UMass Lowell
Vermont
11:00 am, March 11
#25 Missouri
#4 Alabama
1:00 pm, March 11
Ohio State
#5 Purdue
1:00 pm, March 11
Norfolk State
Howard
1:00 pm, March 11
Saint Louis
VCU
1:00 pm, March 11
Cincinnati
#1 Houston
3:00 pm, March 11
Vanderbilt
#18 Texas A&M
3:30 pm, March 11
Penn State
#19 Indiana
3:30 pm, March 11
Fordham
Dayton
3:30 pm, March 11
Tulane
Memphis
5:30 pm, March 11
Texas Southern
Grambling
5:30 pm, March 11
#7 Texas
#3 Kansas
6:00 pm, March 11
Utah State
#20 San Diego State
6:00 pm, March 11
#15 Xavier
#6 Marquette
6:30 pm, March 11
Kent State
Toledo
7:30 pm, March 11
Marist
Iona
7:30 pm, March 11
#21 Duke
#13 Virginia
8:30 pm, March 11
UAB
Florida Atlantic
8:30 pm, March 11
Cal State Fullerton
UC Santa Barbara
9:30 pm, March 11
#8 Arizona
#2 UCLA
10:30 pm, March 11
Grand Canyon
Southern Utah
11:30 pm, March 11

Bracketology (3/2) – Texas or Baylor in the Big 12?

  • Changes are from my 2/27 Bracketology
  • These are my “most deserving” teams based on resume, if you are looking for my current “best” teams, check out my top 25.

Texas or Baylor?

Texas: 17-13, #5 SOS, 5-11 vs KenPom “A-Level”, 3-2 vs KenPom “B-Level”
Baylor: 18-12, #14 SOS, 5-10 vs KenPom “A-Level”, 4-2 vs KenPom “B-Level”

Baylor also swept Texas when the two played head-to-head, leading me to put the Bears in over UT.

The Bracket

bracketology

S-Curve

GREEN – Moved up one or more seed line
RED – Moved down one or more seed line
BLUE – New to bracket
Italicized – Play-In Game

1 Seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Kansas
2 Seeds: Purdue, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina
3 Seeds: Auburn, Tennessee, Cincinnati, West Virginia
4 Seeds: Wichita State, Clemson, Texas Tech, Ohio State
5 Seeds: Kentucky, Gonzaga, Michigan, Arizona
6 Seeds: Nevada, TCU, Houston, Arkansas
7 Seeds: Florida, Miami, Rhode Island, Texas A&M
8 Seeds: Seton Hall, Creighton, Virginia Tech, Arizona State
9 Seeds: Butler, NC State, Missouri, Florida State
10 Seeds: Saint Mary’s, Oklahoma, St. Bonaventure, USC
11 Seeds: Kansas State, Middle Tennessee, Providence, AlabamaBaylor
12 Seeds: LouisvilleNebraska, Loyola-Chicago, Louisiana-Lafayette, New Mexico State
13 Seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, Buffalo, Murray State
14 Seeds: UNC-Greensboro, College of Charleston, Montana, Rider
15 Seeds: Bucknell, Northern Kentucky, Pennsylvania, UC Irvine
16 Seeds: Wagner, Florida Gulf Coast, Nicholls State, UNC-Ashville, Hampton, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Bubble Watch

Avoiding Dayton

St. Bonaventure
USC
Kansas State
Providence

Last Four In

Alabama
Baylor
Louisville
Nebraska

First Four Out

UCLA
Texas
Washington
Syracuse

Next Four Out

Mississippi State
Marquette
Western Kentucky
Penn State

By Conference

ACC – 9 Bids (60%) plus one in first eight out
SEC – 8 Bids (57%) plus one in first eight out
Big 12 – 7 Bids (70%) plus one in first eight out
Big East – 6 Bids (60%) plus one in first eight out
Big Ten – 5 Bids (36%) plus one in first eight out
Pac-12 – 3 Bids (25%) plus two in first eight out
American – 3 Bids (25%)
West Coast – 2 Bids (20%)
Conference USA – 1 Bid (7%) plus one in first eight out

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