7.0 wins, 3.0 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 Virginia
    Sept. 26 NC State
    Oct. 3 at Duke
    Oct. 10 at North Carolina
    Oct. 17 Boston College
    Oct. 24 at Wake Forest
    Oct. 31 at Louisville
    Nov. 7 Liberty
    Nov. 14 Miami
    Nov. 21 at Pitt
    Nov. 28 OPEN DATE
    Dec. 5 Clemson

    Instability at the quarterback spot has been the story of Justin Fuente’s up-and-down tenure at Virginia Tech, but the Hokies have finally found their guy: 6-4, 228 pounder Hendon Hooker, who was 6-2 as a starter last year, throwing for 13 touchdowns and just two picks, both coming in the loss at rival Virginia. Hooker, a dual-threat weapon (five rushing touchdowns) will have to deal with some turnover in the receiving corps (leader Damon Hazelton transferred to Missouri) but Tre Turner (553 yards, four touchdowns) returns, and deep threat TE James Mitchell will be one of the most productive pass-catching tight ends in the conference. Kansas grad transfer Khalil Herbert comes in a halfback, and he’ll run behind one of the best lines in the ACC.

    On defense, potential top-ten pick Caleb Farley is sitting out the season, but almost everyone else returns from last year’s group: ten starters and 16 of the top 18 tacklers. 120-tackle MLB Rayshad Ashby (17 TFL) is the captain of the defense, and the Hokies also boast a solid group of pass-rushers to get at ACC QBs. Farley leaving hurts, but the guy that started across from him last year, CB Jermaine Waller, would easily be a #1 guy at most P5 schools, so he should have no trouble sliding into that role for Tech. Safety Divine Deablo also returns, and VT brings in one of the best FCS pass-rushers in America, former Youngstown State end Justus Reed (12.5 sacks). 30-year DC Bud Foster, perhaps the most influential coordinator in college football history, is gone, but he left a lot for replacement Justin Hamilton to work with. This team should improve on both sides of the ball, with the defense contending for top-ten in the country status. The Hokies have a decent shot at ACC title game contention.

    5. Louisville

    Head Coach: Scott Satterfield
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-3 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 7.8 wins, 3.2 losses (6.9 wins, 3.1 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 WKU
    Sept. 19 Miami
    Sept. 26 at Pitt
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 9 at Georgia Tech
    Oct. 17 at Notre Dame
    Oct. 24 Florida State
    Oct. 31 Virginia Tech
    Nov. 7 at Virginia
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 20 Syracuse
    Nov. 27 at Boston College
    Dec. 5 Wake Forest

    Louisville probably wasn’t as good as their 8-5 record indicated last year, but after a disastrous 2018, I think Cards fans will take it. Scott Satterfield’s first year at UL saw the Cards’ offense take off with dual-threat QB Micale Cunningham taking over for Jawon “Puma” Pass, but the improvement of offense largely hid what was one of the worst defenses in the conference, and I don’t expect that gap to close too much in 2020.

    Cunningham is back, as is RB Javian Hawkins, who rushed for over 1,500 yards as a freshman. Receiver Tutu Atwell (1,276 yards) has a case to be the best wideout in the nation, he returns along with Dez Fitzpatrick and Marshon Ford. Not to mention five guys with starting experience on the line. This offense could contend with Clemson for best in the conference on their best day. The defense? A different story.

    The UL defense ranked in the 100s in 2019, giving up over 50 points in six of the last seven games, including 77 to eventual ACC champs Clemson, an absolute drubbing. Luckily for the Cards, the young group will be a lot more experienced for 2020, as nine of the top 11 tacklers return, including reliable blitzer Rodjay Burns, high volume tackler Dorian Etheridge, and a pair of serviceable corners in Chandler Jones and Anthony Johnson. However, there is a gap on the defensive line, with their two best linemen gone. This defense will struggle again but should clear the low bar of last year, and the awesome offense will carry the Cards to a winning season again.

    6. Florida State

    Head Coach: Mike Norvell
    2019 Record: 6-7 (4-4 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 6.7 wins, 4.3 losses (5.8 wins, 4.2 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Georgia Tech
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Miami
    Oct. 3 Jacksonville State
    Oct. 10 at Notre Dame
    Oct. 17 North Carolina
    Oct. 24 at Louisville
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 Pitt
    Nov. 14 at NC State
    Nov. 21 Clemson
    Nov. 28 Virginia
    Dec. 5 at Duke

    The Willie Taggart era at Florida State didn’t go to plan, but in comes former Memphis head man Mike Norvell, who helped make Memphis into one of the most consistent programs in the G5 over his tenure with the Tigers. Norvell will bring a jolt of electricity to the offense, which struggled mightily under the previous coach.

    Back to lead the O is QB James Blackman, who has struggled at times, but, to be fair, has been saddled with one of the worst offensive lines in the P5 over his tenure with the Noles. Five-star RB Cam Akers is gone, however, Akers was never able to truly break out behind the awful line, but he will be missed. Speedy Texas A&M transfer Jashaun Corbin looks to be the day one replacement, but recruiting will need to build that position back up over the long term. WR Tamorrion Terry is a future NFL player that should be Blackman’s #1 target through the air. As mentioned, the line has been bad but should improve at least a little with experience.

    On defense, the ‘Noles have regressed over the past couple years, mainly due to a bevy of injuries in 2019, but a lot of experience returns from that squad, as 19 players who played at least 100 snaps return (of 25). Of course, this team has recruited well, so the talent will be there to back up a group that returns ten starters, including All-American DT Marvin Wilson and his compadre on the interior, Cory Durden. Emmett Rice is a solid veteran to lead the linebacking corps, and leading tackler Hamsah Nasirildeen and All-ACC corner Asante Samuel will patrol the secondary as two potential All-American candidates. I’m still unsure about the offense, but the talent is there that I think this defense could be one of the best in the country. The ‘Noles should improve in year one under Norvell, but ACC title contention may be a year away.

    7. Miami

    Head Coach: Manny Diaz
    2019 Record: 6-7 (4-4 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 6.1 wins, 4.9 losses (5.3 wins, 4.7 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 10 UAB
    Sept. 19 at Louisville
    Sept. 26 Florida State
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 10 at Clemson
    Oct. 17 Pitt
    Oct. 24 Virginia
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 6 at NC State
    Nov. 14 at Virginia Tech
    Nov. 21 Georgia Tech
    Nov. 28 at Wake Forest
    Dec. 5 North Carolina

    There’s no way around it, the Miami offense was bad last year. Really, really bad. The three potential QBs we spent all offseason talking about all flopped, there was no run game to speak of, and the offensive line sucked. Well, the reset button has been hit. Manny Diaz is the new head coach, and former SMU OC Rhett Lashlee will take over the offense after a couple of great years with the Mustangs. Also incoming, a transfer at QB, Houston’s D’Eriq King (4,925 yards, 50 touchdowns, 1,421 rushing yards, 28 rushing touchdowns in career). King nearly had 4,000 total yards in 2018, but in his limited appearances before redshirting last year, he really struggled. I’ll try to ignore recency bias because of how awesome King was in 2018, but the rough 2019 does scare me a little.

    TE Brevin Jordan is back, and while the top wideouts are gone, a couple of interesting young names should fill in. All five starters are back on the line, and while leading rusher DeeJay Dallas is off to the NFL, the ‘Canes already struggled in the run game last year so he won’t be too missed. The offense will probably struggle again, but King is such an X-factor that I do have some optimism for improvement.

    On defense, Miami was awesome last year, the offense just was so bad it never really shone through. A lot of talent is gone to be fair, including the entire linebacking corps, highlighted by Shaq Quarterman and Michael Pinckney.

    Corner Tajan Bandy and S Robert Knowles are also gone, and top-ten NFL draft prospect Gregory Rousseau opted out of the season. So yeah, a lot departs, but there is some new talent. Temple edge rusher Quincy Roche (137 tackles, 26 sacks in career) is in for the ‘Canes after being one of the best defenders at the G5 level last year. Add in a solid recruiting class, a few Pac-12 transfers, and DJ Ivery (three INTs) back, and Miami should have a decent, if not 2019 good, D. I still don’t have a ton of confidence in the offense, but if King can step up, the ‘Canes could improve on last year’s six-win mark.

    8. Pittsburgh

    Head Coach: Pat Narduzzi
    2019 Record: 8-5 (4-4 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.7 wins, 5.3 losses (4.7 wins, 5.3 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Austin Peay
    Sept. 19 Syracuse
    Sept. 26 Louisville
    Oct. 3 NC State
    Oct. 10 at Boston College
    Oct. 17 at Miami
    Oct. 24 Notre Dame
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 at Florida State
    Nov. 14 at Georgia Tech
    Nov. 21 Virginia Tech
    Nov. 28 at Clemson
    Dec. 5 OPEN DATE

    Pitt had almost no offense to speak of last year, but they won eight games, almost entirely due to the defense, but what offense they had was mostly thanks to QB Kenny Pickett, an unremarkable but accurate QB that will rack up yards but can struggle in the playmaking department, and was a liability to make bad decisions (nine touchdowns to eight interceptions in ACC play). Pickett’s star receiver, Maurice Ffrench, is gone, but an FSU transfer at TE and senior Taysir Mack will keep the receiving corps stable. The running game returns the top three from 2019, highlighted by senior AJ Davis (530 yards, four touchdowns). The line also brings back five starters. There will be experience, so the offense should improve a little, but the raw talent just isn’t there, so the group will probably struggle again.

    The defense is a different story. The Panthers boast one of the best lines in the country and get almost everyone back outside of DT Jaylen Twyman (opt-out). Ends Patrick Jones and Deslin Alexandre are back after combining for 14 sacks, and Amir Watts returns on the inside, not to mention 2018 star Rashad Weaver (6.5 sacks in 2018), who missed 2019 with an injury. The linebacking corps will be all seniors, led by Cam Bright, and the #1 and #2 tacklers on the team, Paris Ford and Damar Hamlin, make a dangerous safety duo. Damarri Mathis (two interceptions, eight PBUs) struggled with penalties last year, but is a monster in press and should make a dangerous #1 corner. The opt-out of Twyman hurts, but this will still be one of the best defenses in the conference, and they should drag the poor offense to a decent season again.

    9. Virginia

    Head Coach: Bronco Mendenhall
    2019 Record: 9-5 (6-2 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 4.2 wins, 5.8 losses (4.2 wins, 5.8 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 at Virginia Tech
    Sept. 26 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 3 at Clemson
    Oct. 10 NC State
    Oct. 17 at Wake Forest
    Oct. 24 at Miami
    Oct. 31 North Carolina
    Nov. 7 Louisville
    Nov. 14 Duke
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 28 at Florida State
    Dec. 5 Boston College

    Last year’s Virginia team was the best in nearly 30 years. An ACC Coastal Championship, a trip to a New Year’s Six bowl, where they held their own with SEC East runner-up Florida, and most importantly, the first win against Virginia Tech since 2003. Bronco Mendenhall completed the rebuild. The problem? Now he might have to do it again. QB Bryce Perkins, who led the team in passing and rushing, is gone, as are the top two receivers, and the best defender: now-New York Jet Bryce Hall.

    Sophomore Brennan Armstrong is the replacement for Perkins, he might actually be a better passer than Perkins was but lacks the playmaking ability and foot talent. Armstrong will have a pair of excellent receivers to throw to in slot man Billy Kemp IV and the excellent Terrell Jana, who dropped just one pass in 2019 and should contend for all-conference honors. The line should be solid, and leading RB Wayne Taulapapa (473 yards, 12 touchdowns) returns, the ‘Hoos also bring in Indiana transfer Ronnie Walker. Perkins gone is obviously a huge loss, and it’s very “wait and see” to determine just how vital he was to this offense’s success (my guess: a lot).

    On defense, 12 of the top 14 tacklers are back, including the dangerous linebacking duo of Charles Snowden and Noah Taylor, both of whom are solid in coverage and excellent pass-rushers. Aaron Faumui (40 pressures, 14 missed tackles) is a NT with considerable raw talent that just can’t tackle, he should take a step forward this year. Bryce Hall replacement Darrius Bratton was solid in 2018 before an injury sidelined him last year. In a year when I expect a lot of ACC teams (North Carolina, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Miami and Pittsburgh to some extent) to take a step forward, its hard to be high on Virginia when they’ll clearly be taking a step back without Perkins, but a lot of talent is on this team, and if Armstrong can impress, the Cavaliers have enough talent to be a top-tier ACC team again despite a brutal schedule, where the Cavaliers draw Clemson, Virginia Tech, and Miami on the road and don’t get to play conference bottom-feeders Georgia Tech and Syracuse.

    10. NC State

    Head Coach: Dave Doeren
    2019 Record: 4-8 (1-7 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 4.7 wins, 6.3 losses (3.7 wins, 6.3 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 Wake Forest
    Sept. 26 at Virginia Tech
    Oct. 3 at Pitt
    Oct. 10 at Virginia
    Oct. 17 Duke
    Oct. 24 at North Carolina
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 6 Miami
    Nov. 14 Florida State
    Nov. 21 Liberty
    Nov. 28 at Syracuse
    Dec. 5 Georgia Tech

    NC State has been such a shockingly consistent team under Dave Doeren that watching last year’s team struggle so much felt almost weird. After back-to-back 9-4 seasons, the departure of QB Ryan Finley destroyed the Wolfpack offense. NC State couldn’t find a reliable guy to throw the ball, and the majority of rushing snaps went to freshman. Devin Leary is the man at QB, looking to improve after a bad 2019, but there will be talent around him. All four running backs, three of whom were freshman in 2019, return in a group led by Zonovan Knight (745 yards, five touchdowns), and an offensive line that was the best part of last year’s bad offense returns four of five starters. Top pass-catcher Tabari Hines is gone, but almost everyone else is back in a group that should be solid as long as there is someone to catch passes from. This offense should take a step forward as it gets more experienced, but won’t come close to the Finley era teams.

    On defense, there are serious questions on the line and in the secondary, but the duo of Payton Wilson and Drake Thomas should be solid on the second level. IDL Alim McNeil is one of the most productive nose tackles in the conference, but depth is a serious issue across the defense, a component even more important in 2020 than a normal year. Dave Doeren has been such a consistent coach that a rebound feels like it *should* happen, but there just isn’t a lot of talent on the roster. Even a .500 year feels unlikely.

    11. Wake Forest

    Head Coach: Dave Clawson
    2019 Record: 8-5 (4-4 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 4.1 wins, 6.9 losses (3.1 wins, 6.9 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 Clemson
    Sept. 19 at NC State
    Sept. 26 Notre Dame
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 9 Campbell
    Oct. 17 Virginia
    Oct. 24 Virginia Tech
    Oct. 31 at Syracuse
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 at North Carolina
    Nov. 21 at Duke
    Nov. 28 Miami
    Dec. 5 at Louisville

    Granted its eight wins, but they put statues up for that sort of thing in Winston Salem. Former Bowling Green HC Dave Clawson has brought Wake Forest out of the ACC cellars in his six years. After going 6-18 in his first two years, it seemed as if Clawson would be another victim of Wake’s struggles, but in the four years since, the Demon Deacons have averaged 7.5 wins, highlighted by last year’s 8-5 squad. A fifth straight winning season might be tough, but you’ve got to give credit to Clawson for getting Wake this far. Star QB Jamie Newman is gone after an excellent 2019, as is stud receiver Sage Surratt. 2018 starting QB Sam Hartman does return, though. Hartman was alright in 2018, he’s reliable, but struggles to make big plays and is a big step down from Newman. Sophomore RB Kenneth Walker III averaged close to five yards per carry last year, and three starters are back on the line, along with a Maryland transfer that could start.

    On defense, 14 guys with significant playing experience return in a group highlighted by awesome edge rusher Carlos Besham Jr. (11 sacks). Blitzing linebacker Ryan Smenda Jr. and coverage back Ja’Cquez Williams both return as well, and while the corners are gone, the excellent pass rush should keep Wake in the game even if pass coverage struggles. This team will obviously take a step back without Newman, Surratt, and the awesome cornerback duo of Essang Bassey and Amari Henderson. Nevertheless, this team will get some wins, and the youth of this squad means I expect a return to bowl season for Wake in 2021.

    12. Duke

    Head Coach: David Cutcliffe
    2019 Record: 5-7 (3-5 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.4 wins, 7.6 losses (2.6 wins, 7.4 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 at Notre Dame
    Sept. 19 Boston College
    Sept. 26 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 3 Virginia Tech
    Oct. 10 at Syracuse
    Oct. 17 at NC State
    Oct. 24 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 31 Charlotte
    Nov. 7 North Carolina
    Nov. 14 at Virginia
    Nov. 21 Wake Forest
    Nov. 28 at Georgia Tech
    Dec. 5 Florida State

    It has been up-and-down at times, but in the aggregate, David Cutcliffe has brought a level of respect to the Duke program that the basketball school has rarely received in their history. 2019 was a clear step back for the Blue Devils, as QB Daniel Jones (and his top four receivers) left, but even a down-year still gave Duke a 5-7 record. Now, in comes Clemson transfer Chase Brice at QB. Brice is a blue-chip recruit that was excellent in garbage time for the Tigers, and he should provide a jolt to this offense. The skill corps, which wasn’t much to speak of last year, will be a lot more experienced as almost everyone is back, including leading rusher Deon Jackson (641 yards, six touchdowns). The offense should improve with the added experience and Brice at the helm.

    On defense, seven of the top nine tacklers are back, including the monster edge rush duo of Victor Dimukeje and Chris Rumph (combined 15 sacks). The secondary will also compete to be the best in the nation, with three legit awesome starters in Michael Carter II, Josh Blackwell, and Marquis Water, although the depth did get killed by transfers. The linebacking corps also does take a hit with leading tackler Koby Quansah gone, but all in all this should be a very good defense. The massive holes in the skill corps and the unproven nature of Brice make me wary of this group, but this is clearly a high-ceiling team that has the potential to upset some folks.

    13. Boston College

    Head Coach: Jeff Hafley
    2019 Record: 6-7 (4-4 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.4 wins, 7.6 losses (2.4 wins, 7.6 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 at Duke
    Sept. 26 Texas State
    Oct. 3 North Carolina
    Oct. 10 Pitt
    Oct. 17 at Virginia Tech
    Oct. 24 Georgia Tech
    Oct. 31 at Clemson
    Nov. 7 at Syracuse
    Nov. 14 Notre Dame
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 27 Louisville
    Dec. 5 at Virginia

    Former Ohio State defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley comes in to try to turn around a Boston College that has long struggled to get past the .500 mark. Notre Dame transfer Phil Jurkovec is in to start at QB for the Eagles, and he could be the best BC QB in recent memory, with an ability to make plays with his feet and an awesome arm.

    TE Hunter Long is one of the best in the ACC, and also back is top WR Kobay White (460 yards, five touchdowns). The offensive line should be fantastic, with a trio of potential all-conference guys back, a group highlighted by potential All-American center Alex Lindstrom. Star RB AJ Dillon is gone, but junior David Bailey can stop a significant drop-off. Bailey took off for 844 yards and seven scores as Dillon’s #2 last year.

    On defense, a Boston College program that has consistently been one of the better in the country in that department took a massive step back. However, 16 of the 19 top tacklers are back, and former Bengals LB Tem Lukabu is an awesome hire to stop the bleeding. Leading tackler Max Richardson returns after an awesome 2019, as do ends Brandon Barlow and Marcus Valdez (combined five sacks).

    Three of four starters return from a secondary that struggled, although corner Brandon Sebastian is a legit all-conference contender. Whether 2020 can be a step forward largely hinges on how good Jurkovec is, but in a conference with lots of teams taking steps forwards this year, that may be especially difficult.

    14. Georgia Tech

    Head Coach: Geoff Collins
    2019 Record: 3-9 (2-6 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 2.4 wins, 8.6 losses (2.3 wins, 7.7 losses)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 at Florida State
    Sept. 19 UCF
    Sept. 26 at Syracuse
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 9 Louisville
    Oct. 17 Clemson
    Oct. 24 at Boston College
    Oct. 31 Notre Dame
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 Pitt
    Nov. 21 at Miami
    Nov. 28 Duke
    Dec. 5 at NC State



    The transition from option offense to a more “normal” spread style attack for Georgia Tech was always going to be tough, and boy was it. Freshman QB James Graham could make plays with his feet but struggled mightily in the passing game (45%). Single receivers on other teams had more yards than Tech’s entire receiving corps combined, and the offensive line, all of whom were recruited to run an entirely different scheme, were clearly out of their depth. Now, everyone returns and has had an extra year to learn the scheme. RB Jordan Mason will be the star after dashing for over five yards a carry last year, and he will be key to an offense that should improve this year.

    The offense had a built-in excuse with the massive scheme change. The defense? They just weren’t very good. Granted, the Yellow Jackets were extraordinarily young on that side of the ball, with over a dozen underclassmen receiving significant playing time. However, the saying goes, the best thing about freshmen is that they become sophomores. 13 of the top 14 tacklers return, and the Yellow Jackets add in a few P5 transfers along with an excellent recruiting class. The secondary should be dynamite, with safeties Juanyeh Thomas and Tariq Carpenter one of the best duos in the country, and LB Quez Watkins is a monster run stopper. This team will be a lot better, but in a conference with a bunch of teams taking a step forward, it may be hard to notice.

    15. Syracuse

    Head Coach: Dino Babers
    2019 Record: 5-7 (2-6 ACC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.0 wins, 8.0 losses (2.1 wins, 7.9 losses ACC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 12 at North Carolina
    Sept. 19 at Pitt
    Sept. 26 Georgia Tech
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 10 Duke
    Oct. 17 Liberty
    Oct. 24 at Clemson
    Oct. 31 Wake Forest
    Nov. 7 Boston College
    Nov. 14 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 20 at Louisville
    Nov. 28 NC State
    Dec. 5 at Notre Dame

    After a 2019 season that saw Syracuse’s wins slashed in half from the year before, 2020 may be another tough year for the Orange. Highly touted QB Tommy DeVito was solid, but the offensive line was so bad that he was running for his life almost constantly. DeVito is back, and the line should be more experienced, but now much of the skill corps departs, with three of four top pass-catchers gone along with leading rusher Moe Neal.

    On defense, much of an already weak front seven departs, but the secondary should be the best unit on the team. CB Ifeatu Melifonwu and S Andre Cisco are a pair of All-ACC caliber playmakers that willbe a nightmare for ACC QBs to deal with. However, the turnover in the front seven may prove to be too much, and I think this is an ateam that struggles again, and one that could find themselves in last place in what should be a much improved ACC.

    ACC Title Game Pick: Clemson over North Carolina

    All-ACC Team

    QB – Trevor Lawrence, Clemson
    RB – Travis Etienne, Clemson
    RB – Javian Hawkins, Louisville
    WR – Tutu Atwell, Louisville
    WR – Dazz Newsome, North Carolina
    TE – Brevin Jordan, Miami
    C – Jimmy Morrissey, Pittsburgh
    OL – Ben Petrula, Boston College
    OL – Liam Eichenberg, Notre Dame
    OL – Bryce Hargrove, Pittsburgh
    OL – Zion Johnson, Boston College

    DL – Marvin Wilson, Florida State
    DL – Chris Rumph II, Duke
    DL – Quincy Roche, Miami
    DL – Carlos Basham, Wake Forest
    LB – Max Richardson, Boston College
    LB – Rayshard Ashby, Virginia Tech
    LB – James Skalski, Clemson
    DB – Andre Cisco, Syracuse
    DB – Nolan Turner, Clemson
    DB – Asante Samuel, Florida State
    DB – Hamsah Nasirildeen, Florida State

    Most Appearances by Team:

    Clemson – 4
    Florida State – 3
    Boston College – 3
    Louisville – 2
    Miami – 2
    Pittsburgh – 2
    North Carolina – 1
    Notre Dame – 1
    Virginia Tech – 1
    Duke – 1
    Syracuse – 1

    Offensive Player of the Year: QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson
    Defensive Player of the Year: DL Marvin Wilson, Florida State
    Coach of the Year: Mack Brown, North Carolina
    Newcomer of the Year: QB D’Eriq King, Miami
    Game of the Year: Clemson @ Notre Dame (November 7)

  • 2020 American Athletic Conference Football Preview

    2020 American Athletic Conference Football Preview

    Check out the CSD preview for the American Athletic Conference’s 2020 season in this loaded preview, featuring in-depth coverage of everything you need to know about all 11 teams, projected records based on thousands of computer simulations, the projected all-conference team, awards, and more!

    The league has announced that it plans to play the normal eight conference games and that its teams are allowed to play up to four non-conference opponents. Additionally, the conference has scrapped divisions for the 2020 season.

    Projected Standings

    Over the past few years, the AAC has distinguished itself as head and shoulders above every other G5 conference in college football, and without UConn dragging it down (the Huskies left the conference this year), you could have made a convincing argument that the AAC was a better top to bottom conference than the ACC. The conference, now with an uneven 11 teams, will move to a no divisions format for 2020, but the same three main contenders remain: Memphis, Cincinnati, and UCF

    1. Cincinnati

    Head Coach: Luke Fickell
    2019 Record: 11-3 (7-1 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.6 wins, 1.4 losses (6.6 wins, 1.4 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 Austin Peay
    Sept. 26 Army
    Oct. 3 USF
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 at Tulsa
    Oct. 24 at SMU
    Oct. 31 Memphis
    Nov. 7 Houston
    Nov. 12 East Carolina
    Nov. 21 at UCF
    Nov. 28 at Temple

    11 years after Cincinnati was heartbreakingly close to an appearance in the BCS National Title Game, the Bearcats may actually have a shot to do it again in 2020. In 2009, a Brian Kelly-led Cincy team finished the regular season undefeated and #3 in the BCS rankings (back before the playoff), and for an hour or so, the Bearcats looked to be poised to take the #2 spot until then-#2 Texas rallied back to beat Nebraska in the Big 12 title game. Then, conference realignment hit. The Big East dissolved, and the Bearcats, a successful program, got left at the altar by the ACC, falling into G5 obscurity, where no team will ever compete for a top-four spot. UCF had back-to-back undefeated seasons and finished eighth in 2018. Unless… In a year with only three power conferences, could an undefeated G5 champ make the dance? The answer? Probably not. But maybe. I don’t think it’s impossible anymore, and if any team can do it, it will be Cincinnati. The Bearcats come into 2020 ranked 13th by the AP voters among teams playing football. In 2018, when UCF finished 8th, the Golden Knights were preseason #21, a 13 spot climb.

    Now into why I think this team, not Memphis or UCF, is the banner flyer for the G5 in 2020. It starts, quite simply, with the defense. The UC defense is the best in the G5 by a significant margin, and in a conference known for teams with greats offenses and little defense, that can be a difference-maker. 15 of the top 17 tacklers are back from an already great group, including S Ja’Von Hicks (five interceptions) and awesome veteran edge rusher Myjai Sanders. On offense, the Bearcats probably aren’t as good as Memphis or UCF, but they’re solid. QB Desmond Ridder is a dual-threat QB that has struggled with accuracy but can make plays with his feet. The offensive line looks great, and the Bearcats add in highly touted Alabama transfer Jerome Ford at runningback. This will be an awesome team, the fact they’ll face Memphis, UCF, and one of the two again in the AAC title game (if they can get there) makes an undefeated year unlikely, but if the Bearcats can make it that far, it might be a tough sell for the CFP committee to leave them out.

    2. UCF

    Head Coach: Josh Heupel
    2019 Record: 10-3 (6-2 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 7.4 wins, 1.6 losses (6.5 wins, 1.5 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 at Georgia Tech
    Sept. 26 at East Carolina
    Oct. 3 Tulsa
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 at Memphis
    Oct. 24 Tulane
    Oct. 31 at Houston
    Nov. 7 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 14 Temple
    Nov. 21 Cincinnati
    Nov. 27 at USF

    Last year’s UCF team might’ve actually been better than either of the Golden Knights team that finished the regular season undefeated thanks to a much-improved defense, but some bad luck and injuries meant that Josh Heupel’s squad ended up finishing 10-3. After going 25-1 over a two-year span, that may be a little disappointing, but that is an incredible three-year stretch for any program, especially a G5. QB Dillon Gabriel is back from that squad, as is 2017/18 star QB McKenzie Milton (23-0 as a starter in those two years), one of my favorite players in college football history, although the brutal leg injury that cost UCF back-to-back undefeated years might keep Milton out for a while.

    RB Adrian Killins is gone, the top returner there is slotback-style utility man Otis Anderson (726 yards, five touchdowns). The awesome WR duo of Bentavious Thompson and Greg McCrae returns, and the much improved 2019 defense returns 11 of their top 12 tacklers, including one of the best secondaries in all of college football. This will be an awesome team yet again, and another undefeated season (and potential CFP berth, as mentioned in the Cincinnati preview) isn’t out of the question.

    3. Memphis

    Head Coach: Ryan Silverfield
    2019 Record: 12-2 (7-1 AAC)
    Averaged Projected 2020 Record: 8.1 wins, 1.9 losses (6.1 wins, 1.9 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 Arkansas State
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 18 Houston
    Sept. 26 at UTSA
    Oct. 3 at SMU
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 UCF
    Oct. 24 Temple
    Oct. 31 at Cincinnati
    Nov. 7 USF
    Nov. 14 at Navy
    Nov. 21 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 28 at Tulane

    2019 head coach Mike Norvell may be gone to Florida State, but for a team losing their head man, a lot of continuity remains from 2019’s excellent team. Kevin Johns is back at Offensive Coordinator, 4,000-yard passer Brady White is back at QB, and new head coach Ryan Silverfield (OL Coach in 2019) was a “promote from within” hire. The Tigers boasted a top-ten offense in America last year, and not only does White return, but his #1 pass-catcher: 1,200-yard receiver Damonte Coxie is back as well. There is some bad news though, as RB Kenneth Gainwell, perhaps the best player on the team, opted out of the season due to concerns over COVID-19 as four of his family members have passed away due to the virus, a completely understandable decision that was bigger than football.

    Focusing on the football for now, though, Gainwell was amazing, but there is an interesting couple of replacements in highly touted Auburn transfer Asa Martin and JUCO All-American Kalyn Grandberry. On defense, the Tigers have been bad for a while but took a big step forward in 2019 despite some obvious weaknesses upfront. Silverfield has brought in former Colorado HC Mike McIntyre to run the defense, and McIntryre returns 14 of the 17 top tacklers from last year’s group, including almost all of the secondary, a group highlighted by All-AAC corner TJ Carter.

    The loss of Gainwell hurts, for sure, but this is still a top 25 level team that will threaten for an AAC title.

    4. SMU

    Head Coach: Sonny Dykes
    2019 Record: 10-3 (6-2 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 8.4 wins, 3.6 losses (5.2 wins, 2.8 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 at Texas State
    Sept. 11 at TCU
    Sept. 19 at North Texas
    Sept. 26 Stephen F. Austin
    Oct. 3 Memphis
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 16 at Tulane
    Oct. 24 Cincinnati
    Oct. 31 Navy
    Nov. 5 at Temple
    Nov. 14 at Tulsa
    Nov. 21 Houston
    Nov. 28 at East Carolina

    Last year, Sonny Dykes brought in a boatload of new talent to try and turnaround the Mustangs after a tough 5-7 year one. And… it worked. Led by a Texas transfer at QB, Shane Buechele, the Mustangs doubled their win total from five to ten, and they shouldn’t take much of a step back in 2019. Buechele returns, as does his top target, Reggie Roberson, along with stud TE Kylen Granson and four of five starters on the line. This will be one of the best offenses in all of college football. My only concern is the backfield, where the top two depart, but a new OC, former Appalachian State RB coach Garrett Riley, should help carry the group, led by sophomore TJ McDaniel, to at least a solid year.

    On defense, it’s a different story. The group really struggled last year, and the one bright spot, the pass rush, loses almost everyone with Turner Coxe and Delano Robinson the only returners in the front seven. In the defensive backfield, star corner Ar’mani Johnson is back leading a group that gets everyone back but struggled at times in 2019.

    The offense will be dynamite, but the defense will have a tough go of things, and in a top-heavy conference like the AAC, one loaded with awesome offenses, that’s deadly. SMU would probably be favored over all but four G5 teams in college football. The problem? Three of those four are in the AAC. A title game trip feels unlikely.

    5. Navy

    Head Coach: Ken Niumatalolo
    2019 Record: 11-2 (7-1 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.5 wins, 4.5 losses (4.3 wins, 3.7 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 7 BYU
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 at Tulane
    Sept. 26 Temple
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE (maybe at Air Force)
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 at East Carolina
    Oct. 24 Houston
    Oct. 31 at SMU
    Nov. 7 Tulsa
    Nov. 14 Memphis
    Nov. 21 at USF
    Nov. 28 OPEN DATE
    Dec. 5 OPEN DATE
    Dec. 12 Army (in Philadelphia)

    In 2019, star QB Malcolm Perry was Navy’s top returning passer. And their top returning rusher. And their top returning receiver. He’s gone now. Yikes. To call Perry a utility player would be an understatement and after an awesome 11-win 2019, the Midshipmen are likely in for a pretty massive step back in Perry’s absence. Luckily for Navy, the entire receiving corps and a pair of inside backs, Jamele Carothers and Nelson Smith, who combined for 1,305 yards and 21 TDs in 2019, both return. On the outside, speedy CJ Williams (90 passing yards, 298 rushing yards, 210 receiving yards in 2019) looks to be the man, and at the QB spot, sophomore Perry Olsen will step into Perry’s big shoes. Monster tackle Billy Honaker is back to anchor down a line that loses a lot, but Navy is used to turnover upfront, so I don’t see that as a huge issue. A lot is gone from the defense, but star LB Diego Fagot returns. Fagot was excellent in the pass rush and in coverage last year, and he’ll be a difference-maker on this team. I worry about the secondary a little, but the pass rush should still be strong and take some of the pressure off of the DBs. While I do expect a significant step back with the loss of Perry, this should be a winning team again.

    6. Houston

    Head Coach: Dana Holgorsen
    2019 Record: 4-8 (2-6 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.3 wins, 4.7 losses (3.9 wins, 4.1 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 18 at Memphis
    Sept. 26 North Texas
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 8 Tulane
    Oct. 16 at BYU
    Oct. 24 at Navy
    Oct. 31 UCF
    Nov. 7 at Cincinnati
    Nov. 14 USF
    Nov. 21 at SMU
    Nov. 28 Tulsa

    Year one under new head coach Dana Holgorsen for Houston did not go as planned. An offensive genius at HC, monster QB D’Eriq King leading the offense, it was supposed to be a great year, but it just never came to be. King ended up redshirting, and he’s now transferring to Miami. The new guy at QB is Clayton Tune. Tune threw for 11 touchdowns and nine picks in seven games of action in 2019; he can make some crazy throws, but he’s a liability in terms of giving the ball away. The Cougars do return four of five starters on the line and an excellent receiving corps, but I don’t see the passing game being much more than “alright” this season. The rest of this team? It’s tempting. Holgersen redshrited a lot of good players last year, and a boatload of transfers and JUCOs are eligible to play, making this one of the toughest teams to get a read on in 2020.

    The defense is highlighted by the monster edge duo of Payton Turner and David Anenih, and a bevy of transfers join the secondary. This will be an agressive, attacking defense that could get burned but will put plenty of pressure on opposing QBs. The tons of new faces, especially on defense, make this a tough year to predict, but I’ll settle around .500, with a winning season slightly more likely than a losing one.

    7. Tulane

    Head Coach: Willie Fritz
    2019 Record: 7-6 (3-5 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 5.4 wins, 5.6 losses (3.1 wins, 4.9 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 at South Alabama
    Sept. 19 Navy
    Sept. 26 at Southern Miss
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 8 at Houston
    Oct. 16 SMU
    Oct. 24 at UCF
    Oct. 31 Temple
    Nov. 7 at East Carolina
    Nov. 14 Army
    Nov. 21 at Tulsa
    Nov. 28 Memphis

    Tulane head coach Willie Fritz is a former Georgia Southern guy, so naturally, this is one of the most enjoyable teams to watch in the country. The spread option style and strong defensive play made for a dangerous combo last year, but QB Justin McMillan, and his two top receivers, are gone from last year’s 7-6 squad. In comes Southern Miss transfer Keon Howard at QB. Howard is an unproven commodity, and was pretty bad in his limited appearances at USM, but for Tulane to secure another winning season, he needs to be at least servicable. If he can, RB Amare Jones and the rest of the awesome rushing attack will take care of the rest.

    The Green Wave also bring in a pair of highly touted recruits in former Oklahoma WR Mykel Jones and FSU DB Kyle Meyers. On defense, a lot returns from what was one of the better defense in the conference last year. Edge rusher Patrick Johnson is back after dealing with injuries in 2019, and some JUCO transfers as well as the aforementioned Meyers add some more talent to the group. This should be a solid team that will flirt with another winning season, but the massive hole at QB worries me enough to say that I think a step back is inevitable.

    8. Temple

    Temple: Rod Carey
    2019 Record: 8-5 (5-3 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 2.7 wins, 5.3 losses (2.7 wins, 5.3 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Navy
    Oct. 3 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 USF
    Oct. 24 at Memphis
    Oct. 31 at Tulane
    Nov. 5 SMU
    Nov. 14 at UCF
    Nov. 21 East Carolina
    Nov. 28 Cincinnati

    Temple has been a P5 coach machine over the past few years. Three former Temple head ball coaches: Matt Rhule, Geoff Collins, and Manny Diaz all took power five jobs within the past few years, and new coach Rod Carey looks to be on that same path. The Carey-coached Owls had an awesome defense, a physical offense, and beat two power five teams and a great Memphis squad, winning eight games when all was said and done for 2019. Due to an inconsistent offense, though, the high highs were matched with low lows, including a 16-point loss to Buffalo, and blowout losses to SMU, UCF, and North Carolina.

    Back for the Owls is QB Anthony Russo, who took a step back last year (54%, 21 touchdowns, 12 interceptions) but was still servicable. The line and the receiving corps will take some hits, but a few P5 transfers will look to fill up those gap instantly. The main ball carrier in HC Rod Carey’s run-first system will by sophomore Re’Mahn Davis (936 yards, eight touchdowns), but the Owls will need a real #2. On defense, awesome edge rusher Quincy Rcohe (13 sacks) is off to Miami. The Owls do add in a P5 transfer, Manny Walker (Wake), but Roche will be near impossible to replace. Even outside of Roche, the defense is decimated, with just two starters back. Depth will be a massive issue, and with the defense undergoing a major retooling, I expect a step back.

    9. Tulsa

    Head Coach: Philip Montgomery
    2019 Record: 4-8 (2-6 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 2.4 wins, 7.6 losses (2.0 wins, 6.0 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 at Oklahoma State
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 at Arkansas State
    Oct. 3 at UCF
    Oct. 10 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 17 Cincinnati
    Oct. 23 at USF
    Oct. 30 East Carolina
    Nov. 7 at Navy
    Nov. 14 SMU
    Nov. 21 Tulane
    Nov. 28 at Houston

    We’re getting into crunch time for Tulsa head coach Philip Montgomery (25-37). After an awesome 10-3 year in 2016, the Hurricane have won just 14 games over the past four seasons. Last year’s team was the best of that stretch, close to making a bowl and beating UCF, but it wasn’t good enough.

    QB Zach Smith is back after a shaky year. Smith can chuck it deep, but he puts way too many balls into contested coverage, and his nine interception mark would have been much higher against better corners. Also back are the top receiver, Kylon Stokes (1,049 yards and six touchdowns) and both runningbacks that received significant playing time. The line was bad but also incredibly young in 2019, and should be much improved, as should the offense as a whole

    The defense is a different question. Edge rusher Trevis Gipson and corner Reggie Robinson II, the two best players from Tulsa’s 2019 D, are both gone, along with five of the top six tacklers from last year’s 395 YPG defense. As much as the offense will take a step forward, the defense will take an even bigger step back. This may be a tough year.

    10. USF

    Head Coach: Jeff Scott
    2019 Record: 4-8 (2-6 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 3.1 wins, 7.9 losses (1.8 wins, 6.2 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 The Citadel 
    Sept. 19 at Notre Dame 
    Sept. 26 at Florida Atlantic 
    Oct. 3 at Cincinnati 
    Oct. 10 East Carolina 
    Oct. 17 at Temple 
    Oct. 23 Tulsa 
    Oct. 31 OPEN DATE
    Nov. 7 at Memphis 
    Nov. 14 at Houston 
    Nov. 21 Navy
    Nov. 27 UCF 

    In 2016, USF had one of the best offenses in the country and went 11-2. The year after, the Bulls won double-digit games again, finishing 10-2. In 2018, they started 7-0. Things were looking up for Charlie Strong and company. It didn’t last long. USF has gone 4-14 since, Strong was fired, and now in comes Jeff Scott to try and salvage a flailing program. The former Clemson offensive coordinator doesn’t have a lot to work with, USF, especially on offense, was awful last year, but I like the hire, it might just take some time.

    Sophomore QB Jordan McCloud had some major problems in 2019, and Scott brought in UNC transfer Cade Fortin to challenge him, a decision I certainly approve of. The receiving corps and the offensive line are both bad, and 2019 RB Jordan Cronkite, one of the few bright spots on a bad offense, is gone. Three of the top five tacklerrs are gone on defense, including USF’s best player last year, edge Greg Reaves. The back of the defense looks good, though. The secondary was real good in 2019, and Devin Gil, a Michigan transfer, spruces up a linebacking corps that was solid already. As a whole, the defense should hold up their end of the bargain, but the offense is a huge drop-off from the highs of 2016. This will be a rebuilding year, but there is plenty of potential to look forward to for USF fans.

    11. East Carolina

    Head Coach: Mike Houston
    2019 Record: 4-8 (1-7 AAC)
    Average Projected 2020 Record: 2.3 wins, 6.7 losses (1.6 wins, 6.4 losses AAC)

    Schedule

    Sept. 5 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 12 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 19 OPEN DATE
    Sept. 26 UCF
    Oct. 3 at Georgia State
    Oct. 10 at USF
    Oct. 17 Navy
    Oct. 24 OPEN DATE
    Oct. 30 at Tulsa
    Nov. 7 Tulane
    Nov. 14 at Cincinnati
    Nov. 21 at Temple
    Nov. 28 SMU

    Elsewhere this team might struggle, but QB Holton Ahlers, WRs CJ Johnson and Tyler Snead, and a ton of receiving depth make up a monster passing attack for the Pirates heading into 2020. The offensive line struggled last year, but ECU brings in a pair of ACC transfers to add in some talent. Speedy sophomore Demetrius Mauney looks to be RB1, and Arkansas transfer Chase Hayden looks to be solid as well. On defense, tiny but dangerous CB Ja’Quan McMillian is the best player on what is a weak side of the ball. LB Xavier Smith is also back after leading the team with 81 tackles last year, and the Pirates will also add in some more power five transfer to improve a group that was one of the worst in the country in 2019. Going from two FCS games in 2019 to zero in 2020 means the win total will probably go down, but this will be an improved team, and one that is still young, meaning a bowl trip in 2021 may be in the cards.

    AAC Title Game Pick: Cincinnati over UCF

    All-AAC Team

    QB – Shane Buechele, SMU
    RB – Gerrid Doaks, Cincinnati
    RB – Jamale Carothers, Navy
    WR – Damonte Coxie, Memphis
    WR – Reggie Roberson Jr., SMU
    TE – Kylen Granson, SMU
    C – Dylan Parham, Memphis
    OL – Cole Schneider, UCF
    OL – Jaylon Thomas, SMU
    OL – James Hudson, Cincinnati
    OL – Parker Boudreaux, UCF

    DL – Myjai Sanders, Cincinnati
    DL – Elijah Ponder, Cincinnati
    DL – Kenny Turnier, UCF
    DL – Ifeanyi Maijeh, Temple
    LB – Zaven Collins, Tulsa
    LB – Diego Fagot, Navy
    LB – Patrick Johnson, Tulane
    DB – Ahmad Gardner, Cincinnati
    DB – Richie Grant, UCF
    DB – Ar’Mani Johnson, SMU
    DB – Antwan Collier, UCF

    Most Appearances By Team:

    Cincinnati – 5
    UCF – 5
    SMU – 5
    Memphis – 2
    Navy – 2
    Tulane – 1
    Temple – 1
    Tulsa – 1

    Offensive Player of the Year: QB Shane Buechele, SMU
    Defensive Player of the Year: CB Ahmad Gardner, Cincinnati
    Coach of the Year: Luke Fickell, Cincinnati
    Freshman of the Year: RB Tyjae Spears, Tulane
    Newcomer of the Year: OL James Hudson, Cincinnati
    Game of the Year: Cincinnati @ UCF (Novermber 21)
    Sleeper Team: Tulane